Persistent weak domestic demand, subdued consumer spending, and a struggling property sector continue to anchor expectations for China's 2026 annual CPI inflation in the 0.6-1.0% range. Recent July data showed the headline rate easing to a six-month low of 0.5% year-over-year, driven by declining food prices including pork amid ample supply and softer non-food components as global energy costs retreated following earlier Middle East disruptions. Core inflation held near 0.9%, while producer prices also moderated. Official forecasts and analyst projections from bodies such as the ADB and BBVA cluster around 1.0-1.2% for the full year, reflecting limited pass-through from supply-side pressures and the absence of aggressive demand-side stimulus. These trends reinforce trader consensus around subdued outcomes through year-end.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtChina Annual Inflation 2026
0.6 – 1.0% 44%
1.1 – 1.5% 19%
0.1 – 0.5% 18.1%
2.0-2.4% 5.3%
$72,293 KL.
$72,293 KL.
<-1.0%
3%
-0.9 – -0.5%
2%
-0.4 – 0.0%
2%
0.1 – 0.5%
18%
0.6 – 1.0%
44%
1.1 – 1.5%
19%
1.6 – 2.0%
4%
2.0-2.4%
5%
2.5%+
<1%
0.6 – 1.0% 44%
1.1 – 1.5% 19%
0.1 – 0.5% 18.1%
2.0-2.4% 5.3%
$72,293 KL.
$72,293 KL.
<-1.0%
3%
-0.9 – -0.5%
2%
-0.4 – 0.0%
2%
0.1 – 0.5%
18%
0.6 – 1.0%
44%
1.1 – 1.5%
19%
1.6 – 2.0%
4%
2.0-2.4%
5%
2.5%+
<1%
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
Thị trường mở: Jan 21, 2026, 7:27 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Persistent weak domestic demand, subdued consumer spending, and a struggling property sector continue to anchor expectations for China's 2026 annual CPI inflation in the 0.6-1.0% range. Recent July data showed the headline rate easing to a six-month low of 0.5% year-over-year, driven by declining food prices including pork amid ample supply and softer non-food components as global energy costs retreated following earlier Middle East disruptions. Core inflation held near 0.9%, while producer prices also moderated. Official forecasts and analyst projections from bodies such as the ADB and BBVA cluster around 1.0-1.2% for the full year, reflecting limited pass-through from supply-side pressures and the absence of aggressive demand-side stimulus. These trends reinforce trader consensus around subdued outcomes through year-end.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật


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