**Trader sentiment for Ankara's June 20 high temperature centers on the 23–24°C range (combined ~58.5% implied probability), reflecting tight consensus from short-range weather models amid typical early-summer variability.** Current forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and local meteorological outlooks point to a high near 23–24°C (roughly 73–75°F), consistent with the month's climatological average high of ~27–28°C but tempered by recent cooler, partly cloudy conditions and possible isolated showers or increased cloud cover. Ankara’s continental climate features rapid diurnal swings and sensitivity to steering patterns; modest differences in model guidance on ridge strength versus transient moisture from the Mediterranean can easily shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. With resolution imminent, traders are weighting the latest ensemble runs and observed trends over the past 48 hours, where temperatures have hovered in the low-to-mid 20s. The spread across 22–25°C outcomes captures residual forecast uncertainty typical at this lead time, while probabilities drop sharply outside that band due to established seasonal baselines and limited extreme deviation potential.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Ankara on June 20?
24°C 34%
23°C 25%
22°C 18%
25°C 16%
20°C or below
9%
21°C
8%
22°C
18%
23°C
25%
24°C
34%
25°C
16%
26°C
9%
27°C
5%
28°C
3%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
24°C 34%
23°C 25%
22°C 18%
25°C 16%
20°C or below
9%
21°C
8%
22°C
18%
23°C
25%
24°C
34%
25°C
16%
26°C
9%
27°C
5%
28°C
3%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Jun 18, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for Ankara's June 20 high temperature centers on the 23–24°C range (combined ~58.5% implied probability), reflecting tight consensus from short-range weather models amid typical early-summer variability.** Current forecasts from sources like AccuWeather and local meteorological outlooks point to a high near 23–24°C (roughly 73–75°F), consistent with the month's climatological average high of ~27–28°C but tempered by recent cooler, partly cloudy conditions and possible isolated showers or increased cloud cover. Ankara’s continental climate features rapid diurnal swings and sensitivity to steering patterns; modest differences in model guidance on ridge strength versus transient moisture from the Mediterranean can easily shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. With resolution imminent, traders are weighting the latest ensemble runs and observed trends over the past 48 hours, where temperatures have hovered in the low-to-mid 20s. The spread across 22–25°C outcomes captures residual forecast uncertainty typical at this lead time, while probabilities drop sharply outside that band due to established seasonal baselines and limited extreme deviation potential.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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