Traders view the 180-199 tweet range as the slight favorite at 21.5% implied probability, with 160-179 and 200-219 bins trailing closely behind, underscoring a tightly contested market where small shifts in Elon Musk’s X activity could decide the outcome. Musk’s posting volume typically rises with fresh Tesla or xAI developments, regulatory headlines, or real-time reactions to market moves, yet the current stretch shows steady but unremarkable output tied to routine company updates. Upcoming catalysts like earnings reports or policy news could quickly alter the pace, while historical patterns of sporadic high-volume days keep the top three bins within a few percentage points of each other.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật180-199 22%
160-179 20%
200-219 17.6%
140-159 11%
$4,316,808 KL.
$4,316,808 KL.
May 22, 2026
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
1%
120-139
3%
140-159
11%
160-179
20%
180-199
22%
200-219
18%
220-239
10%
240-259
7%
260-279
3%
280-299
2%
300-319
1%
320-339
1%
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
180-199 22%
160-179 20%
200-219 17.6%
140-159 11%
$4,316,808 KL.
$4,316,808 KL.
May 22, 2026
60-79
$260,849 KL.
<1%
80-99
$269,209 KL.
<1%
100-119
$242,239 KL.
1%
120-139
$179,990 KL.
3%
140-159
$158,728 KL.
11%
160-179
$132,539 KL.
20%
180-199
$113,880 KL.
22%
200-219
$160,860 KL.
18%
220-239
$154,860 KL.
10%
240-259
$116,494 KL.
7%
260-279
$127,785 KL.
3%
280-299
$118,752 KL.
2%
300-319
$133,443 KL.
1%
320-339
$114,768 KL.
1%
340-359
$142,428 KL.
<1%
360-379
$136,455 KL.
<1%
380-399
$160,940 KL.
<1%
400-419
$168,844 KL.
<1%
420-439
$238,020 KL.
<1%
440-459
$121,203 KL.
<1%
460-479
$125,876 KL.
<1%
480-499
$168,834 KL.
<1%
500+
$269,821 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 15 12:00 PM ET to May 22, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Traders view the 180-199 tweet range as the slight favorite at 21.5% implied probability, with 160-179 and 200-219 bins trailing closely behind, underscoring a tightly contested market where small shifts in Elon Musk’s X activity could decide the outcome. Musk’s posting volume typically rises with fresh Tesla or xAI developments, regulatory headlines, or real-time reactions to market moves, yet the current stretch shows steady but unremarkable output tied to routine company updates. Upcoming catalysts like earnings reports or policy news could quickly alter the pace, while historical patterns of sporadic high-volume days keep the top three bins within a few percentage points of each other.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 15 12:00 PM ET to May 22, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Thị trường mở: May 12, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Khối lượng
$4,316,808Ngày kết thúc
May 22, 2026Thị trường mở
May 12, 2026, 12:01 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 15 12:00 PM ET to May 22, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Traders view the 180-199 tweet range as the slight favorite at 21.5% implied probability, with 160-179 and 200-219 bins trailing closely behind, underscoring a tightly contested market where small shifts in Elon Musk’s X activity could decide the outcome. Musk’s posting volume typically rises with fresh Tesla or xAI developments, regulatory headlines, or real-time reactions to market moves, yet the current stretch shows steady but unremarkable output tied to routine company updates. Upcoming catalysts like earnings reports or policy news could quickly alter the pace, while historical patterns of sporadic high-volume days keep the top three bins within a few percentage points of each other.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 15 12:00 PM ET to May 22, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Khối lượng
$4,316,808Ngày kết thúc
May 22, 2026Thị trường mở
May 12, 2026, 12:01 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders view the 180-199 tweet range as the slight favorite at 21.5% implied probability, with 160-179 and 200-219 bins trailing closely behind, underscoring a tightly contested market where small shifts in Elon Musk’s X activity could decide the outcome. Musk’s posting volume typically rises with fresh Tesla or xAI developments, regulatory headlines, or real-time reactions to market moves, yet the current stretch shows steady but unremarkable output tied to routine company updates. Upcoming catalysts like earnings reports or policy news could quickly alter the pace, while historical patterns of sporadic high-volume days keep the top three bins within a few percentage points of each other.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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