Trader consensus on Polymarket prices the June 2026 COMEX Gold (GC) futures settlement in the $4,600-$5,000 range at 33% implied probability, narrowly leading $4,200-$4,600 at 28%, reflecting a closely contested standoff around current levels near $4,690. Recent hotter-than-expected US inflation data—coupled with oil-driven price pressures from Iran tensions—has curbed Federal Reserve rate cut bets, with the Fed holding steady and signaling just one easing in 2026, capping gold's upside after a January peak above $5,600. Countering this, a softer US dollar and anticipation of the Trump-Xi summit provide a floor, while persistent geopolitical risks sustain safe-haven demand. Key swing factors include upcoming CPI releases, nonfarm payrolls, and FOMC signals before June's last trading day, where trader capital highlights balanced uncertainty over inflation persistence versus risk-off flows.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtVàng (GC) sẽ thanh toán ở mức nào trong tháng 6?
Vàng (GC) sẽ thanh toán ở mức nào trong tháng 6?
$4.600-$5.000 33%
$4,200-$4,600 28.0%
$5,000-$5,400 16.9%
$5,400-$5,800 10%
$944,690 KL.
$944,690 KL.
Dưới $3,800
1%
$3,800-$4,200
9%
$4,200-$4,600
28%
$4.600-$5.000
33%
$5,000-$5,400
17%
$5,400-$5,800
10%
$5.800-$6.200
2%
>$6.200
2%
$4.600-$5.000 33%
$4,200-$4,600 28.0%
$5,000-$5,400 16.9%
$5,400-$5,800 10%
$944,690 KL.
$944,690 KL.
Dưới $3,800
1%
$3,800-$4,200
9%
$4,200-$4,600
28%
$4.600-$5.000
33%
$5,000-$5,400
17%
$5,400-$5,800
10%
$5.800-$6.200
2%
>$6.200
2%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Thị trường mở: Dec 26, 2025, 6:27 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices the June 2026 COMEX Gold (GC) futures settlement in the $4,600-$5,000 range at 33% implied probability, narrowly leading $4,200-$4,600 at 28%, reflecting a closely contested standoff around current levels near $4,690. Recent hotter-than-expected US inflation data—coupled with oil-driven price pressures from Iran tensions—has curbed Federal Reserve rate cut bets, with the Fed holding steady and signaling just one easing in 2026, capping gold's upside after a January peak above $5,600. Countering this, a softer US dollar and anticipation of the Trump-Xi summit provide a floor, while persistent geopolitical risks sustain safe-haven demand. Key swing factors include upcoming CPI releases, nonfarm payrolls, and FOMC signals before June's last trading day, where trader capital highlights balanced uncertainty over inflation persistence versus risk-off flows.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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