Trump's Truth Social activity has averaged roughly 18 posts per day in 2025 and early 2026, producing weekly totals near 126–144 over seven or eight days and aligning with the clustered probabilities around 120–159. High-variance days, including multiple instances exceeding 100 posts or late-night surges above 160, sustain the 23.5% share for 200+, while quieter stretches keep lower brackets viable. Trader consensus remains tight because posting volume responds to unpredictable news cycles, policy announcements, and personal activity patterns rather than fixed schedules, with no dominant catalyst yet identified for the August 7–14 window that would clearly favor one range over the others.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật200+ 23%
140-159 17%
120-139 16%
160-179 16%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 14, 2026
<20
1%
20-39
1%
40-59
1%
60-79
3%
80-99
7%
100-119
15%
120-139
16%
140-159
17%
160-179
16%
180-199
9%
200+
23%
200+ 23%
140-159 17%
120-139 16%
160-179 16%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 14, 2026
<20
$624 KL.
1%
20-39
$199 KL.
1%
40-59
$149 KL.
1%
60-79
$251 KL.
3%
80-99
$487 KL.
7%
100-119
$575 KL.
15%
120-139
$416 KL.
16%
140-159
$420 KL.
17%
160-179
$976 KL.
16%
180-199
$556 KL.
9%
200+
$694 KL.
23%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between August 7, 12:00 PM ET and August 14, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trump's Truth Social activity has averaged roughly 18 posts per day in 2025 and early 2026, producing weekly totals near 126–144 over seven or eight days and aligning with the clustered probabilities around 120–159. High-variance days, including multiple instances exceeding 100 posts or late-night surges above 160, sustain the 23.5% share for 200+, while quieter stretches keep lower brackets viable. Trader consensus remains tight because posting volume responds to unpredictable news cycles, policy announcements, and personal activity patterns rather than fixed schedules, with no dominant catalyst yet identified for the August 7–14 window that would clearly favor one range over the others.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between August 7, 12:00 PM ET and August 14, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Thị trường mở: Aug 4, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Khối lượng
$5,347Ngày kết thúc
Aug 14, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 4, 2026, 12:00 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrumpResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between August 7, 12:00 PM ET and August 14, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trump's Truth Social activity has averaged roughly 18 posts per day in 2025 and early 2026, producing weekly totals near 126–144 over seven or eight days and aligning with the clustered probabilities around 120–159. High-variance days, including multiple instances exceeding 100 posts or late-night surges above 160, sustain the 23.5% share for 200+, while quieter stretches keep lower brackets viable. Trader consensus remains tight because posting volume responds to unpredictable news cycles, policy announcements, and personal activity patterns rather than fixed schedules, with no dominant catalyst yet identified for the August 7–14 window that would clearly favor one range over the others.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between August 7, 12:00 PM ET and August 14, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Khối lượng
$5,347Ngày kết thúc
Aug 14, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 4, 2026, 12:00 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrumpResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trump's Truth Social activity has averaged roughly 18 posts per day in 2025 and early 2026, producing weekly totals near 126–144 over seven or eight days and aligning with the clustered probabilities around 120–159. High-variance days, including multiple instances exceeding 100 posts or late-night surges above 160, sustain the 23.5% share for 200+, while quieter stretches keep lower brackets viable. Trader consensus remains tight because posting volume responds to unpredictable news cycles, policy announcements, and personal activity patterns rather than fixed schedules, with no dominant catalyst yet identified for the August 7–14 window that would clearly favor one range over the others.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp