Finland's Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen's "Liekinheitin" commands a 43.9% implied probability as the clear frontrunner, bolstered by their UMK national final triumph, OGAE fan poll victory last week, and a fiery First Semi-Final performance yesterday that secured qualification with cinematic staging and rare EBU-approved live violin. Greece's Akylas vaulted to 14% after topping SF1 televote with the anthemic "Ferto," addressing greed and excess, while Denmark's Søren Torpegaard Lund clings to 12.5% on strong Melodi Grand Prix momentum and jury appeal for "Før vi går hjem" ahead of tomorrow's Second Semi-Final. With the Grand Final on May 16, jury-televote splits and SF2 qualifiers could spark shifts in this trader consensus.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtNgười chiến thắng Eurovision 2026
Người chiến thắng Eurovision 2026
Phần Lan 43.9%
Hy Lạp 14.0%
Đan Mạch 12.5%
Úc 5.7%
$157,917,458 KL.
$157,917,458 KL.
May 16, 2026
Phần Lan
44%
Hy Lạp
14%
Đan Mạch
13%
Úc
6%
Israel
5%
Pháp
5%
Romania
4%
Ý
2%
Moldova
1%
Ukraine
1%
Croatia
1%
Malta
1%
Bulgaria
1%
Thụy Điển
1%
Séc
1%
Síp
1%
Albania
<1%
Na Uy
<1%
Serbia
<1%
Luxembourg
<1%
Ba Lan
<1%
Áo
<1%
Đức
<1%
Latvia
<1%
Armenia
<1%
Lithuania
<1%
Thụy Sĩ
<1%
Vương quốc Anh
<1%
Bỉ
<1%
Azerbaijan
<1%
Phần Lan 43.9%
Hy Lạp 14.0%
Đan Mạch 12.5%
Úc 5.7%
$157,917,458 KL.
$157,917,458 KL.
May 16, 2026
Phần Lan
$4,646,685 KL.
44%
Hy Lạp
$3,900,792 KL.
14%
Đan Mạch
$2,428,026 KL.
13%
Úc
$2,587,910 KL.
6%
Israel
$2,987,459 KL.
5%
Pháp
$3,196,133 KL.
5%
Romania
$2,711,159 KL.
4%
Ý
$3,734,192 KL.
2%
Moldova
$4,178,455 KL.
1%
Ukraine
$2,806,944 KL.
1%
Croatia
$4,504,017 KL.
1%
Malta
$2,980,701 KL.
1%
Bulgaria
$3,081,496 KL.
1%
Thụy Điển
$2,147,372 KL.
1%
Séc
$2,294,398 KL.
1%
Síp
$2,745,656 KL.
1%
Albania
$6,753,811 KL.
<1%
Na Uy
$4,471,174 KL.
<1%
Serbia
$5,580,065 KL.
<1%
Luxembourg
$3,755,279 KL.
<1%
Ba Lan
$6,438,500 KL.
<1%
Áo
$7,250,298 KL.
<1%
Đức
$3,373,556 KL.
<1%
Latvia
$5,799,045 KL.
<1%
Armenia
$6,513,635 KL.
<1%
Lithuania
$5,259,833 KL.
<1%
Thụy Sĩ
$5,743,153 KL.
<1%
Vương quốc Anh
$3,585,075 KL.
<1%
Bỉ
$5,058,172 KL.
<1%
Azerbaijan
$6,700,567 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Finland's Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen's "Liekinheitin" commands a 43.9% implied probability as the clear frontrunner, bolstered by their UMK national final triumph, OGAE fan poll victory last week, and a fiery First Semi-Final performance yesterday that secured qualification with cinematic staging and rare EBU-approved live violin. Greece's Akylas vaulted to 14% after topping SF1 televote with the anthemic "Ferto," addressing greed and excess, while Denmark's Søren Torpegaard Lund clings to 12.5% on strong Melodi Grand Prix momentum and jury appeal for "Før vi går hjem" ahead of tomorrow's Second Semi-Final. With the Grand Final on May 16, jury-televote splits and SF2 qualifiers could spark shifts in this trader consensus.
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Thị trường mở: Dec 5, 2025, 7:36 PM ET
Khối lượng
$157,917,458Ngày kết thúc
May 16, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 5, 2025, 7:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Finland's Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen's "Liekinheitin" commands a 43.9% implied probability as the clear frontrunner, bolstered by their UMK national final triumph, OGAE fan poll victory last week, and a fiery First Semi-Final performance yesterday that secured qualification with cinematic staging and rare EBU-approved live violin. Greece's Akylas vaulted to 14% after topping SF1 televote with the anthemic "Ferto," addressing greed and excess, while Denmark's Søren Torpegaard Lund clings to 12.5% on strong Melodi Grand Prix momentum and jury appeal for "Før vi går hjem" ahead of tomorrow's Second Semi-Final. With the Grand Final on May 16, jury-televote splits and SF2 qualifiers could spark shifts in this trader consensus.
This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Khối lượng
$157,917,458Ngày kết thúc
May 16, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 5, 2025, 7:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Finland's Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen's "Liekinheitin" commands a 43.9% implied probability as the clear frontrunner, bolstered by their UMK national final triumph, OGAE fan poll victory last week, and a fiery First Semi-Final performance yesterday that secured qualification with cinematic staging and rare EBU-approved live violin. Greece's Akylas vaulted to 14% after topping SF1 televote with the anthemic "Ferto," addressing greed and excess, while Denmark's Søren Torpegaard Lund clings to 12.5% on strong Melodi Grand Prix momentum and jury appeal for "Før vi går hjem" ahead of tomorrow's Second Semi-Final. With the Grand Final on May 16, jury-televote splits and SF2 qualifiers could spark shifts in this trader consensus.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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