Monetary policy divergence between the Federal Reserve and European Central Bank remains the dominant driver of EUR/USD positioning in 2026, with markets pricing a narrower rate differential through year-end. The ECB deposit facility rate stands at 2.00 percent after prior easing, while the Fed funds rate hovers near 3.50–3.75 percent; any additional Fed cuts without matching ECB action would compress the gap by roughly 50–100 basis points and support euro strength. Recent eurozone inflation prints near 3.0 percent in April, fueled by Brent crude above $105 amid Middle East tensions, have raised the probability of an ECB hike as early as June. Traders are monitoring upcoming U.S. CPI releases and the June ECB decision for signals on whether the pair sustains above 1.17 or tests lower supports near 1.15. Geopolitical risks and potential U.S. tariff escalations add volatility layers to the rate-path consensus.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật$74,044 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
↑ 1.40
7%
↑ 1.35
10%
↑ 1.30
30%
↑ 1.26
25%
↑ 1.24
56%
↑ 1.22
55%
↑ 1.20
61%
↓ 1.14
78%
↓ 1.12
40%
↓ 1.10
19%
↓ 1.05
9%
↓ 1.00
5%
$74,044 KL.
↑ 1.40
$1,491 KL.
7%
↑ 1.35
$981 KL.
10%
↑ 1.30
$609 KL.
30%
↑ 1.26
$2,748 KL.
25%
↑ 1.24
$1,815 KL.
56%
↑ 1.22
$320 KL.
55%
↑ 1.20
$40,261 KL.
61%
↓ 1.14
$5,583 KL.
78%
↓ 1.12
$1,814 KL.
40%
↓ 1.10
$2,636 KL.
19%
↓ 1.05
$2,745 KL.
9%
↓ 1.00
$3,181 KL.
5%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Investing.com high price (“H”) for any EUR/USD hourly candle for an hour on or before the listed end date (ET) is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized EUR/USD hourly candle high price is equal to or above the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “H” figure located at the top of the EUR/USD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (e.g., https://www.investing.com/currencies/eur-usd-chart).This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Investing.com low price (“L”) for any EUR/USD hourly candle for an hour on or before the listed end date (ET) is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized EUR/USD hourly candle low price is equal to or below the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “L” figure located at the top of the EUR/USD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (e.g., https://www.investing.com/currencies/eur-usd-chart).Monetary policy divergence between the Federal Reserve and European Central Bank remains the dominant driver of EUR/USD positioning in 2026, with markets pricing a narrower rate differential through year-end. The ECB deposit facility rate stands at 2.00 percent after prior easing, while the Fed funds rate hovers near 3.50–3.75 percent; any additional Fed cuts without matching ECB action would compress the gap by roughly 50–100 basis points and support euro strength. Recent eurozone inflation prints near 3.0 percent in April, fueled by Brent crude above $105 amid Middle East tensions, have raised the probability of an ECB hike as early as June. Traders are monitoring upcoming U.S. CPI releases and the June ECB decision for signals on whether the pair sustains above 1.17 or tests lower supports near 1.15. Geopolitical risks and potential U.S. tariff escalations add volatility layers to the rate-path consensus.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Investing.com high price (“H”) for any EUR/USD hourly candle for an hour on or before the listed end date (ET) is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized EUR/USD hourly candle high price is equal to or above the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “H” figure located at the top of the EUR/USD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (e.g., https://www.investing.com/currencies/eur-usd-chart).
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized EUR/USD hourly candle high price is equal to or above the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “H” figure located at the top of the EUR/USD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (e.g., https://www.investing.com/currencies/eur-usd-chart).
Thị trường mở: Feb 4, 2026, 5:34 PM ET
Khối lượng
$74,044Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Feb 4, 2026, 5:34 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Investing.com high price (“H”) for any EUR/USD hourly candle for an hour on or before the listed end date (ET) is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized EUR/USD hourly candle high price is equal to or above the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “H” figure located at the top of the EUR/USD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (e.g., https://www.investing.com/currencies/eur-usd-chart).This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Investing.com low price (“L”) for any EUR/USD hourly candle for an hour on or before the listed end date (ET) is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized EUR/USD hourly candle low price is equal to or below the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “L” figure located at the top of the EUR/USD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (e.g., https://www.investing.com/currencies/eur-usd-chart).Monetary policy divergence between the Federal Reserve and European Central Bank remains the dominant driver of EUR/USD positioning in 2026, with markets pricing a narrower rate differential through year-end. The ECB deposit facility rate stands at 2.00 percent after prior easing, while the Fed funds rate hovers near 3.50–3.75 percent; any additional Fed cuts without matching ECB action would compress the gap by roughly 50–100 basis points and support euro strength. Recent eurozone inflation prints near 3.0 percent in April, fueled by Brent crude above $105 amid Middle East tensions, have raised the probability of an ECB hike as early as June. Traders are monitoring upcoming U.S. CPI releases and the June ECB decision for signals on whether the pair sustains above 1.17 or tests lower supports near 1.15. Geopolitical risks and potential U.S. tariff escalations add volatility layers to the rate-path consensus.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Investing.com high price (“H”) for any EUR/USD hourly candle for an hour on or before the listed end date (ET) is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized EUR/USD hourly candle high price is equal to or above the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “H” figure located at the top of the EUR/USD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (e.g., https://www.investing.com/currencies/eur-usd-chart).
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized EUR/USD hourly candle high price is equal to or above the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “H” figure located at the top of the EUR/USD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (e.g., https://www.investing.com/currencies/eur-usd-chart).
Khối lượng
$74,044Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Feb 4, 2026, 5:34 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Monetary policy divergence between the Federal Reserve and European Central Bank remains the dominant driver of EUR/USD positioning in 2026, with markets pricing a narrower rate differential through year-end. The ECB deposit facility rate stands at 2.00 percent after prior easing, while the Fed funds rate hovers near 3.50–3.75 percent; any additional Fed cuts without matching ECB action would compress the gap by roughly 50–100 basis points and support euro strength. Recent eurozone inflation prints near 3.0 percent in April, fueled by Brent crude above $105 amid Middle East tensions, have raised the probability of an ECB hike as early as June. Traders are monitoring upcoming U.S. CPI releases and the June ECB decision for signals on whether the pair sustains above 1.17 or tests lower supports near 1.15. Geopolitical risks and potential U.S. tariff escalations add volatility layers to the rate-path consensus.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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