On June 9, 2026, Anthropic released the AI model “Claude Fable 5” to the general public. On June 12, 2026, Anthropic suspended access to the specified model in response to a directive from the US government.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic restores access to “Claude Fable 5,” also known as “Claude Mythos,” or a model confirmed to be the same model to US customers by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A qualifying model must be named "Claude Fable 5” or “Claude Mythos” (e.g., Claude Mythos 1, Claude Mythos 5, Claude Mythos X, would count), or be confirmed by Anthropic or by a consensus of credible reporting to be the same model as released by Anthropic on June 9, 2026.
Products labeled as Claude Haiku, Sonnet, and Opus 4.7/5.0 or similar will not count for this market's resolution unless they are confirmed to be the same model released by Anthropic on June 9, 2026.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the qualifying model (as defined above) must be restored to public accessibility within the United States, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The restoration must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to US customers. If an otherwise qualifying restoration restricts access to certain customers based on nationality, whether geographically inside or outside of the US, that restoration will still qualify.
If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.US government export controls citing national security concerns triggered Anthropic's abrupt global suspension of Claude Fable 5, its most advanced large language model with enhanced agentic capabilities, just days after the June 9 public launch. The directive targeted foreign nationals, but Anthropic disabled access for all users—including US customers—because real-time filtering proved impractical, routing queries to weaker models like Opus 4.8 instead. Ongoing high-level talks with the White House reflect unresolved tensions over potential guardrail bypasses and model power, while the company publicly calls the move a likely misunderstanding and works toward restoration. Traders are watching for any policy carve-out or technical fix that could quickly reopen US access amid competitive pressure from other frontier AI labs.
On June 9, 2026, Anthropic released the AI model “Claude Fable 5” to the general public. On June 12, 2026, Anthropic suspended access to the specified model in response to a directive from the US government.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic restores access to “Claude Fable 5,” also known as “Claude Mythos,” or a model confirmed to be the same model to US customers by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A qualifying model must be named "Claude Fable 5” or “Claude Mythos” (e.g., Claude Mythos 1, Claude Mythos 5, Claude Mythos X, would count), or be confirmed by Anthropic or by a consensus of credible reporting to be the same model as released by Anthropic on June 9, 2026.
Products labeled as Claude Haiku, Sonnet, and Opus 4.7/5.0 or similar will not count for this market's resolution unless they are confirmed to be the same model released by Anthropic on June 9, 2026.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the qualifying model (as defined above) must be restored to public accessibility within the United States, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The restoration must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to US customers. If an otherwise qualifying restoration restricts access to certain customers based on nationality, whether geographically inside or outside of the US, that restoration will still qualify.
If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
On June 9, 2026, Anthropic released the AI model “Claude Fable 5” to the general public. On June 12, 2026, Anthropic suspended access to the specified model in response to a directive from the US government.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic restores access to “Claude Fable 5,” also known as “Claude Mythos,” or a model confirmed to be the same model to US customers by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A qualifying model must be named "Claude Fable 5” or “Claude Mythos” (e.g., Claude Mythos 1, Claude Mythos 5, Claude Mythos X, would count), or be confirmed by Anthropic or by a consensus of credible reporting to be the same model as released by Anthropic on June 9, 2026.
Products labeled as Claude Haiku, Sonnet, and Opus 4.7/5.0 or similar will not count for this market's resolution unless they are confirmed to be the same model released by Anthropic on June 9, 2026.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the qualifying model (as defined above) must be restored to public accessibility within the United States, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The restoration must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to US customers. If an otherwise qualifying restoration restricts access to certain customers based on nationality, whether geographically inside or outside of the US, that restoration will still qualify.
