Trader consensus overwhelmingly backs 140-159 X posts by Elon Musk from April 28 12:00 PM ET to May 5 noon ET at 100% implied probability, anchored by the official xtracker.polymarket.com tally of 158 main feed posts, quotes, and reposts as of 11:51 AM EST today, with the window now expired. Initial low output—mere 5 posts on April 28 amid OpenAI trial court appearances—gave way to a mid-week surge of 45 on May 3 fueled by viral tech and cultural engagements, tapering to 12 on May 4 and minimal May 5 activity. Backed by $10.7M volume, this reflects traders' trust in Musk's trackable social media cadence. A slim upset to 160-179 hinges on rare tracker oversights or disputed edge-case posts, improbable given historical patterns and prompt resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật140-159 100.0%
<20 <1%
20-39 <1%
40-59 <1%
$10,842,855 KL.
$10,842,855 KL.
<20
No
20-39
No
40-59
No
60-79
No
80-99
No
100-119
No
120-139
No
140-159
Yes
160-179
No
180-199
No
200-219
No
220-239
No
240-259
No
260-279
No
280-299
No
300-319
No
320-339
No
340-359
No
360-379
No
380-399
No
400-419
No
420-439
No
440-459
No
460-479
No
480-499
No
500+
No
140-159 100.0%
<20 <1%
20-39 <1%
40-59 <1%
$10,842,855 KL.
$10,842,855 KL.
<20
No
20-39
No
40-59
No
60-79
No
80-99
No
100-119
No
120-139
No
140-159
Yes
160-179
No
180-199
No
200-219
No
220-239
No
240-259
No
260-279
No
280-299
No
300-319
No
320-339
No
340-359
No
360-379
No
380-399
No
400-419
No
420-439
No
440-459
No
460-479
No
480-499
No
500+
No
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Thị trường mở: Apr 25, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
Trader consensus overwhelmingly backs 140-159 X posts by Elon Musk from April 28 12:00 PM ET to May 5 noon ET at 100% implied probability, anchored by the official xtracker.polymarket.com tally of 158 main feed posts, quotes, and reposts as of 11:51 AM EST today, with the window now expired. Initial low output—mere 5 posts on April 28 amid OpenAI trial court appearances—gave way to a mid-week surge of 45 on May 3 fueled by viral tech and cultural engagements, tapering to 12 on May 4 and minimal May 5 activity. Backed by $10.7M volume, this reflects traders' trust in Musk's trackable social media cadence. A slim upset to 160-179 hinges on rare tracker oversights or disputed edge-case posts, improbable given historical patterns and prompt resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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