Elon Musk's elevated posting pace on X continues to anchor trader expectations for the May 16–18 window, with the 65–89 range holding a commanding 69.5% implied probability. His pattern of frequent replies, commentary on tech policy, space milestones, and cultural debates has produced sustained high-volume days, reinforced by recent threads on Grok features, Starship progress, and real-time reactions to viral topics. Historical daily averages during active periods routinely exceed 20–30 posts when engagement spikes, making the mid-60s to upper-80s band the clearest fit for a three-day stretch. With the window closing and no major disruption in his schedule, the market shows little momentum toward lower brackets, though an unusually quiet final day could still compress the total.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật65-89 80%
40-64 13%
90-114 4.2%
115-139 <1%
$1,025,127 KL.
$1,025,127 KL.
May 18, 2026
<40
<1%
40-64
13%
65-89
80%
90-114
4%
115-139
1%
140-164
<1%
165-189
<1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
65-89 80%
40-64 13%
90-114 4.2%
115-139 <1%
$1,025,127 KL.
$1,025,127 KL.
May 18, 2026
<40
$345,987 KL.
<1%
40-64
$122,520 KL.
13%
65-89
$112,695 KL.
80%
90-114
$149,520 KL.
4%
115-139
$112,413 KL.
1%
140-164
$65,334 KL.
<1%
165-189
$53,265 KL.
<1%
190-214
$37,343 KL.
<1%
215-239
$15,853 KL.
<1%
240+
$19,735 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 16 12:00 PM ET to May 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk's elevated posting pace on X continues to anchor trader expectations for the May 16–18 window, with the 65–89 range holding a commanding 69.5% implied probability. His pattern of frequent replies, commentary on tech policy, space milestones, and cultural debates has produced sustained high-volume days, reinforced by recent threads on Grok features, Starship progress, and real-time reactions to viral topics. Historical daily averages during active periods routinely exceed 20–30 posts when engagement spikes, making the mid-60s to upper-80s band the clearest fit for a three-day stretch. With the window closing and no major disruption in his schedule, the market shows little momentum toward lower brackets, though an unusually quiet final day could still compress the total.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 16 12:00 PM ET to May 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Thị trường mở: May 14, 2026, 12:01 PM ET
Khối lượng
$1,025,127Ngày kết thúc
May 18, 2026Thị trường mở
May 14, 2026, 12:01 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 16 12:00 PM ET to May 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk's elevated posting pace on X continues to anchor trader expectations for the May 16–18 window, with the 65–89 range holding a commanding 69.5% implied probability. His pattern of frequent replies, commentary on tech policy, space milestones, and cultural debates has produced sustained high-volume days, reinforced by recent threads on Grok features, Starship progress, and real-time reactions to viral topics. Historical daily averages during active periods routinely exceed 20–30 posts when engagement spikes, making the mid-60s to upper-80s band the clearest fit for a three-day stretch. With the window closing and no major disruption in his schedule, the market shows little momentum toward lower brackets, though an unusually quiet final day could still compress the total.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 16 12:00 PM ET to May 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Khối lượng
$1,025,127Ngày kết thúc
May 18, 2026Thị trường mở
May 14, 2026, 12:01 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elon Musk's elevated posting pace on X continues to anchor trader expectations for the May 16–18 window, with the 65–89 range holding a commanding 69.5% implied probability. His pattern of frequent replies, commentary on tech policy, space milestones, and cultural debates has produced sustained high-volume days, reinforced by recent threads on Grok features, Starship progress, and real-time reactions to viral topics. Historical daily averages during active periods routinely exceed 20–30 posts when engagement spikes, making the mid-60s to upper-80s band the clearest fit for a three-day stretch. With the window closing and no major disruption in his schedule, the market shows little momentum toward lower brackets, though an unusually quiet final day could still compress the total.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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