Market-implied odds heavily favor the official ARS/USD rate ending 2026 above 1,600, reflecting consensus analyst projections around 1,650 from the BCRA’s REM and LatinFocus surveys amid current levels near 1,512. Primary drivers include Argentina’s managed exchange-rate band regime, which ties monthly crawl rates to trailing inflation data, alongside continued disinflation—monthly CPI readings have moderated toward 1.5–1.7%—and BCRA reserve accumulation that has supported gradual peso depreciation without sharp adjustments. Recent policy signals emphasize inflation control over faster weakening to preserve competitiveness, though real appreciation and 2027 debt maturities remain latent pressures. Upcoming monthly inflation releases and any BCRA interventions will likely shape near-term sentiment as traders assess whether depreciation stays contained below or breaches the 1,600 threshold by year-end.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật1600.00+ 67%
1500.00–1549.99 19.8%
1450.00–1499.99 19.6%
1400.00–1449.99 16.9%
MỚI
MỚI
Dec 30, 2026
<1250.00
7%
1250.00–1299.99
<1%
1300.00–1349.99
<1%
1350.00–1399.99
<1%
1400.00–1449.99
10%
1450.00–1499.99
11%
1500.00–1549.99
11%
1550.00–1599.99
10%
1600.00+
67%
1600.00+ 67%
1500.00–1549.99 19.8%
1450.00–1499.99 19.6%
1400.00–1449.99 16.9%
MỚI
MỚI
Dec 30, 2026
<1250.00
$536 KL.
7%
1250.00–1299.99
$819 KL.
<1%
1300.00–1349.99
$682 KL.
<1%
1350.00–1399.99
$743 KL.
<1%
1400.00–1449.99
$1,245 KL.
10%
1450.00–1499.99
$1,287 KL.
11%
1500.00–1549.99
$1,239 KL.
11%
1550.00–1599.99
$694 KL.
10%
1600.00+
$1,902 KL.
67%
This is a market about Argentina’s official wholesale U.S. dollar exchange rate at market close on the last business day of December 2026, as published by the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA).
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Market-implied odds heavily favor the official ARS/USD rate ending 2026 above 1,600, reflecting consensus analyst projections around 1,650 from the BCRA’s REM and LatinFocus surveys amid current levels near 1,512. Primary drivers include Argentina’s managed exchange-rate band regime, which ties monthly crawl rates to trailing inflation data, alongside continued disinflation—monthly CPI readings have moderated toward 1.5–1.7%—and BCRA reserve accumulation that has supported gradual peso depreciation without sharp adjustments. Recent policy signals emphasize inflation control over faster weakening to preserve competitiveness, though real appreciation and 2027 debt maturities remain latent pressures. Upcoming monthly inflation releases and any BCRA interventions will likely shape near-term sentiment as traders assess whether depreciation stays contained below or breaches the 1,600 threshold by year-end.
This is a market about Argentina’s official wholesale U.S. dollar exchange rate at market close on the last business day of December 2026, as published by the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA).
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Thị trường mở: Jan 21, 2026, 10:25 AM ET
Khối lượng
$9,147Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 21, 2026, 10:25 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about Argentina’s official wholesale U.S. dollar exchange rate at market close on the last business day of December 2026, as published by the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA).
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Market-implied odds heavily favor the official ARS/USD rate ending 2026 above 1,600, reflecting consensus analyst projections around 1,650 from the BCRA’s REM and LatinFocus surveys amid current levels near 1,512. Primary drivers include Argentina’s managed exchange-rate band regime, which ties monthly crawl rates to trailing inflation data, alongside continued disinflation—monthly CPI readings have moderated toward 1.5–1.7%—and BCRA reserve accumulation that has supported gradual peso depreciation without sharp adjustments. Recent policy signals emphasize inflation control over faster weakening to preserve competitiveness, though real appreciation and 2027 debt maturities remain latent pressures. Upcoming monthly inflation releases and any BCRA interventions will likely shape near-term sentiment as traders assess whether depreciation stays contained below or breaches the 1,600 threshold by year-end.
This is a market about Argentina’s official wholesale U.S. dollar exchange rate at market close on the last business day of December 2026, as published by the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA).
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Khối lượng
$9,147Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 21, 2026, 10:25 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...Market-implied odds heavily favor the official ARS/USD rate ending 2026 above 1,600, reflecting consensus analyst projections around 1,650 from the BCRA’s REM and LatinFocus surveys amid current levels near 1,512. Primary drivers include Argentina’s managed exchange-rate band regime, which ties monthly crawl rates to trailing inflation data, alongside continued disinflation—monthly CPI readings have moderated toward 1.5–1.7%—and BCRA reserve accumulation that has supported gradual peso depreciation without sharp adjustments. Recent policy signals emphasize inflation control over faster weakening to preserve competitiveness, though real appreciation and 2027 debt maturities remain latent pressures. Upcoming monthly inflation releases and any BCRA interventions will likely shape near-term sentiment as traders assess whether depreciation stays contained below or breaches the 1,600 threshold by year-end.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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