Finland commands a commanding 43.9% implied probability as the Eurovision 2026 frontrunner, propelled by powerhouse duo Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen's "Liekinheitin"—a violin-fueled ballad blending cinematic spectacle and emotional depth that dominated Finland's UMK national final and topped OGAE fan polls. Strong first-rehearsal buzz and a flawless Semi-Final 1 qualification on May 12 in Vienna cemented trader consensus on its jury-televote balance, tightening odds below 2.00 post-rehearsals. Greece's Akylas vaulted to 14.0% with "Ferto"'s electrifying staging earning televote hype in the same semi, while Denmark's Søren Torpegaard Lund clings to 12.3% on "Før vi går hjem"'s heartfelt Melodi Grand Prix momentum ahead of tonight's Semi-Final 2. Israel, Australia, and France trail amid unpredictable juries and diaspora voting.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtNgười chiến thắng Eurovision 2026
Người chiến thắng Eurovision 2026
Phần Lan 43.9%
Hy Lạp 14.0%
Đan Mạch 12.3%
Úc 5.7%
$158,014,630 KL.
$158,014,630 KL.
Phần Lan
44%
Hy Lạp
14%
Đan Mạch
12%
Úc
6%
Israel
5%
Pháp
5%
Romania
4%
Ý
2%
Moldova
1%
Ukraine
1%
Bulgaria
1%
Croatia
1%
Malta
1%
Thụy Điển
1%
Séc
1%
Síp
1%
Albania
<1%
Na Uy
<1%
Serbia
<1%
Luxembourg
<1%
Ba Lan
<1%
Áo
<1%
Đức
<1%
Latvia
<1%
Armenia
<1%
Lithuania
<1%
Thụy Sĩ
<1%
Vương quốc Anh
<1%
Bỉ
<1%
Azerbaijan
<1%
Phần Lan 43.9%
Hy Lạp 14.0%
Đan Mạch 12.3%
Úc 5.7%
$158,014,630 KL.
$158,014,630 KL.
Phần Lan
44%
Hy Lạp
14%
Đan Mạch
12%
Úc
6%
Israel
5%
Pháp
5%
Romania
4%
Ý
2%
Moldova
1%
Ukraine
1%
Bulgaria
1%
Croatia
1%
Malta
1%
Thụy Điển
1%
Séc
1%
Síp
1%
Albania
<1%
Na Uy
<1%
Serbia
<1%
Luxembourg
<1%
Ba Lan
<1%
Áo
<1%
Đức
<1%
Latvia
<1%
Armenia
<1%
Lithuania
<1%
Thụy Sĩ
<1%
Vương quốc Anh
<1%
Bỉ
<1%
Azerbaijan
<1%
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Thị trường mở: Dec 5, 2025, 7:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Finland commands a commanding 43.9% implied probability as the Eurovision 2026 frontrunner, propelled by powerhouse duo Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen's "Liekinheitin"—a violin-fueled ballad blending cinematic spectacle and emotional depth that dominated Finland's UMK national final and topped OGAE fan polls. Strong first-rehearsal buzz and a flawless Semi-Final 1 qualification on May 12 in Vienna cemented trader consensus on its jury-televote balance, tightening odds below 2.00 post-rehearsals. Greece's Akylas vaulted to 14.0% with "Ferto"'s electrifying staging earning televote hype in the same semi, while Denmark's Søren Torpegaard Lund clings to 12.3% on "Før vi går hjem"'s heartfelt Melodi Grand Prix momentum ahead of tonight's Semi-Final 2. Israel, Australia, and France trail amid unpredictable juries and diaspora voting.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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