Claude Code’s rapid adoption as an agentic coding tool drives the market’s tilt toward 750k+ daily commits by end of June, with traders pricing in sustained growth from Anthropic’s internal usage—where Claude now authors over 80% of merged production code—and external GitHub activity reaching millions of weekly commits. Recent May 2026 disclosures on 8x engineer productivity gains, broader platform integrations, and viral developer adoption have reinforced momentum toward higher volumes, while any near-term API credit changes or usage caps could moderate the trajectory. The 43.5% implied probability on the top bin reflects this trajectory amid tight resolution timing.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật750.0k+ 41%
650.0-700.0k 21.9%
700.0-750.0k 15.6%
500.0-550.0k 12%
MỚI
MỚI
Jun 30, 2026
<500.0k
6%
500.0-550.0k
12%
550.0-600.0k
11%
600.0-650.0k
12%
650.0-700.0k
14%
700.0-750.0k
16%
750.0k+
44%
750.0k+ 41%
650.0-700.0k 21.9%
700.0-750.0k 15.6%
500.0-550.0k 12%
MỚI
MỚI
Jun 30, 2026
<500.0k
$883 KL.
6%
500.0-550.0k
$379 KL.
12%
550.0-600.0k
$446 KL.
11%
600.0-650.0k
$388 KL.
12%
650.0-700.0k
$577 KL.
14%
700.0-750.0k
$694 KL.
16%
750.0k+
$645 KL.
44%
This market will resolve according to the 7-day average commits (7D Avg Commits) figure for the final date of the specified month.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Only daily "7D Avg Commits" figures displayed on the Claude Code Commits Tracker (claude-commits.polymarket.com) will be considered. The resolution source displays underlying data by SemiAnalysis. Figures will be used exactly as published by the resolution source, without rounding.
This market will resolve as soon as the specified figure has been published. If the relevant data is not released by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified timeframe (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been published will not be considered.
This market will resolve solely according to the daily Claude Code Commits data via SemiAnalysis displayed on the Claude Code Commits Tracker at claude-commits.polymarket.com.Claude Code’s rapid adoption as an agentic coding tool drives the market’s tilt toward 750k+ daily commits by end of June, with traders pricing in sustained growth from Anthropic’s internal usage—where Claude now authors over 80% of merged production code—and external GitHub activity reaching millions of weekly commits. Recent May 2026 disclosures on 8x engineer productivity gains, broader platform integrations, and viral developer adoption have reinforced momentum toward higher volumes, while any near-term API credit changes or usage caps could moderate the trajectory. The 43.5% implied probability on the top bin reflects this trajectory amid tight resolution timing.
This market will resolve according to the 7-day average commits (7D Avg Commits) figure for the final date of the specified month.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Only daily "7D Avg Commits" figures displayed on the Claude Code Commits Tracker (claude-commits.polymarket.com) will be considered. The resolution source displays underlying data by SemiAnalysis. Figures will be used exactly as published by the resolution source, without rounding.
This market will resolve as soon as the specified figure has been published. If the relevant data is not released by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified timeframe (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been published will not be considered.
This market will resolve solely according to the daily Claude Code Commits data via SemiAnalysis displayed on the Claude Code Commits Tracker at claude-commits.polymarket.com.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Only daily "7D Avg Commits" figures displayed on the Claude Code Commits Tracker (claude-commits.polymarket.com) will be considered. The resolution source displays underlying data by SemiAnalysis. Figures will be used exactly as published by the resolution source, without rounding.
This market will resolve as soon as the specified figure has been published. If the relevant data is not released by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified timeframe (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been published will not be considered.
This market will resolve solely according to the daily Claude Code Commits data via SemiAnalysis displayed on the Claude Code Commits Tracker at claude-commits.polymarket.com.
Thị trường mở: May 26, 2026, 6:45 PM ET
Khối lượng
$4,012Ngày kết thúc
Jun 30, 2026Thị trường mở
May 26, 2026, 6:45 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the 7-day average commits (7D Avg Commits) figure for the final date of the specified month.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Only daily "7D Avg Commits" figures displayed on the Claude Code Commits Tracker (claude-commits.polymarket.com) will be considered. The resolution source displays underlying data by SemiAnalysis. Figures will be used exactly as published by the resolution source, without rounding.
This market will resolve as soon as the specified figure has been published. If the relevant data is not released by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified timeframe (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been published will not be considered.
This market will resolve solely according to the daily Claude Code Commits data via SemiAnalysis displayed on the Claude Code Commits Tracker at claude-commits.polymarket.com.Claude Code’s rapid adoption as an agentic coding tool drives the market’s tilt toward 750k+ daily commits by end of June, with traders pricing in sustained growth from Anthropic’s internal usage—where Claude now authors over 80% of merged production code—and external GitHub activity reaching millions of weekly commits. Recent May 2026 disclosures on 8x engineer productivity gains, broader platform integrations, and viral developer adoption have reinforced momentum toward higher volumes, while any near-term API credit changes or usage caps could moderate the trajectory. The 43.5% implied probability on the top bin reflects this trajectory amid tight resolution timing.
This market will resolve according to the 7-day average commits (7D Avg Commits) figure for the final date of the specified month.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Only daily "7D Avg Commits" figures displayed on the Claude Code Commits Tracker (claude-commits.polymarket.com) will be considered. The resolution source displays underlying data by SemiAnalysis. Figures will be used exactly as published by the resolution source, without rounding.
This market will resolve as soon as the specified figure has been published. If the relevant data is not released by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified timeframe (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been published will not be considered.
This market will resolve solely according to the daily Claude Code Commits data via SemiAnalysis displayed on the Claude Code Commits Tracker at claude-commits.polymarket.com.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Only daily "7D Avg Commits" figures displayed on the Claude Code Commits Tracker (claude-commits.polymarket.com) will be considered. The resolution source displays underlying data by SemiAnalysis. Figures will be used exactly as published by the resolution source, without rounding.
This market will resolve as soon as the specified figure has been published. If the relevant data is not released by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified timeframe (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been published will not be considered.
This market will resolve solely according to the daily Claude Code Commits data via SemiAnalysis displayed on the Claude Code Commits Tracker at claude-commits.polymarket.com.
Khối lượng
$4,012Ngày kết thúc
Jun 30, 2026Thị trường mở
May 26, 2026, 6:45 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Claude Code’s rapid adoption as an agentic coding tool drives the market’s tilt toward 750k+ daily commits by end of June, with traders pricing in sustained growth from Anthropic’s internal usage—where Claude now authors over 80% of merged production code—and external GitHub activity reaching millions of weekly commits. Recent May 2026 disclosures on 8x engineer productivity gains, broader platform integrations, and viral developer adoption have reinforced momentum toward higher volumes, while any near-term API credit changes or usage caps could moderate the trajectory. The 43.5% implied probability on the top bin reflects this trajectory amid tight resolution timing.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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