Traders have heavily backed the 40-64 tweet range for Elon Musk across May 16-18 because his recent posting cadence on X aligns closely with that window, averaging roughly 15-20 posts per day amid ongoing cultural and political commentary. Fresh activity on May 16, including multiple replies and reposts about UK free-speech issues and industry double standards, reinforces this baseline without signaling a surge or slowdown. The market's implied probabilities reflect X's real-time engagement dynamics, where Musk's volume fluctuates with breaking news cycles yet rarely exceeds 30 daily posts unless tied to major platform announcements. Upcoming chart updates and any late-week statements could still nudge totals toward the 65-89 bracket, though the current 78.5% consensus on the mid-range holds steady given consistent historical patterns.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật40-64 79%
65-89 23%
90-114 1.3%
115-139 <1%
$823,241 KL.
$823,241 KL.
May 18, 2026
<40
<1%
40-64
79%
65-89
23%
90-114
1%
115-139
<1%
140-164
<1%
165-189
<1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
40-64 79%
65-89 23%
90-114 1.3%
115-139 <1%
$823,241 KL.
$823,241 KL.
May 18, 2026
<40
$325,931 KL.
<1%
40-64
$72,009 KL.
79%
65-89
$75,981 KL.
23%
90-114
$97,814 KL.
1%
115-139
$68,953 KL.
<1%
140-164
$61,120 KL.
<1%
165-189
$53,265 KL.
<1%
190-214
$37,343 KL.
<1%
215-239
$15,853 KL.
<1%
240+
$18,696 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 16 12:00 PM ET to May 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Traders have heavily backed the 40-64 tweet range for Elon Musk across May 16-18 because his recent posting cadence on X aligns closely with that window, averaging roughly 15-20 posts per day amid ongoing cultural and political commentary. Fresh activity on May 16, including multiple replies and reposts about UK free-speech issues and industry double standards, reinforces this baseline without signaling a surge or slowdown. The market's implied probabilities reflect X's real-time engagement dynamics, where Musk's volume fluctuates with breaking news cycles yet rarely exceeds 30 daily posts unless tied to major platform announcements. Upcoming chart updates and any late-week statements could still nudge totals toward the 65-89 bracket, though the current 78.5% consensus on the mid-range holds steady given consistent historical patterns.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 16 12:00 PM ET to May 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Thị trường mở: May 14, 2026, 12:01 PM ET
Khối lượng
$823,241Ngày kết thúc
May 18, 2026Thị trường mở
May 14, 2026, 12:01 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 16 12:00 PM ET to May 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Traders have heavily backed the 40-64 tweet range for Elon Musk across May 16-18 because his recent posting cadence on X aligns closely with that window, averaging roughly 15-20 posts per day amid ongoing cultural and political commentary. Fresh activity on May 16, including multiple replies and reposts about UK free-speech issues and industry double standards, reinforces this baseline without signaling a surge or slowdown. The market's implied probabilities reflect X's real-time engagement dynamics, where Musk's volume fluctuates with breaking news cycles yet rarely exceeds 30 daily posts unless tied to major platform announcements. Upcoming chart updates and any late-week statements could still nudge totals toward the 65-89 bracket, though the current 78.5% consensus on the mid-range holds steady given consistent historical patterns.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 16 12:00 PM ET to May 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Khối lượng
$823,241Ngày kết thúc
May 18, 2026Thị trường mở
May 14, 2026, 12:01 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders have heavily backed the 40-64 tweet range for Elon Musk across May 16-18 because his recent posting cadence on X aligns closely with that window, averaging roughly 15-20 posts per day amid ongoing cultural and political commentary. Fresh activity on May 16, including multiple replies and reposts about UK free-speech issues and industry double standards, reinforces this baseline without signaling a surge or slowdown. The market's implied probabilities reflect X's real-time engagement dynamics, where Musk's volume fluctuates with breaking news cycles yet rarely exceeds 30 daily posts unless tied to major platform announcements. Upcoming chart updates and any late-week statements could still nudge totals toward the 65-89 bracket, though the current 78.5% consensus on the mid-range holds steady given consistent historical patterns.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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