**Forecast models for Beijing on June 18, 2026, cluster tightly around daily maxima of 31–32°C, driving the near-even market split between those two outcomes.** Official guidance from sources like AccuWeather and BBC Weather indicates highs near 31–33°C under hazy or partly cloudy skies, with lows around 21–23°C. Key differentiating factors include the strength and position of the western Pacific subtropical high, which supports southerly flow and warming, versus the timing and coverage of any afternoon convection or increased cloudiness that could limit peak heating. Historical June averages near 30–31°C provide context, but short-term model spread on boundary-layer moisture and insolation creates the current uncertainty reflected in trader positioning. New observational data and updated model runs overnight will likely resolve the narrow gap before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Beijing on June 18?
Highest temperature in Beijing on June 18?
32°C 32%
31°C 31%
30°C 23%
33°C 10.3%
MỚI
$42,103 KL.
MỚI
$42,103 KL.
Jun 18, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
9%
30°C
23%
31°C
31%
32°C
32%
33°C
10%
34°C
2%
35°C
1%
36°C or higher
<1%
32°C 32%
31°C 31%
30°C 23%
33°C 10.3%
MỚI
$42,103 KL.
MỚI
$42,103 KL.
Jun 18, 2026
26°C or below
$4,450 KL.
<1%
27°C
$1,815 KL.
<1%
28°C
$2,760 KL.
1%
29°C
$2,787 KL.
9%
30°C
$3,044 KL.
23%
31°C
$2,972 KL.
31%
32°C
$8,494 KL.
32%
33°C
$6,182 KL.
10%
34°C
$3,901 KL.
2%
35°C
$2,473 KL.
1%
36°C or higher
$3,271 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models for Beijing on June 18, 2026, cluster tightly around daily maxima of 31–32°C, driving the near-even market split between those two outcomes.** Official guidance from sources like AccuWeather and BBC Weather indicates highs near 31–33°C under hazy or partly cloudy skies, with lows around 21–23°C. Key differentiating factors include the strength and position of the western Pacific subtropical high, which supports southerly flow and warming, versus the timing and coverage of any afternoon convection or increased cloudiness that could limit peak heating. Historical June averages near 30–31°C provide context, but short-term model spread on boundary-layer moisture and insolation creates the current uncertainty reflected in trader positioning. New observational data and updated model runs overnight will likely resolve the narrow gap before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Jun 16, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Khối lượng
$42,103Ngày kết thúc
Jun 18, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 16, 2026, 12:06 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models for Beijing on June 18, 2026, cluster tightly around daily maxima of 31–32°C, driving the near-even market split between those two outcomes.** Official guidance from sources like AccuWeather and BBC Weather indicates highs near 31–33°C under hazy or partly cloudy skies, with lows around 21–23°C. Key differentiating factors include the strength and position of the western Pacific subtropical high, which supports southerly flow and warming, versus the timing and coverage of any afternoon convection or increased cloudiness that could limit peak heating. Historical June averages near 30–31°C provide context, but short-term model spread on boundary-layer moisture and insolation creates the current uncertainty reflected in trader positioning. New observational data and updated model runs overnight will likely resolve the narrow gap before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$42,103Ngày kết thúc
Jun 18, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 16, 2026, 12:06 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models for Beijing on June 18, 2026, cluster tightly around daily maxima of 31–32°C, driving the near-even market split between those two outcomes.** Official guidance from sources like AccuWeather and BBC Weather indicates highs near 31–33°C under hazy or partly cloudy skies, with lows around 21–23°C. Key differentiating factors include the strength and position of the western Pacific subtropical high, which supports southerly flow and warming, versus the timing and coverage of any afternoon convection or increased cloudiness that could limit peak heating. Historical June averages near 30–31°C provide context, but short-term model spread on boundary-layer moisture and insolation creates the current uncertainty reflected in trader positioning. New observational data and updated model runs overnight will likely resolve the narrow gap before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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