Trader sentiment for Elon Musk’s tweet volume over May 16–18 centers on his established weekend rhythm of measured cultural commentary and platform engagement, positioning the 40–64 range as the clear frontrunner at 77.5% implied probability. Recent activity shows steady but not elevated output, with posts touching Grok Build upgrades, X’s billion-download milestone, and pointed cultural critiques, none of which have triggered the kind of viral spikes that push counts higher. Historical patterns confirm this band as Musk’s baseline absent major breaking news or product launches, while the slim 22.5% chance for 65–89 accounts for possible late-weekend momentum from ongoing AI or free-speech discussions. With only hours left before the period closes, traders are watching for any sudden announcement that could nudge totals upward.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật40-64 79%
65-89 22%
90-114 1.4%
115-139 <1%
$820,376 KL.
$820,376 KL.
May 18, 2026
<40
<1%
40-64
79%
65-89
22%
90-114
1%
115-139
<1%
140-164
<1%
165-189
<1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
40-64 79%
65-89 22%
90-114 1.4%
115-139 <1%
$820,376 KL.
$820,376 KL.
May 18, 2026
<40
$325,538 KL.
<1%
40-64
$71,029 KL.
79%
65-89
$72,949 KL.
22%
90-114
$97,814 KL.
1%
115-139
$68,943 KL.
<1%
140-164
$61,110 KL.
<1%
165-189
$53,265 KL.
<1%
190-214
$37,343 KL.
<1%
215-239
$15,853 KL.
<1%
240+
$18,696 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 16 12:00 PM ET to May 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader sentiment for Elon Musk’s tweet volume over May 16–18 centers on his established weekend rhythm of measured cultural commentary and platform engagement, positioning the 40–64 range as the clear frontrunner at 77.5% implied probability. Recent activity shows steady but not elevated output, with posts touching Grok Build upgrades, X’s billion-download milestone, and pointed cultural critiques, none of which have triggered the kind of viral spikes that push counts higher. Historical patterns confirm this band as Musk’s baseline absent major breaking news or product launches, while the slim 22.5% chance for 65–89 accounts for possible late-weekend momentum from ongoing AI or free-speech discussions. With only hours left before the period closes, traders are watching for any sudden announcement that could nudge totals upward.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 16 12:00 PM ET to May 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Thị trường mở: May 14, 2026, 12:01 PM ET
Khối lượng
$820,376Ngày kết thúc
May 18, 2026Thị trường mở
May 14, 2026, 12:01 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 16 12:00 PM ET to May 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader sentiment for Elon Musk’s tweet volume over May 16–18 centers on his established weekend rhythm of measured cultural commentary and platform engagement, positioning the 40–64 range as the clear frontrunner at 77.5% implied probability. Recent activity shows steady but not elevated output, with posts touching Grok Build upgrades, X’s billion-download milestone, and pointed cultural critiques, none of which have triggered the kind of viral spikes that push counts higher. Historical patterns confirm this band as Musk’s baseline absent major breaking news or product launches, while the slim 22.5% chance for 65–89 accounts for possible late-weekend momentum from ongoing AI or free-speech discussions. With only hours left before the period closes, traders are watching for any sudden announcement that could nudge totals upward.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 16 12:00 PM ET to May 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Khối lượng
$820,376Ngày kết thúc
May 18, 2026Thị trường mở
May 14, 2026, 12:01 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for Elon Musk’s tweet volume over May 16–18 centers on his established weekend rhythm of measured cultural commentary and platform engagement, positioning the 40–64 range as the clear frontrunner at 77.5% implied probability. Recent activity shows steady but not elevated output, with posts touching Grok Build upgrades, X’s billion-download milestone, and pointed cultural critiques, none of which have triggered the kind of viral spikes that push counts higher. Historical patterns confirm this band as Musk’s baseline absent major breaking news or product launches, while the slim 22.5% chance for 65–89 accounts for possible late-weekend momentum from ongoing AI or free-speech discussions. With only hours left before the period closes, traders are watching for any sudden announcement that could nudge totals upward.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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