Argentina's official USD/ARS exchange rate, currently near 1,490, faces continued upward pressure through year-end 2026 due to the central bank's inflation-linked crawling band, which widens monthly at roughly the prior period's inflation rate (around 2–3% recently). This policy, in place since early 2026, prioritizes reserve accumulation and debt servicing amid projected 2026 inflation of 25–30% while avoiding sharp real appreciation. With roughly 4.5 months remaining, the band’s mechanics imply a trajectory toward or above 1,600, aligning with the 63% market-implied probability for that bracket. Key near-term influences include fiscal discipline, export-driven reserve inflows, and any acceleration in monthly price data that could steepen the crawl.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật1600.00+ 59%
1500.00–1549.99 12.5%
1550.00–1599.99 12.5%
1450.00–1499.99 4.9%
MỚI
MỚI
Dec 31, 2026
<1250.00
2%
1250.00–1299.99
<1%
1300.00–1349.99
<1%
1350.00–1399.99
<1%
1400.00–1449.99
5%
1450.00–1499.99
5%
1500.00–1549.99
13%
1550.00–1599.99
13%
1600.00+
65%
1600.00+ 59%
1500.00–1549.99 12.5%
1550.00–1599.99 12.5%
1450.00–1499.99 4.9%
MỚI
MỚI
Dec 31, 2026
<1250.00
$536 KL.
2%
1250.00–1299.99
$790 KL.
<1%
1300.00–1349.99
$677 KL.
<1%
1350.00–1399.99
$730 KL.
<1%
1400.00–1449.99
$1,239 KL.
5%
1450.00–1499.99
$1,264 KL.
5%
1500.00–1549.99
$1,171 KL.
13%
1550.00–1599.99
$694 KL.
13%
1600.00+
$1,902 KL.
65%
This is a market about Argentina’s official wholesale U.S. dollar exchange rate at market close on the last business day of December 2026, as published by the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA).
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Argentina's official USD/ARS exchange rate, currently near 1,490, faces continued upward pressure through year-end 2026 due to the central bank's inflation-linked crawling band, which widens monthly at roughly the prior period's inflation rate (around 2–3% recently). This policy, in place since early 2026, prioritizes reserve accumulation and debt servicing amid projected 2026 inflation of 25–30% while avoiding sharp real appreciation. With roughly 4.5 months remaining, the band’s mechanics imply a trajectory toward or above 1,600, aligning with the 63% market-implied probability for that bracket. Key near-term influences include fiscal discipline, export-driven reserve inflows, and any acceleration in monthly price data that could steepen the crawl.
This is a market about Argentina’s official wholesale U.S. dollar exchange rate at market close on the last business day of December 2026, as published by the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA).
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Thị trường mở: Jan 21, 2026, 10:25 AM ET
Khối lượng
$9,003Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 21, 2026, 10:25 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about Argentina’s official wholesale U.S. dollar exchange rate at market close on the last business day of December 2026, as published by the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA).
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Argentina's official USD/ARS exchange rate, currently near 1,490, faces continued upward pressure through year-end 2026 due to the central bank's inflation-linked crawling band, which widens monthly at roughly the prior period's inflation rate (around 2–3% recently). This policy, in place since early 2026, prioritizes reserve accumulation and debt servicing amid projected 2026 inflation of 25–30% while avoiding sharp real appreciation. With roughly 4.5 months remaining, the band’s mechanics imply a trajectory toward or above 1,600, aligning with the 63% market-implied probability for that bracket. Key near-term influences include fiscal discipline, export-driven reserve inflows, and any acceleration in monthly price data that could steepen the crawl.
This is a market about Argentina’s official wholesale U.S. dollar exchange rate at market close on the last business day of December 2026, as published by the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA).
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Khối lượng
$9,003Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 21, 2026, 10:25 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Argentina's official USD/ARS exchange rate, currently near 1,490, faces continued upward pressure through year-end 2026 due to the central bank's inflation-linked crawling band, which widens monthly at roughly the prior period's inflation rate (around 2–3% recently). This policy, in place since early 2026, prioritizes reserve accumulation and debt servicing amid projected 2026 inflation of 25–30% while avoiding sharp real appreciation. With roughly 4.5 months remaining, the band’s mechanics imply a trajectory toward or above 1,600, aligning with the 63% market-implied probability for that bracket. Key near-term influences include fiscal discipline, export-driven reserve inflows, and any acceleration in monthly price data that could steepen the crawl.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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