Monetary policy divergence between the Federal Reserve and European Central Bank remains the dominant driver of EUR/USD positioning in 2026, with the pair trading near 1.156 as of mid-August amid shifting rate expectations. Markets currently price limited further Fed easing this year after the central bank raised its 2026 inflation projection and dot-plot median, while the ECB holds its deposit rate near 2.25% with euro-area growth forecasts trimmed to around 0.8%. This narrowing of the rate differential, currently near 150 basis points, supports euro resilience but faces countervailing pressure from U.S. economic data resilience and safe-haven flows tied to geopolitical tensions around the Strait of Hormuz. Traders should monitor the next round of U.S. CPI and nonfarm payrolls releases alongside ECB communications, as any acceleration in U.S. disinflation or fresh eurozone weakness could quickly shift implied probabilities around year-end levels near 1.18–1.20.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật$88,845 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
↑ 1.40
4%
↑ 1.35
3%
↑ 1.30
7%
↑ 1.26
8%
↑ 1.24
9%
↑ 1.22
23%
↑ 1.20
27%
↓ 1.12
48%
↓ 1.10
42%
↓ 1.05
8%
↓ 1.00
5%
$88,845 KL.
↑ 1.40
$2,114 KL.
4%
↑ 1.35
$1,536 KL.
3%
↑ 1.30
$901 KL.
7%
↑ 1.26
$3,132 KL.
8%
↑ 1.24
$2,438 KL.
9%
↑ 1.22
$399 KL.
23%
↑ 1.20
$40,964 KL.
27%
↓ 1.12
$2,826 KL.
48%
↓ 1.10
$3,945 KL.
42%
↓ 1.05
$6,111 KL.
8%
↓ 1.00
$4,490 KL.
5%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Investing.com high price (“H”) for any EUR/USD hourly candle for an hour on or before the listed end date (ET) is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized EUR/USD hourly candle high price is equal to or above the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “H” figure located at the top of the EUR/USD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (e.g., https://www.investing.com/currencies/eur-usd-chart).This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Investing.com low price (“L”) for any EUR/USD hourly candle for an hour on or before the listed end date (ET) is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized EUR/USD hourly candle low price is equal to or below the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “L” figure located at the top of the EUR/USD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (e.g., https://www.investing.com/currencies/eur-usd-chart).Monetary policy divergence between the Federal Reserve and European Central Bank remains the dominant driver of EUR/USD positioning in 2026, with the pair trading near 1.156 as of mid-August amid shifting rate expectations. Markets currently price limited further Fed easing this year after the central bank raised its 2026 inflation projection and dot-plot median, while the ECB holds its deposit rate near 2.25% with euro-area growth forecasts trimmed to around 0.8%. This narrowing of the rate differential, currently near 150 basis points, supports euro resilience but faces countervailing pressure from U.S. economic data resilience and safe-haven flows tied to geopolitical tensions around the Strait of Hormuz. Traders should monitor the next round of U.S. CPI and nonfarm payrolls releases alongside ECB communications, as any acceleration in U.S. disinflation or fresh eurozone weakness could quickly shift implied probabilities around year-end levels near 1.18–1.20.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Investing.com high price (“H”) for any EUR/USD hourly candle for an hour on or before the listed end date (ET) is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized EUR/USD hourly candle high price is equal to or above the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “H” figure located at the top of the EUR/USD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (e.g., https://www.investing.com/currencies/eur-usd-chart).
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized EUR/USD hourly candle high price is equal to or above the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “H” figure located at the top of the EUR/USD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (e.g., https://www.investing.com/currencies/eur-usd-chart).
Thị trường mở: Feb 4, 2026, 5:34 PM ET
Khối lượng
$88,845Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Feb 4, 2026, 5:34 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Investing.com high price (“H”) for any EUR/USD hourly candle for an hour on or before the listed end date (ET) is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized EUR/USD hourly candle high price is equal to or above the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “H” figure located at the top of the EUR/USD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (e.g., https://www.investing.com/currencies/eur-usd-chart).This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Investing.com low price (“L”) for any EUR/USD hourly candle for an hour on or before the listed end date (ET) is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized EUR/USD hourly candle low price is equal to or below the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “L” figure located at the top of the EUR/USD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (e.g., https://www.investing.com/currencies/eur-usd-chart).Monetary policy divergence between the Federal Reserve and European Central Bank remains the dominant driver of EUR/USD positioning in 2026, with the pair trading near 1.156 as of mid-August amid shifting rate expectations. Markets currently price limited further Fed easing this year after the central bank raised its 2026 inflation projection and dot-plot median, while the ECB holds its deposit rate near 2.25% with euro-area growth forecasts trimmed to around 0.8%. This narrowing of the rate differential, currently near 150 basis points, supports euro resilience but faces countervailing pressure from U.S. economic data resilience and safe-haven flows tied to geopolitical tensions around the Strait of Hormuz. Traders should monitor the next round of U.S. CPI and nonfarm payrolls releases alongside ECB communications, as any acceleration in U.S. disinflation or fresh eurozone weakness could quickly shift implied probabilities around year-end levels near 1.18–1.20.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Investing.com high price (“H”) for any EUR/USD hourly candle for an hour on or before the listed end date (ET) is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized EUR/USD hourly candle high price is equal to or above the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “H” figure located at the top of the EUR/USD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (e.g., https://www.investing.com/currencies/eur-usd-chart).
Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday.
This market will resolve as soon as any finalized EUR/USD hourly candle high price is equal to or above the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “H” figure located at the top of the EUR/USD Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (e.g., https://www.investing.com/currencies/eur-usd-chart).
Khối lượng
$88,845Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Feb 4, 2026, 5:34 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Monetary policy divergence between the Federal Reserve and European Central Bank remains the dominant driver of EUR/USD positioning in 2026, with the pair trading near 1.156 as of mid-August amid shifting rate expectations. Markets currently price limited further Fed easing this year after the central bank raised its 2026 inflation projection and dot-plot median, while the ECB holds its deposit rate near 2.25% with euro-area growth forecasts trimmed to around 0.8%. This narrowing of the rate differential, currently near 150 basis points, supports euro resilience but faces countervailing pressure from U.S. economic data resilience and safe-haven flows tied to geopolitical tensions around the Strait of Hormuz. Traders should monitor the next round of U.S. CPI and nonfarm payrolls releases alongside ECB communications, as any acceleration in U.S. disinflation or fresh eurozone weakness could quickly shift implied probabilities around year-end levels near 1.18–1.20.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp