Traders see the 40-64 tweet range as the clear frontrunner for Elon Musk’s activity from May 16-18, driven by his steady baseline posting rhythm in the absence of major corporate milestones or breaking political developments. With no high-profile Tesla or SpaceX announcements and limited viral cultural moments pulling extra engagement on X, his output has aligned closely with typical mid-week patterns observed in recent weeks. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around this band reflects traders’ reading of consistent platform usage rather than any sudden surge, while the slim probabilities on higher brackets underscore how quickly an unexpected news cycle could shift momentum before the period closes.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật40-64 78%
65-89 21%
90-114 1.4%
115-139 <1%
$857,957 KL.
$857,957 KL.
May 18, 2026
<40
<1%
40-64
78%
65-89
21%
90-114
1%
115-139
<1%
140-164
<1%
165-189
<1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
40-64 78%
65-89 21%
90-114 1.4%
115-139 <1%
$857,957 KL.
$857,957 KL.
May 18, 2026
<40
$343,264 KL.
<1%
40-64
$77,648 KL.
78%
65-89
$81,505 KL.
21%
90-114
$100,381 KL.
1%
115-139
$69,052 KL.
<1%
140-164
$61,120 KL.
<1%
165-189
$53,265 KL.
<1%
190-214
$37,343 KL.
<1%
215-239
$15,853 KL.
<1%
240+
$18,696 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 16 12:00 PM ET to May 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Traders see the 40-64 tweet range as the clear frontrunner for Elon Musk’s activity from May 16-18, driven by his steady baseline posting rhythm in the absence of major corporate milestones or breaking political developments. With no high-profile Tesla or SpaceX announcements and limited viral cultural moments pulling extra engagement on X, his output has aligned closely with typical mid-week patterns observed in recent weeks. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around this band reflects traders’ reading of consistent platform usage rather than any sudden surge, while the slim probabilities on higher brackets underscore how quickly an unexpected news cycle could shift momentum before the period closes.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 16 12:00 PM ET to May 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Thị trường mở: May 14, 2026, 12:01 PM ET
Khối lượng
$857,957Ngày kết thúc
May 18, 2026Thị trường mở
May 14, 2026, 12:01 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 16 12:00 PM ET to May 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Traders see the 40-64 tweet range as the clear frontrunner for Elon Musk’s activity from May 16-18, driven by his steady baseline posting rhythm in the absence of major corporate milestones or breaking political developments. With no high-profile Tesla or SpaceX announcements and limited viral cultural moments pulling extra engagement on X, his output has aligned closely with typical mid-week patterns observed in recent weeks. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around this band reflects traders’ reading of consistent platform usage rather than any sudden surge, while the slim probabilities on higher brackets underscore how quickly an unexpected news cycle could shift momentum before the period closes.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 16 12:00 PM ET to May 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Khối lượng
$857,957Ngày kết thúc
May 18, 2026Thị trường mở
May 14, 2026, 12:01 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders see the 40-64 tweet range as the clear frontrunner for Elon Musk’s activity from May 16-18, driven by his steady baseline posting rhythm in the absence of major corporate milestones or breaking political developments. With no high-profile Tesla or SpaceX announcements and limited viral cultural moments pulling extra engagement on X, his output has aligned closely with typical mid-week patterns observed in recent weeks. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around this band reflects traders’ reading of consistent platform usage rather than any sudden surge, while the slim probabilities on higher brackets underscore how quickly an unexpected news cycle could shift momentum before the period closes.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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