If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
US government export controls citing national security concerns triggered Anthropic's abrupt global suspension of Claude Fable 5, its most advanced large language model with enhanced agentic capabilities, just days after the June 9 public launch. The directive targeted foreign nationals, but Anthropic disabled access for all users—including US customers—because real-time filtering proved impractical, routing queries to weaker models like Opus 4.8 instead. Ongoing high-level talks with the White House reflect unresolved tensions over potential guardrail bypasses and model power, while the company publicly calls the move a likely misunderstanding and works toward restoration. Traders are watching for any policy carve-out or technical fix that could quickly reopen US access amid competitive pressure from other frontier AI labs.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Jun 18 2026
Anthropic confirms Claude Fable 5 restoration plans with credit-based access starting June 23
July 1 surges to 74%34%
Anthropic confirmed that Claude Fable 5 will transition to a credit-based access model starting June 23, after the free access window ends on June 22. The company intends to restore Fable 5 as a standard feature of subscription plans once sufficient compute capacity is available, indicating a pathway for US customers to regain public access.
Jun 18 2026
No restoration of Claude Fable 5 access announced as of June 18, 2026
June 18 plunges to 0%43%
Despite ongoing negotiations and public pressure, Anthropic has not announced any restoration of access to Claude Fable 5 or Mythos 5 for US customers or others. The models remain disabled globally due to the US government export control directive.
Jun 16 2026
Rumor claims Claude Fable 5 access will be restored within 48 hours
June 19 plunges to 10%47%
A third-party account called BridgeMind posted on social media that Claude Fable 5 access would be restored within 48 hours. This rumor spread widely, briefly boosting market prices despite lacking official confirmation from Anthropic.
Jun 16 2026
Anthropic executive says Fable 5 may return "in the coming days"
June 19 plunges to 10%47%
At Anthropic's Seoul office launch, Managing Director Chris Ciauri reportedly said the suspended Fable 5 / Mythos 5 models could become available again "in the coming days." This unofficial comment provided some hope but no firm restoration date, contributing to market volatility.
Jun 15 2026
Anthropic senior engineers meet US Commerce Department to negotiate restoration of Claude Fable 5 access
June 19 surges to 57%17%
Anthropic dispatched senior technical staff to Washington for face-to-face talks with Commerce Department officials, aiming to resolve the export control dispute and restore access to Claude Fable 5 and Mythos 5. The meeting was the first in-person discussion since the directive was issued.
Jun 14 2026
Anthropic offers refunds to customers after Claude Fable 5 shutdown
June 26 plunges to 51%21%
After the forced suspension of Claude Fable 5, Anthropic began offering prorated refunds to customers who upgraded their plans to access Fable 5 between June 9 and June 14. This event reflected ongoing fallout and uncertainty about the model's availability, impacting market sentiment for near-term restoration dates.
Jun 14 2026
Cybersecurity leaders urge US government to lift restrictions on Claude Fable 5 and Mythos 5
June 19 plunges to 0%43%
Over 150 cybersecurity executives and technical leaders signed an open letter to the US government, arguing that the export control directive removing access to Anthropic's most powerful AI models handicaps defenders without effectively slowing attackers. They called for the restrictions to be lifted to restore advanced AI tools for cybersecurity defense.
Jun 14 2026
Anthropic sends senior engineers to Washington seeking to lift Fable 5 export ban
July 1 surges to 73%29%
Anthropic dispatched senior technical staff to meet with US government officials in an effort to negotiate lifting the export restrictions that forced the shutdown of Claude Fable 5 and Mythos 5 worldwide. This indicated ongoing efforts to restore access but no public announcement of restoration was made within the analysis window.
Jun 13 2026
Anthropic Promises to Work on Restoring Access to Suspended Models
July 1 surges to 77%31%
Anthropic stated it is actively working to resolve the regulatory concerns and restore access to Fable 5 and Mythos 5 as soon as possible, shifting market expectations to later dates.
Jun 13 2026
Anthropic announces June 23 Fable 5 restoration plan
June 26 jumps to 14%8%
Anthropic stated it plans to restore Claude Fable 5 to subscription plans after June 22, with full plan inclusion expected once capacity allows, signaling potential future accessibility.
