Recent outages on June 2 and June 5, along with elevated errors on Opus 4.8 models on June 13, have highlighted Anthropic’s infrastructure strains from surging demand on Claude’s large language models and new agentic tools like Claude Code. These incidents reflect broader scaling challenges in high-traffic periods, consistent with earlier 2026 disruptions, pushing trader consensus toward 6–8 total downtime days for the month at 42% implied probability versus 34% for 9–11 days. Competitive pressure from rival AI platforms and rapid feature expansion continue to test reliability, though status page data shows quick resolutions and near-99% historical uptime in calmer periods. Traders are watching for further incidents through the month’s end.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật6-8 42%
9-11 34%
12+ 14%
3-5 4.6%
$12,879 KL.
$12,879 KL.
Jun 30, 2026
3-5
5%
6-8
42%
9-11
34%
12+
14%
6-8 42%
9-11 34%
12+ 14%
3-5 4.6%
$12,879 KL.
$12,879 KL.
Jun 30, 2026
3-5
$4,244 KL.
5%
6-8
$1,423 KL.
42%
9-11
$1,884 KL.
34%
12+
$2,033 KL.
14%
This market will resolve according to the number of days in June 2026 during which Claude (claude.ai) experiences any downtime.
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days that have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day of the specified month is finalized. If the final day of the specified month has not been finalized by the end of the 7th calendar date after the specified month (ET), this market will resolve based on the days that have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).Recent outages on June 2 and June 5, along with elevated errors on Opus 4.8 models on June 13, have highlighted Anthropic’s infrastructure strains from surging demand on Claude’s large language models and new agentic tools like Claude Code. These incidents reflect broader scaling challenges in high-traffic periods, consistent with earlier 2026 disruptions, pushing trader consensus toward 6–8 total downtime days for the month at 42% implied probability versus 34% for 9–11 days. Competitive pressure from rival AI platforms and rapid feature expansion continue to test reliability, though status page data shows quick resolutions and near-99% historical uptime in calmer periods. Traders are watching for further incidents through the month’s end.
This market will resolve according to the number of days in June 2026 during which Claude (claude.ai) experiences any downtime.
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days that have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day of the specified month is finalized. If the final day of the specified month has not been finalized by the end of the 7th calendar date after the specified month (ET), this market will resolve based on the days that have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days that have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day of the specified month is finalized. If the final day of the specified month has not been finalized by the end of the 7th calendar date after the specified month (ET), this market will resolve based on the days that have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).
Thị trường mở: May 26, 2026, 6:38 PM ET
Khối lượng
$12,879Ngày kết thúc
Jun 30, 2026Thị trường mở
May 26, 2026, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of days in June 2026 during which Claude (claude.ai) experiences any downtime.
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days that have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day of the specified month is finalized. If the final day of the specified month has not been finalized by the end of the 7th calendar date after the specified month (ET), this market will resolve based on the days that have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).Recent outages on June 2 and June 5, along with elevated errors on Opus 4.8 models on June 13, have highlighted Anthropic’s infrastructure strains from surging demand on Claude’s large language models and new agentic tools like Claude Code. These incidents reflect broader scaling challenges in high-traffic periods, consistent with earlier 2026 disruptions, pushing trader consensus toward 6–8 total downtime days for the month at 42% implied probability versus 34% for 9–11 days. Competitive pressure from rival AI platforms and rapid feature expansion continue to test reliability, though status page data shows quick resolutions and near-99% historical uptime in calmer periods. Traders are watching for further incidents through the month’s end.
This market will resolve according to the number of days in June 2026 during which Claude (claude.ai) experiences any downtime.
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days that have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day of the specified month is finalized. If the final day of the specified month has not been finalized by the end of the 7th calendar date after the specified month (ET), this market will resolve based on the days that have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).
Claude will be considered to have experienced downtime on a given day if the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/) displays that day’s status box as any color other than green once the day’s status box is finalized. Daily status boxes for Claude components other than claude.ai will not impact this market’s resolution.
A day will be considered finalized once the following day’s status box has a display color other than the grey color used for days that have not yet begun.
This market will resolve once the final day of the specified month is finalized. If the final day of the specified month has not been finalized by the end of the 7th calendar date after the specified month (ET), this market will resolve based on the days that have been finalized up to that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the Claude Status historical uptime page for the claude.ai component (https://status.claude.com/uptime/).
Khối lượng
$12,879Ngày kết thúc
Jun 30, 2026Thị trường mở
May 26, 2026, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent outages on June 2 and June 5, along with elevated errors on Opus 4.8 models on June 13, have highlighted Anthropic’s infrastructure strains from surging demand on Claude’s large language models and new agentic tools like Claude Code. These incidents reflect broader scaling challenges in high-traffic periods, consistent with earlier 2026 disruptions, pushing trader consensus toward 6–8 total downtime days for the month at 42% implied probability versus 34% for 9–11 days. Competitive pressure from rival AI platforms and rapid feature expansion continue to test reliability, though status page data shows quick resolutions and near-99% historical uptime in calmer periods. Traders are watching for further incidents through the month’s end.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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