Recent business travel and a measured pace of announcements have kept Elon Musk’s posting volume in check early in the May 15–22 window, mirroring the sub-15 daily average seen in the prior week. Traders are nevertheless pricing in a rebound, citing the expected SpaceX S-1 filing window and related milestone updates that historically trigger clusters of product teases, engagement spikes, and rapid-fire replies. With leading bins clustered between 180–219, the market reflects both his baseline output during quieter stretches and the potential for high-news days to push totals higher, while any absence of fresh Tesla or X policy developments could cap the week near the lower end of that range.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật180-199 21%
200-219 19.1%
160-179 18%
220-239 11.9%
$4,290,051 KL.
$4,290,051 KL.
May 22, 2026
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
1%
120-139
3%
140-159
11%
160-179
18%
180-199
21%
200-219
19%
220-239
12%
240-259
8%
260-279
5%
280-299
2%
300-319
1%
320-339
1%
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
180-199 21%
200-219 19.1%
160-179 18%
220-239 11.9%
$4,290,051 KL.
$4,290,051 KL.
May 22, 2026
60-79
$260,849 KL.
<1%
80-99
$267,171 KL.
<1%
100-119
$241,139 KL.
1%
120-139
$178,212 KL.
3%
140-159
$157,668 KL.
11%
160-179
$132,018 KL.
18%
180-199
$113,493 KL.
21%
200-219
$156,612 KL.
19%
220-239
$147,039 KL.
12%
240-259
$110,949 KL.
8%
260-279
$126,388 KL.
5%
280-299
$118,582 KL.
2%
300-319
$133,013 KL.
1%
320-339
$114,579 KL.
1%
340-359
$142,428 KL.
<1%
360-379
$136,455 KL.
<1%
380-399
$160,856 KL.
<1%
400-419
$168,844 KL.
<1%
420-439
$238,020 KL.
<1%
440-459
$121,203 KL.
<1%
460-479
$125,876 KL.
<1%
480-499
$168,834 KL.
<1%
500+
$269,821 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 15 12:00 PM ET to May 22, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Recent business travel and a measured pace of announcements have kept Elon Musk’s posting volume in check early in the May 15–22 window, mirroring the sub-15 daily average seen in the prior week. Traders are nevertheless pricing in a rebound, citing the expected SpaceX S-1 filing window and related milestone updates that historically trigger clusters of product teases, engagement spikes, and rapid-fire replies. With leading bins clustered between 180–219, the market reflects both his baseline output during quieter stretches and the potential for high-news days to push totals higher, while any absence of fresh Tesla or X policy developments could cap the week near the lower end of that range.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 15 12:00 PM ET to May 22, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Thị trường mở: May 12, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Khối lượng
$4,290,051Ngày kết thúc
May 22, 2026Thị trường mở
May 12, 2026, 12:01 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 15 12:00 PM ET to May 22, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Recent business travel and a measured pace of announcements have kept Elon Musk’s posting volume in check early in the May 15–22 window, mirroring the sub-15 daily average seen in the prior week. Traders are nevertheless pricing in a rebound, citing the expected SpaceX S-1 filing window and related milestone updates that historically trigger clusters of product teases, engagement spikes, and rapid-fire replies. With leading bins clustered between 180–219, the market reflects both his baseline output during quieter stretches and the potential for high-news days to push totals higher, while any absence of fresh Tesla or X policy developments could cap the week near the lower end of that range.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 15 12:00 PM ET to May 22, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Khối lượng
$4,290,051Ngày kết thúc
May 22, 2026Thị trường mở
May 12, 2026, 12:01 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
Recent business travel and a measured pace of announcements have kept Elon Musk’s posting volume in check early in the May 15–22 window, mirroring the sub-15 daily average seen in the prior week. Traders are nevertheless pricing in a rebound, citing the expected SpaceX S-1 filing window and related milestone updates that historically trigger clusters of product teases, engagement spikes, and rapid-fire replies. With leading bins clustered between 180–219, the market reflects both his baseline output during quieter stretches and the potential for high-news days to push totals higher, while any absence of fresh Tesla or X policy developments could cap the week near the lower end of that range.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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