Jun 13 2026
Anthropic Confirms Global Suspension of Fable 5 and Mythos 5 to Comply with US Directive
June 19 plunges to 12%45%
Anthropic officially took down access to both models globally on June 13, 2026, to comply with the export control directive, while publicly disputing the severity of the alleged jailbreak.
Jun 13 2026
Anthropic publicly confirms suspension of Claude Fable 5 and Mythos 5 access due to US government directive
July 1 dips to 71%1%
Anthropic announced it had suspended access to Claude Fable 5 and Mythos 5 following a US government export control directive citing national security concerns. The company stated it was working to restore access as soon as possible but disagreed with the government's assessment that a narrow jailbreak justified the suspension.
Jun 13 2026
Anthropic confirms suspension of Claude Fable 5 and Mythos 5 access globally
July 1 surges to 72%36%
Following the US government directive, Anthropic confirmed that access to Claude Fable 5 and Claude Mythos 5 was suspended worldwide, including for US customers, with no immediate timeline for restoration. Other Claude models remained available. This confirmed that Claude Fable 5 was not restored to US customers by the market's resolution date.
Jun 13 2026
Anthropic announces plans to restore Claude Fable 5 access to US customers
July 1 surges to 77%31%
Following the government directive, Anthropic publicly stated it is working to restore access to Claude Fable 5 for US customers and promised more details within 24 hours. This announcement led to a rebound in market prices as investors anticipated a resolution allowing US users to regain access.
Jun 13 2026
Anthropic states US government directive is a misunderstanding and works to restore access
July 1 surges to 77%31%
Anthropic publicly disputed the US government's basis for the export control directive, calling it a misunderstanding and emphasizing the narrow, non-universal nature of the alleged jailbreak. The company committed to working with officials to restore access to Claude Fable 5 and Mythos 5 as soon as possible, providing some market support.
On June 9, 2026, Anthropic released the AI model “Claude Fable 5” to the general public. On June 12, 2026, Anthropic suspended access to the specified model in response to a directive from the US government.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic restores access to “Claude Fable 5,” also known as “Claude Mythos,” or a model confirmed to be the same model to US customers by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A qualifying model must be named "Claude Fable 5” or “Claude Mythos” (e.g., Claude Mythos 1, Claude Mythos 5, Claude Mythos X, would count), or be confirmed by Anthropic or by a consensus of credible reporting to be the same model as released by Anthropic on June 9, 2026.
Products labeled as Claude Haiku, Sonnet, and Opus 4.7/5.0 or similar will not count for this market's resolution unless they are confirmed to be the same model released by Anthropic on June 9, 2026.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the qualifying model (as defined above) must be restored to public accessibility within the United States, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The restoration must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to US customers. If an otherwise qualifying restoration restricts access to certain customers based on nationality, whether geographically inside or outside of the US, that restoration will still qualify.
If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.US government export controls citing national security concerns triggered Anthropic's abrupt global suspension of Claude Fable 5, its most advanced large language model with enhanced agentic capabilities, just days after the June 9 public launch. The directive targeted foreign nationals, but Anthropic disabled access for all users—including US customers—because real-time filtering proved impractical, routing queries to weaker models like Opus 4.8 instead. Ongoing high-level talks with the White House reflect unresolved tensions over potential guardrail bypasses and model power, while the company publicly calls the move a likely misunderstanding and works toward restoration. Traders are watching for any policy carve-out or technical fix that could quickly reopen US access amid competitive pressure from other frontier AI labs.
On June 9, 2026, Anthropic released the AI model “Claude Fable 5” to the general public. On June 12, 2026, Anthropic suspended access to the specified model in response to a directive from the US government.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic restores access to “Claude Fable 5,” also known as “Claude Mythos,” or a model confirmed to be the same model to US customers by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A qualifying model must be named "Claude Fable 5” or “Claude Mythos” (e.g., Claude Mythos 1, Claude Mythos 5, Claude Mythos X, would count), or be confirmed by Anthropic or by a consensus of credible reporting to be the same model as released by Anthropic on June 9, 2026.
