Elon Musk's established high-volume posting rhythm on X drives the strong trader consensus around 40-64 tweets for the May 16-18 window, reflecting his typical daily average of 15-25 posts amid ongoing Tesla, SpaceX, and cultural commentary. Recent activity on May 17, including multiple posts on platform milestones like X surpassing a billion downloads, personal reflections on simulations, and critiques of media narratives, aligns with this steady cadence and reinforces market-implied odds near 70%. Weekend timing and executive demands introduce modest uncertainty, but historical patterns suggest limited deviation unless major breaking news emerges before the period closes on May 18.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật40-64 75%
65-89 22%
90-114 1.4%
115-139 <1%
$856,816 KL.
$856,816 KL.
May 18, 2026
<40
<1%
40-64
75%
65-89
22%
90-114
1%
115-139
<1%
140-164
<1%
165-189
<1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
40-64 75%
65-89 22%
90-114 1.4%
115-139 <1%
$856,816 KL.
$856,816 KL.
May 18, 2026
<40
$343,264 KL.
<1%
40-64
$77,505 KL.
75%
65-89
$81,335 KL.
22%
90-114
$100,381 KL.
1%
115-139
$69,014 KL.
<1%
140-164
$61,120 KL.
<1%
165-189
$53,265 KL.
<1%
190-214
$37,343 KL.
<1%
215-239
$15,853 KL.
<1%
240+
$18,696 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 16 12:00 PM ET to May 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk's established high-volume posting rhythm on X drives the strong trader consensus around 40-64 tweets for the May 16-18 window, reflecting his typical daily average of 15-25 posts amid ongoing Tesla, SpaceX, and cultural commentary. Recent activity on May 17, including multiple posts on platform milestones like X surpassing a billion downloads, personal reflections on simulations, and critiques of media narratives, aligns with this steady cadence and reinforces market-implied odds near 70%. Weekend timing and executive demands introduce modest uncertainty, but historical patterns suggest limited deviation unless major breaking news emerges before the period closes on May 18.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 16 12:00 PM ET to May 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Thị trường mở: May 14, 2026, 12:01 PM ET
Khối lượng
$856,816Ngày kết thúc
May 18, 2026Thị trường mở
May 14, 2026, 12:01 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 16 12:00 PM ET to May 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk's established high-volume posting rhythm on X drives the strong trader consensus around 40-64 tweets for the May 16-18 window, reflecting his typical daily average of 15-25 posts amid ongoing Tesla, SpaceX, and cultural commentary. Recent activity on May 17, including multiple posts on platform milestones like X surpassing a billion downloads, personal reflections on simulations, and critiques of media narratives, aligns with this steady cadence and reinforces market-implied odds near 70%. Weekend timing and executive demands introduce modest uncertainty, but historical patterns suggest limited deviation unless major breaking news emerges before the period closes on May 18.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 16 12:00 PM ET to May 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Khối lượng
$856,816Ngày kết thúc
May 18, 2026Thị trường mở
May 14, 2026, 12:01 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elon Musk's established high-volume posting rhythm on X drives the strong trader consensus around 40-64 tweets for the May 16-18 window, reflecting his typical daily average of 15-25 posts amid ongoing Tesla, SpaceX, and cultural commentary. Recent activity on May 17, including multiple posts on platform milestones like X surpassing a billion downloads, personal reflections on simulations, and critiques of media narratives, aligns with this steady cadence and reinforces market-implied odds near 70%. Weekend timing and executive demands introduce modest uncertainty, but historical patterns suggest limited deviation unless major breaking news emerges before the period closes on May 18.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp