Finland's Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen top Polymarket trader consensus at 43.9% implied probability to win Eurovision 2026, propelled by their UMK national selection victory with the high-energy "Liekinheitin"—a violin-driven powerhouse that dominated OGAE fan polls and rehearsal previews, securing strong Semi-final 1 qualification yesterday. Greece's Akylas follows at 14% on infectious "Ferto" televote buzz but lags with jury concerns over vocal stability, while Denmark's Søren Torpegaard climbed to 12.7% after a standout 30-second rehearsal clip edged out Greece, positioning it as a dark horse compromise. With Semi-final 2 looming tomorrow and the Vienna grand final Saturday, jury-public vote splits and staging polish remain pivotal swing factors in this liquid market.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtNgười chiến thắng Eurovision 2026
Người chiến thắng Eurovision 2026
Phần Lan 43.9%
Hy Lạp 14.0%
Đan Mạch 12.5%
Úc 5.7%
$157,793,690 KL.
$157,793,690 KL.
Phần Lan
44%
Hy Lạp
14%
Đan Mạch
13%
Úc
6%
Israel
6%
Pháp
5%
Romania
4%
Ý
2%
Moldova
1%
Ukraine
1%
Croatia
1%
Malta
1%
Thụy Điển
1%
Séc
1%
Bulgaria
1%
Síp
1%
Albania
<1%
Na Uy
<1%
Serbia
<1%
Luxembourg
<1%
Ba Lan
<1%
Áo
<1%
Đức
<1%
Latvia
<1%
Armenia
<1%
Lithuania
<1%
Thụy Sĩ
<1%
Vương quốc Anh
<1%
Bỉ
<1%
Azerbaijan
<1%
Phần Lan 43.9%
Hy Lạp 14.0%
Đan Mạch 12.5%
Úc 5.7%
$157,793,690 KL.
$157,793,690 KL.
Phần Lan
44%
Hy Lạp
14%
Đan Mạch
13%
Úc
6%
Israel
6%
Pháp
5%
Romania
4%
Ý
2%
Moldova
1%
Ukraine
1%
Croatia
1%
Malta
1%
Thụy Điển
1%
Séc
1%
Bulgaria
1%
Síp
1%
Albania
<1%
Na Uy
<1%
Serbia
<1%
Luxembourg
<1%
Ba Lan
<1%
Áo
<1%
Đức
<1%
Latvia
<1%
Armenia
<1%
Lithuania
<1%
Thụy Sĩ
<1%
Vương quốc Anh
<1%
Bỉ
<1%
Azerbaijan
<1%
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Thị trường mở: Dec 5, 2025, 7:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Finland's Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen top Polymarket trader consensus at 43.9% implied probability to win Eurovision 2026, propelled by their UMK national selection victory with the high-energy "Liekinheitin"—a violin-driven powerhouse that dominated OGAE fan polls and rehearsal previews, securing strong Semi-final 1 qualification yesterday. Greece's Akylas follows at 14% on infectious "Ferto" televote buzz but lags with jury concerns over vocal stability, while Denmark's Søren Torpegaard climbed to 12.7% after a standout 30-second rehearsal clip edged out Greece, positioning it as a dark horse compromise. With Semi-final 2 looming tomorrow and the Vienna grand final Saturday, jury-public vote splits and staging polish remain pivotal swing factors in this liquid market.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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