Products labeled as Claude Haiku, Sonnet, and Opus 4.7/5.0 or similar will not count for this market's resolution unless they are confirmed to be the same model released by Anthropic on June 9, 2026.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the qualifying model (as defined above) must be restored to public accessibility within the United States, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The restoration must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to US customers. If an otherwise qualifying restoration restricts access to certain customers based on nationality, whether geographically inside or outside of the US, that restoration will still qualify.
If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
On June 9, 2026, Anthropic released the AI model “Claude Fable 5” to the general public. On June 12, 2026, Anthropic suspended access to the specified model in response to a directive from the US government.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic restores access to “Claude Fable 5,” also known as “Claude Mythos,” or a model confirmed to be the same model to US customers by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A qualifying model must be named "Claude Fable 5” or “Claude Mythos” (e.g., Claude Mythos 1, Claude Mythos 5, Claude Mythos X, would count), or be confirmed by Anthropic or by a consensus of credible reporting to be the same model as released by Anthropic on June 9, 2026.
Products labeled as Claude Haiku, Sonnet, and Opus 4.7/5.0 or similar will not count for this market's resolution unless they are confirmed to be the same model released by Anthropic on June 9, 2026.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the qualifying model (as defined above) must be restored to public accessibility within the United States, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The restoration must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to US customers. If an otherwise qualifying restoration restricts access to certain customers based on nationality, whether geographically inside or outside of the US, that restoration will still qualify.
If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
US government export controls citing national security concerns triggered Anthropic's abrupt global suspension of Claude Fable 5, its most advanced large language model with enhanced agentic capabilities, just days after the June 9 public launch. The directive targeted foreign nationals, but Anthropic disabled access for all users—including US customers—because real-time filtering proved impractical, routing queries to weaker models like Opus 4.8 instead. Ongoing high-level talks with the White House reflect unresolved tensions over potential guardrail bypasses and model power, while the company publicly calls the move a likely misunderstanding and works toward restoration. Traders are watching for any policy carve-out or technical fix that could quickly reopen US access amid competitive pressure from other frontier AI labs.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Jun 18 2026
Anthropic confirms Claude Fable 5 restoration plans with credit-based access starting June 23
July 1 surges to 74%34%
Anthropic confirmed that Claude Fable 5 will transition to a credit-based access model starting June 23, after the free access window ends on June 22. The company intends to restore Fable 5 as a standard feature of subscription plans once sufficient compute capacity is available, indicating a pathway for US customers to regain public access.
Jun 18 2026
No restoration of Claude Fable 5 access announced as of June 18, 2026
June 18 plunges to 0%43%
Despite ongoing negotiations and public pressure, Anthropic has not announced any restoration of access to Claude Fable 5 or Mythos 5 for US customers or others. The models remain disabled globally due to the US government export control directive.
Jun 16 2026
Rumor claims Claude Fable 5 access will be restored within 48 hours
June 19 plunges to 10%47%
A third-party account called BridgeMind posted on social media that Claude Fable 5 access would be restored within 48 hours. This rumor spread widely, briefly boosting market prices despite lacking official confirmation from Anthropic.
Jun 16 2026
Anthropic executive says Fable 5 may return "in the coming days"
June 19 plunges to 10%47%
At Anthropic's Seoul office launch, Managing Director Chris Ciauri reportedly said the suspended Fable 5 / Mythos 5 models could become available again "in the coming days." This unofficial comment provided some hope but no firm restoration date, contributing to market volatility.
