Morgan Stanley’s 74% implied probability reflects its lead arranger role in Anthropic’s recently expanded $15 billion revolving credit facility, structured in tiers that mirror expected IPO economics and position the bank for the prized “lead left” bookrunner slot. Recent September 2026 reporting highlights Morgan Stanley’s investor pricing discussions and competitive edge over Goldman Sachs, which holds a stabilization agent role and 14.1% odds amid the same four-bank core syndicate that includes JPMorgan. The IPO’s shift to a mid-October roadshow after a late-September filing has concentrated attention on these established mandates, with trader consensus pricing in the banks’ track records in large tech offerings and the alignment between pre-IPO financing and underwriting selection.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtMorgan Stanley 79%
Goldman Sachs 14.3%
JPMorgan <1%
Bank of America <1%
$65,117 KL.
$65,117 KL.
Dec 31, 2027
Morgan Stanley
74%
Goldman Sachs
14%
JPMorgan
<1%
Bank of America
<1%
Citigroup
<1%
Barclays
<1%
UBS
<1%
Deutsche Bank
<1%
Wells Fargo
<1%
Morgan Stanley 79%
Goldman Sachs 14.3%
JPMorgan <1%
Bank of America <1%
$65,117 KL.
$65,117 KL.
Dec 31, 2027
Morgan Stanley
$17,107 KL.
74%
Goldman Sachs
$12,889 KL.
14%
JPMorgan
$11,535 KL.
<1%
Bank of America
$5,606 KL.
<1%
Citigroup
$4,355 KL.
<1%
Barclays
$3,179 KL.
<1%
UBS
$3,500 KL.
<1%
Deutsche Bank
$4,228 KL.
<1%
Wells Fargo
$2,716 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of Anthropic.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or Anthropic completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of Anthropic’s final initial public offering prospectus, once released.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from Anthropic. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Morgan Stanley’s 74% implied probability reflects its lead arranger role in Anthropic’s recently expanded $15 billion revolving credit facility, structured in tiers that mirror expected IPO economics and position the bank for the prized “lead left” bookrunner slot. Recent September 2026 reporting highlights Morgan Stanley’s investor pricing discussions and competitive edge over Goldman Sachs, which holds a stabilization agent role and 14.1% odds amid the same four-bank core syndicate that includes JPMorgan. The IPO’s shift to a mid-October roadshow after a late-September filing has concentrated attention on these established mandates, with trader consensus pricing in the banks’ track records in large tech offerings and the alignment between pre-IPO financing and underwriting selection.
This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of Anthropic.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or Anthropic completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of Anthropic’s final initial public offering prospectus, once released.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from Anthropic. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or Anthropic completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of Anthropic’s final initial public offering prospectus, once released.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from Anthropic. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Thị trường mở: Jun 1, 2026, 5:06 PM ET
Khối lượng
$65,117Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2027Thị trường mở
Jun 1, 2026, 5:06 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of Anthropic.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or Anthropic completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of Anthropic’s final initial public offering prospectus, once released.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from Anthropic. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Morgan Stanley’s 74% implied probability reflects its lead arranger role in Anthropic’s recently expanded $15 billion revolving credit facility, structured in tiers that mirror expected IPO economics and position the bank for the prized “lead left” bookrunner slot. Recent September 2026 reporting highlights Morgan Stanley’s investor pricing discussions and competitive edge over Goldman Sachs, which holds a stabilization agent role and 14.1% odds amid the same four-bank core syndicate that includes JPMorgan. The IPO’s shift to a mid-October roadshow after a late-September filing has concentrated attention on these established mandates, with trader consensus pricing in the banks’ track records in large tech offerings and the alignment between pre-IPO financing and underwriting selection.
This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of Anthropic.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or Anthropic completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of Anthropic’s final initial public offering prospectus, once released.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from Anthropic. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or Anthropic completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of Anthropic’s final initial public offering prospectus, once released.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from Anthropic. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Khối lượng
$65,117Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2027Thị trường mở
Jun 1, 2026, 5:06 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Morgan Stanley’s 74% implied probability reflects its lead arranger role in Anthropic’s recently expanded $15 billion revolving credit facility, structured in tiers that mirror expected IPO economics and position the bank for the prized “lead left” bookrunner slot. Recent September 2026 reporting highlights Morgan Stanley’s investor pricing discussions and competitive edge over Goldman Sachs, which holds a stabilization agent role and 14.1% odds amid the same four-bank core syndicate that includes JPMorgan. The IPO’s shift to a mid-October roadshow after a late-September filing has concentrated attention on these established mandates, with trader consensus pricing in the banks’ track records in large tech offerings and the alignment between pre-IPO financing and underwriting selection.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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