Trader sentiment around Elon Musk’s tweet volume for May 15-22, 2026, centers on expectations of steady but not extreme activity, with the 180-199 range commanding the highest implied probability at 20.5 percent and nearby bins from 160-219 remaining tightly grouped. This competitive spread reflects uncertainty over how his daily output on X will respond to ongoing platform developments, company updates, and external news cycles during the partial week. Musk’s posting patterns historically vary with high-profile commentary, product announcements, or trending topics, creating swing factors that traders weigh against recent averages. Upcoming chart updates and any late-week catalysts could further influence resolution within these close ranges.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật180-199 20%
200-219 18.5%
160-179 17%
220-239 12.3%
$4,252,982 KL.
$4,252,982 KL.
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
1%
120-139
4%
140-159
11%
160-179
17%
180-199
20%
200-219
19%
220-239
12%
240-259
8%
260-279
5%
280-299
2%
300-319
1%
320-339
1%
340-359
1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
180-199 20%
200-219 18.5%
160-179 17%
220-239 12.3%
$4,252,982 KL.
$4,252,982 KL.
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
1%
120-139
4%
140-159
11%
160-179
17%
180-199
20%
200-219
19%
220-239
12%
240-259
8%
260-279
5%
280-299
2%
300-319
1%
320-339
1%
340-359
1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Thị trường mở: May 12, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment around Elon Musk’s tweet volume for May 15-22, 2026, centers on expectations of steady but not extreme activity, with the 180-199 range commanding the highest implied probability at 20.5 percent and nearby bins from 160-219 remaining tightly grouped. This competitive spread reflects uncertainty over how his daily output on X will respond to ongoing platform developments, company updates, and external news cycles during the partial week. Musk’s posting patterns historically vary with high-profile commentary, product announcements, or trending topics, creating swing factors that traders weigh against recent averages. Upcoming chart updates and any late-week catalysts could further influence resolution within these close ranges.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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