Jun 15 2026
Anthropic senior engineers meet US Commerce Department to negotiate restoration of Claude Fable 5 access
June 19 surges to 57%17%
Anthropic dispatched senior technical staff to Washington for face-to-face talks with Commerce Department officials, aiming to resolve the export control dispute and restore access to Claude Fable 5 and Mythos 5. The meeting was the first in-person discussion since the directive was issued.
Jun 14 2026
Anthropic offers refunds to customers after Claude Fable 5 shutdown
June 26 plunges to 51%21%
After the forced suspension of Claude Fable 5, Anthropic began offering prorated refunds to customers who upgraded their plans to access Fable 5 between June 9 and June 14. This event reflected ongoing fallout and uncertainty about the model's availability, impacting market sentiment for near-term restoration dates.
Jun 14 2026
Cybersecurity leaders urge US government to lift restrictions on Claude Fable 5 and Mythos 5
June 19 plunges to 0%43%
Over 150 cybersecurity executives and technical leaders signed an open letter to the US government, arguing that the export control directive removing access to Anthropic's most powerful AI models handicaps defenders without effectively slowing attackers. They called for the restrictions to be lifted to restore advanced AI tools for cybersecurity defense.
Jun 14 2026
Anthropic sends senior engineers to Washington seeking to lift Fable 5 export ban
July 1 surges to 73%29%
Anthropic dispatched senior technical staff to meet with US government officials in an effort to negotiate lifting the export restrictions that forced the shutdown of Claude Fable 5 and Mythos 5 worldwide. This indicated ongoing efforts to restore access but no public announcement of restoration was made within the analysis window.
Jun 13 2026
Anthropic Promises to Work on Restoring Access to Suspended Models
July 1 surges to 77%31%
Anthropic stated it is actively working to resolve the regulatory concerns and restore access to Fable 5 and Mythos 5 as soon as possible, shifting market expectations to later dates.
Jun 13 2026
Anthropic announces June 23 Fable 5 restoration plan
June 26 jumps to 14%8%
Anthropic stated it plans to restore Claude Fable 5 to subscription plans after June 22, with full plan inclusion expected once capacity allows, signaling potential future accessibility.
Jun 13 2026
Anthropic Confirms Global Suspension of Fable 5 and Mythos 5 to Comply with US Directive
June 19 plunges to 12%45%
Anthropic officially took down access to both models globally on June 13, 2026, to comply with the export control directive, while publicly disputing the severity of the alleged jailbreak.
Jun 13 2026
Anthropic publicly confirms suspension of Claude Fable 5 and Mythos 5 access due to US government directive
July 1 dips to 71%1%
Anthropic announced it had suspended access to Claude Fable 5 and Mythos 5 following a US government export control directive citing national security concerns. The company stated it was working to restore access as soon as possible but disagreed with the government's assessment that a narrow jailbreak justified the suspension.
Jun 13 2026
Anthropic confirms suspension of Claude Fable 5 and Mythos 5 access globally
July 1 surges to 72%36%
Following the US government directive, Anthropic confirmed that access to Claude Fable 5 and Claude Mythos 5 was suspended worldwide, including for US customers, with no immediate timeline for restoration. Other Claude models remained available. This confirmed that Claude Fable 5 was not restored to US customers by the market's resolution date.
Jun 13 2026
Anthropic announces plans to restore Claude Fable 5 access to US customers
July 1 surges to 77%31%
Following the government directive, Anthropic publicly stated it is working to restore access to Claude Fable 5 for US customers and promised more details within 24 hours. This announcement led to a rebound in market prices as investors anticipated a resolution allowing US users to regain access.
Jun 13 2026
Anthropic states US government directive is a misunderstanding and works to restore access
July 1 surges to 77%31%
Anthropic publicly disputed the US government's basis for the export control directive, calling it a misunderstanding and emphasizing the narrow, non-universal nature of the alleged jailbreak. The company committed to working with officials to restore access to Claude Fable 5 and Mythos 5 as soon as possible, providing some market support.
