Latest ensemble forecasts from global and regional models highlight a subtropical high-pressure ridge over the Sichuan basin as the main driver behind market-implied odds favoring 37–39 °C, with 37 °C holding the highest probability at 22.5 %. High humidity, typical of July’s East Asian monsoon regime, limits nocturnal cooling while daytime insolation and light winds promote rapid warming, yet scattered afternoon convection and variable cloud cover create the tight spread across 36–39 °C outcomes. Traders appear to weigh recent model runs showing slight cooling from increased moisture against climatological peaks near 35 °C, with new short-range guidance expected within 24 hours likely to sharpen resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Chengdu on July 14?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on July 14?
38°C 32%
39°C 29%
37°C 16%
40°C 9.8%
MỚI
$19,755 KL.
MỚI
$19,755 KL.
Jul 14, 2026
34°C or below
1%
35°C
1%
36°C
4%
37°C
16%
38°C
32%
39°C
29%
40°C
10%
41°C
1%
42°C
<1%
43°C
<1%
44°C or higher
<1%
38°C 32%
39°C 29%
37°C 16%
40°C 9.8%
MỚI
$19,755 KL.
MỚI
$19,755 KL.
Jul 14, 2026
34°C or below
$2,901 KL.
1%
35°C
$2,559 KL.
1%
36°C
$2,750 KL.
4%
37°C
$1,790 KL.
16%
38°C
$1,212 KL.
32%
39°C
$1,919 KL.
29%
40°C
$2,094 KL.
10%
41°C
$2,246 KL.
1%
42°C
$1,688 KL.
<1%
43°C
$217 KL.
<1%
44°C or higher
$380 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from global and regional models highlight a subtropical high-pressure ridge over the Sichuan basin as the main driver behind market-implied odds favoring 37–39 °C, with 37 °C holding the highest probability at 22.5 %. High humidity, typical of July’s East Asian monsoon regime, limits nocturnal cooling while daytime insolation and light winds promote rapid warming, yet scattered afternoon convection and variable cloud cover create the tight spread across 36–39 °C outcomes. Traders appear to weigh recent model runs showing slight cooling from increased moisture against climatological peaks near 35 °C, with new short-range guidance expected within 24 hours likely to sharpen resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Jul 12, 2026, 1:04 AM ET
Khối lượng
$19,755Ngày kết thúc
Jul 14, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 12, 2026, 1:04 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from global and regional models highlight a subtropical high-pressure ridge over the Sichuan basin as the main driver behind market-implied odds favoring 37–39 °C, with 37 °C holding the highest probability at 22.5 %. High humidity, typical of July’s East Asian monsoon regime, limits nocturnal cooling while daytime insolation and light winds promote rapid warming, yet scattered afternoon convection and variable cloud cover create the tight spread across 36–39 °C outcomes. Traders appear to weigh recent model runs showing slight cooling from increased moisture against climatological peaks near 35 °C, with new short-range guidance expected within 24 hours likely to sharpen resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$19,755Ngày kết thúc
Jul 14, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 12, 2026, 1:04 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from global and regional models highlight a subtropical high-pressure ridge over the Sichuan basin as the main driver behind market-implied odds favoring 37–39 °C, with 37 °C holding the highest probability at 22.5 %. High humidity, typical of July’s East Asian monsoon regime, limits nocturnal cooling while daytime insolation and light winds promote rapid warming, yet scattered afternoon convection and variable cloud cover create the tight spread across 36–39 °C outcomes. Traders appear to weigh recent model runs showing slight cooling from increased moisture against climatological peaks near 35 °C, with new short-range guidance expected within 24 hours likely to sharpen resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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