Polymarket traders price a 23.9% implied probability for Silver (SI) settling in the $70-$80 range in June 2026, closely trailed by $80-$90 (19.5%) and $90-$100 (18.5%), reflecting consensus around current COMEX June futures near $87 amid a 5% spot rally to $87.50 over the past week. This tight clustering stems from persistent structural supply deficits—projected at 50 million ounces for 2026's sixth straight year—and surging industrial demand from solar photovoltaics, EVs, and electronics, outweighing softer jewelry uptake. Key swing factors include U.S. inflation trajectory (recent hotter-than-expected data), Fed funds path amid Treasury yields above 4.5%, and COMEX delivery pressures versus Shanghai spot pricing. Upside risks hinge on China imports and USD weakness; downside on risk-off flows, with June CPI and FOMC as pivotal catalysts.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtBạc (SI) sẽ giải quyết vấn đề gì trong tháng 6?
Bạc (SI) sẽ giải quyết vấn đề gì trong tháng 6?
$70-$80 24.1%
$80-$90 20%
$90-$100 19%
$100-$115 15%
$570,906 KL.
$570,906 KL.
Dưới $50
2%
$50-$60
2%
$60-$70
8%
$70-$80
24%
$80-$90
20%
$90-$100
19%
$100-$115
15%
>$115
13%
$70-$80 24.1%
$80-$90 20%
$90-$100 19%
$100-$115 15%
$570,906 KL.
$570,906 KL.
Dưới $50
2%
$50-$60
2%
$60-$70
8%
$70-$80
24%
$80-$90
20%
$90-$100
19%
$100-$115
15%
>$115
13%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Silver (SI) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (March, May, July, September, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month becomes a non-active month effective on its First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Silver (SI) futures.
Thị trường mở: Dec 26, 2025, 6:31 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Silver (SI) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (March, May, July, September, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month becomes a non-active month effective on its First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Silver (SI) futures.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Polymarket traders price a 23.9% implied probability for Silver (SI) settling in the $70-$80 range in June 2026, closely trailed by $80-$90 (19.5%) and $90-$100 (18.5%), reflecting consensus around current COMEX June futures near $87 amid a 5% spot rally to $87.50 over the past week. This tight clustering stems from persistent structural supply deficits—projected at 50 million ounces for 2026's sixth straight year—and surging industrial demand from solar photovoltaics, EVs, and electronics, outweighing softer jewelry uptake. Key swing factors include U.S. inflation trajectory (recent hotter-than-expected data), Fed funds path amid Treasury yields above 4.5%, and COMEX delivery pressures versus Shanghai spot pricing. Upside risks hinge on China imports and USD weakness; downside on risk-off flows, with June CPI and FOMC as pivotal catalysts.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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