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Câu hỏi thường gặp
"Claude Fable 5 restored for US customers by…?" là thị trường dự đoán trên Polymarket với 8 kết quả có thể nơi các nhà giao dịch mua và bán cổ phần dựa trên điều họ tin sẽ xảy ra. Kết quả dẫn đầu hiện tại là "July 1" ở mức 71%, tiếp theo là "June 26" ở mức 57%. Giá phản ánh xác suất cộng đồng theo thời gian thực. Ví dụ, cổ phần ở giá 71¢ ngụ ý thị trường tập thể cho rằng có 71% khả năng cho kết quả đó. Tỷ lệ này thay đổi liên tục khi trader phản ứng với diễn biến và thông tin mới. Cổ phần đúng kết quả có thể đổi lấy $1 mỗi cổ phần khi thị trường được giải quyết.
Tính đến hôm nay, "Claude Fable 5 restored for US customers by…?" đã tạo $1.1 million tổng khối lượng giao dịch kể từ khi thị trường mở vào Jun 13, 2026. Mức hoạt động giao dịch này phản ánh sự tham gia mạnh mẽ từ cộng đồng Polymarket và giúp đảm bảo tỷ lệ hiện tại được thông tin bởi nhóm người tham gia thị trường sâu rộng. Bạn có thể theo dõi biến động giá trực tiếp và giao dịch trên bất kỳ kết quả nào ngay trên trang này.
Để giao dịch trên "Claude Fable 5 restored for US customers by…?," duyệt 8 kết quả có sẵn trên trang này. Mỗi kết quả hiển thị giá hiện tại đại diện cho xác suất ngụ ý của thị trường. Để mở vị thế, chọn kết quả bạn tin là có khả năng nhất, chọn "Có" để giao dịch ủng hộ hoặc "Không" để giao dịch chống, nhập số tiền và nhấn "Giao dịch." Nếu kết quả bạn chọn đúng khi thị trường giải quyết, cổ phần "Có" của bạn trả $1 mỗi cổ phần. Nếu sai, chúng trả $0. Bạn cũng có thể bán cổ phần bất cứ lúc nào trước khi giải quyết nếu muốn chốt lời hoặc cắt lỗ.
Ứng viên dẫn đầu hiện tại cho "Claude Fable 5 restored for US customers by…?" là "July 1" ở mức 71%, nghĩa là thị trường cho 71% khả năng cho kết quả đó. Kết quả gần nhất tiếp theo là "June 26" ở mức 57%. Tỷ lệ cập nhật theo thời gian thực khi trader mua và bán cổ phần, phản ánh cái nhìn tập thể mới nhất về điều có khả năng xảy ra nhất. Kiểm tra thường xuyên hoặc đánh dấu trang này để theo dõi tỷ lệ thay đổi khi thông tin mới xuất hiện.
Quy tắc giải quyết cho "Claude Fable 5 restored for US customers by…?" định nghĩa chính xác điều gì cần xảy ra để mỗi kết quả được tuyên bố thắng — bao gồm nguồn dữ liệu chính thức được sử dụng để xác định kết quả. Bạn có thể xem tiêu chí giải quyết đầy đủ trong phần "Quy tắc" trên trang này phía trên bình luận. Chúng tôi khuyên đọc kỹ quy tắc trước khi giao dịch, vì chúng chỉ rõ điều kiện, trường hợp ngoại lệ và nguồn chính xác quản lý cách thị trường được thanh toán.
Có. Bạn không cần giao dịch để cập nhật thông tin. Trang này đóng vai trò theo dõi trực tiếp cho "Claude Fable 5 restored for US customers by…?." Xác suất kết quả cập nhật theo thời gian thực khi có giao dịch mới. Bạn có thể đánh dấu trang này và kiểm tra phần bình luận để xem trader khác đang nói gì. Bạn cũng có thể sử dụng bộ lọc khoảng thời gian trên biểu đồ để xem tỷ lệ đã thay đổi thế nào. Đây là cửa sổ miễn phí, thời gian thực vào điều thị trường kỳ vọng sẽ xảy ra.
