Recent weak Eurozone GDP data and downward revisions to 2026 growth forecasts have anchored trader sentiment around the 1.0-2.0% band. Eurostat reported just 0.1% quarter-on-quarter expansion in Q1 2026, with year-on-year growth slowing to 0.8%, pressured by elevated energy costs amid Middle East tensions and subdued manufacturing momentum. Analyst projections have accordingly shifted lower, with several houses now targeting 0.8-1.1% for the full year, reflecting tighter financial conditions and lingering geopolitical risks. These developments have elevated the probability mass on sub-2% outcomes while leaving room for modest upside if domestic demand holds and energy prices stabilize. Key near-term catalysts include the May and June inflation releases and the next ECB policy decision, which will further shape market-implied odds.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật1.0-2.0% 70%
2.0-3.0% 10%
<0% 7.2%
4.0-5.0% 4.7%
MỚI
MỚI
Jan 31, 2027
<0%
13%
0-1.0%
39%
1.0-2.0%
70%
2.0-3.0%
10%
3.0-4.0%
21%
4.0-5.0%
5%
5.0-6.0%
3%
6.0-7.0%
1%
7.0%+
3%
1.0-2.0% 70%
2.0-3.0% 10%
<0% 7.2%
4.0-5.0% 4.7%
MỚI
MỚI
Jan 31, 2027
<0%
$792 KL.
13%
0-1.0%
$636 KL.
39%
1.0-2.0%
$1,484 KL.
70%
2.0-3.0%
$638 KL.
10%
3.0-4.0%
$567 KL.
21%
4.0-5.0%
$1,540 KL.
5%
5.0-6.0%
$631 KL.
3%
6.0-7.0%
$1,323 KL.
1%
7.0%+
$1,110 KL.
3%
This market will resolve according to the estimation of Euro Area (Eurozone) annual GDP growth for the full year of 2026 (% change), based on seasonally and calendar adjusted quarterly data, as reported in the "GDP and employment flash estimates for the fourth quarter of 2026" flash release for Q4 of 2026, scheduled to be released in January 2027.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the Euro Area GDP growth rate for the full year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the Euro Area GDP growth rate for Q4 2026, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. If no data is released for either the full year or fourth quarter of 2026 by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent weak Eurozone GDP data and downward revisions to 2026 growth forecasts have anchored trader sentiment around the 1.0-2.0% band. Eurostat reported just 0.1% quarter-on-quarter expansion in Q1 2026, with year-on-year growth slowing to 0.8%, pressured by elevated energy costs amid Middle East tensions and subdued manufacturing momentum. Analyst projections have accordingly shifted lower, with several houses now targeting 0.8-1.1% for the full year, reflecting tighter financial conditions and lingering geopolitical risks. These developments have elevated the probability mass on sub-2% outcomes while leaving room for modest upside if domestic demand holds and energy prices stabilize. Key near-term catalysts include the May and June inflation releases and the next ECB policy decision, which will further shape market-implied odds.
This market will resolve according to the estimation of Euro Area (Eurozone) annual GDP growth for the full year of 2026 (% change), based on seasonally and calendar adjusted quarterly data, as reported in the "GDP and employment flash estimates for the fourth quarter of 2026" flash release for Q4 of 2026, scheduled to be released in January 2027.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the Euro Area GDP growth rate for the full year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the Euro Area GDP growth rate for Q4 2026, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. If no data is released for either the full year or fourth quarter of 2026 by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the Euro Area GDP growth rate for the full year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the Euro Area GDP growth rate for Q4 2026, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. If no data is released for either the full year or fourth quarter of 2026 by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: Jan 21, 2026, 7:29 PM ET
Khối lượng
$8,722Ngày kết thúc
Jan 31, 2027Thị trường mở
Jan 21, 2026, 7:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the estimation of Euro Area (Eurozone) annual GDP growth for the full year of 2026 (% change), based on seasonally and calendar adjusted quarterly data, as reported in the "GDP and employment flash estimates for the fourth quarter of 2026" flash release for Q4 of 2026, scheduled to be released in January 2027.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the Euro Area GDP growth rate for the full year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the Euro Area GDP growth rate for Q4 2026, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. If no data is released for either the full year or fourth quarter of 2026 by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent weak Eurozone GDP data and downward revisions to 2026 growth forecasts have anchored trader sentiment around the 1.0-2.0% band. Eurostat reported just 0.1% quarter-on-quarter expansion in Q1 2026, with year-on-year growth slowing to 0.8%, pressured by elevated energy costs amid Middle East tensions and subdued manufacturing momentum. Analyst projections have accordingly shifted lower, with several houses now targeting 0.8-1.1% for the full year, reflecting tighter financial conditions and lingering geopolitical risks. These developments have elevated the probability mass on sub-2% outcomes while leaving room for modest upside if domestic demand holds and energy prices stabilize. Key near-term catalysts include the May and June inflation releases and the next ECB policy decision, which will further shape market-implied odds.
This market will resolve according to the estimation of Euro Area (Eurozone) annual GDP growth for the full year of 2026 (% change), based on seasonally and calendar adjusted quarterly data, as reported in the "GDP and employment flash estimates for the fourth quarter of 2026" flash release for Q4 of 2026, scheduled to be released in January 2027.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the Euro Area GDP growth rate for the full year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the Euro Area GDP growth rate for Q4 2026, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. If no data is released for either the full year or fourth quarter of 2026 by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the Euro Area GDP growth rate for the full year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the Euro Area GDP growth rate for Q4 2026, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. If no data is released for either the full year or fourth quarter of 2026 by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$8,722Ngày kết thúc
Jan 31, 2027Thị trường mở
Jan 21, 2026, 7:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent weak Eurozone GDP data and downward revisions to 2026 growth forecasts have anchored trader sentiment around the 1.0-2.0% band. Eurostat reported just 0.1% quarter-on-quarter expansion in Q1 2026, with year-on-year growth slowing to 0.8%, pressured by elevated energy costs amid Middle East tensions and subdued manufacturing momentum. Analyst projections have accordingly shifted lower, with several houses now targeting 0.8-1.1% for the full year, reflecting tighter financial conditions and lingering geopolitical risks. These developments have elevated the probability mass on sub-2% outcomes while leaving room for modest upside if domestic demand holds and energy prices stabilize. Key near-term catalysts include the May and June inflation releases and the next ECB policy decision, which will further shape market-implied odds.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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