Traders are positioning 40-64 tweets as the clear frontrunner for Elon Musk’s X activity over May 18-20 because it aligns with his established pattern of steady, high-volume posting during routine weekends free of major product launches or policy announcements. Recent weeks have shown consistent daily output without the spikes that typically accompany Tesla earnings or regulatory developments, leaving the higher brackets at slim implied probabilities. With no confirmed events or high-stakes interviews on the calendar for that stretch, market sentiment reflects the platform’s usual engagement rhythm rather than any anticipated surge, underscoring how unpredictable last-minute statements can still shift final totals.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật40-64 55%
65-89 25%
<40 17%
90-114 6%
MỚI
$43,394 KL.
MỚI
$43,394 KL.
May 20, 2026
<40
17%
40-64
55%
65-89
25%
90-114
6%
115-139
1%
140-164
<1%
165-189
<1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
40-64 55%
65-89 25%
<40 17%
90-114 6%
MỚI
$43,394 KL.
MỚI
$43,394 KL.
May 20, 2026
<40
$2,407 KL.
17%
40-64
$3,784 KL.
55%
65-89
$2,938 KL.
25%
90-114
$5,461 KL.
6%
115-139
$4,477 KL.
1%
140-164
$2,691 KL.
<1%
165-189
$4,517 KL.
<1%
190-214
$4,356 KL.
<1%
215-239
$6,486 KL.
<1%
240+
$6,276 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 18 12:00 PM ET to May 20, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Traders are positioning 40-64 tweets as the clear frontrunner for Elon Musk’s X activity over May 18-20 because it aligns with his established pattern of steady, high-volume posting during routine weekends free of major product launches or policy announcements. Recent weeks have shown consistent daily output without the spikes that typically accompany Tesla earnings or regulatory developments, leaving the higher brackets at slim implied probabilities. With no confirmed events or high-stakes interviews on the calendar for that stretch, market sentiment reflects the platform’s usual engagement rhythm rather than any anticipated surge, underscoring how unpredictable last-minute statements can still shift final totals.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 18 12:00 PM ET to May 20, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Thị trường mở: May 16, 2026, 12:00 PM ET
Khối lượng
$43,394Ngày kết thúc
May 20, 2026Thị trường mở
May 16, 2026, 12:00 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://x.com/elonmuskThis market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 18 12:00 PM ET to May 20, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Traders are positioning 40-64 tweets as the clear frontrunner for Elon Musk’s X activity over May 18-20 because it aligns with his established pattern of steady, high-volume posting during routine weekends free of major product launches or policy announcements. Recent weeks have shown consistent daily output without the spikes that typically accompany Tesla earnings or regulatory developments, leaving the higher brackets at slim implied probabilities. With no confirmed events or high-stakes interviews on the calendar for that stretch, market sentiment reflects the platform’s usual engagement rhythm rather than any anticipated surge, underscoring how unpredictable last-minute statements can still shift final totals.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 18 12:00 PM ET to May 20, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Khối lượng
$43,394Ngày kết thúc
May 20, 2026Thị trường mở
May 16, 2026, 12:00 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://x.com/elonmuskTraders are positioning 40-64 tweets as the clear frontrunner for Elon Musk’s X activity over May 18-20 because it aligns with his established pattern of steady, high-volume posting during routine weekends free of major product launches or policy announcements. Recent weeks have shown consistent daily output without the spikes that typically accompany Tesla earnings or regulatory developments, leaving the higher brackets at slim implied probabilities. With no confirmed events or high-stakes interviews on the calendar for that stretch, market sentiment reflects the platform’s usual engagement rhythm rather than any anticipated surge, underscoring how unpredictable last-minute statements can still shift final totals.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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