Tỷ lệ Polymarket được đặt bởi trader thực đặt tiền thực đằng sau niềm tin, có xu hướng đưa ra dự đoán chính xác. Với $1.1 million được giao dịch trên "Claude Fable 5 restored for US customers by…?," giá này tổng hợp kiến thức và niềm tin tập thể của hàng nghìn người tham gia — thường vượt trội hơn thăm dò, dự báo chuyên gia và khảo sát truyền thống. Thị trường dự đoán như Polymarket có thành tích chính xác mạnh, đặc biệt khi sự kiện tiến gần ngày giải quyết. Ví dụ, Polymarket có điểm chính xác một tháng là 94%. Để biết thống kê mới nhất về độ chính xác dự đoán của Polymarket, truy cập trang độ chính xác trên Polymarket.
Để đặt lệnh đầu tiên trên "Claude Fable 5 restored for US customers by…?," đăng ký tài khoản Polymarket miễn phí và nạp tiền bằng crypto, thẻ tín dụng hoặc ghi nợ, hoặc chuyển khoản ngân hàng. Khi tài khoản đã được nạp, quay lại trang này, chọn kết quả bạn muốn giao dịch, nhập số tiền và nhấn "Giao dịch." Nếu bạn mới với thị trường dự đoán, nhấn liên kết "Cách hoạt động" ở đầu bất kỳ trang Polymarket nào để xem hướng dẫn từng bước nhanh về cách giao dịch.
Trên Polymarket, giá của mỗi kết quả đại diện cho xác suất ngụ ý của thị trường. Giá 71¢ cho "July 1" trong thị trường "Claude Fable 5 restored for US customers by…?" nghĩa là trader tập thể tin rằng có khoảng 71% khả năng "July 1" sẽ là kết quả đúng. Nếu bạn mua cổ phần "Có" ở 71¢ và kết quả đúng, bạn nhận $1.00 mỗi cổ phần — lợi nhuận 29¢ mỗi cổ phần. Nếu sai, cổ phần đó giá trị $0.
Thị trường "Claude Fable 5 restored for US customers by…?" dự kiến giải quyết vào hoặc khoảng Jul 1, 2026. Điều này có nghĩa giao dịch vẫn mở và tỷ lệ tiếp tục thay đổi khi thông tin mới xuất hiện cho đến ngày đó. Thời gian giải quyết chính xác phụ thuộc vào khi kết quả chính thức có sẵn, như được nêu trong phần "Quy tắc" trên trang này.
Thị trường "Claude Fable 5 restored for US customers by…?" có cộng đồng sôi động với 88 bình luận nơi trader chia sẻ phân tích, tranh luận kết quả và thảo luận diễn biến mới nhất. Cuộn xuống phần bình luận bên dưới để đọc ý kiến từ người tham gia khác. Bạn cũng có thể lọc theo "Người nắm giữ hàng đầu" để xem trader lớn nhất đang nắm giữ vị thế ở đâu, hoặc kiểm tra tab "Hoạt động" cho dữ liệu giao dịch theo thời gian thực.
Polymarket là thị trường dự đoán lớn nhất thế giới, nơi bạn có thể cập nhật thông tin và kiếm lợi nhuận từ kiến thức về sự kiện thực tế. Trader mua và bán cổ phần trên kết quả cho các chủ đề từ chính trị và bầu cử đến crypto, tài chính, thể thao, công nghệ và văn hoá, bao gồm các thị trường như "Claude Fable 5 restored for US customers by…?." Giá phản ánh xác suất cộng đồng theo thời gian thực được hỗ trợ bởi niềm tin tài chính, thường cung cấp tín hiệu nhanh và chính xác hơn thăm dò, bình luận viên hoặc khảo sát truyền thống.
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