Recent official forecasts from meteorological agencies and models, including guidance pointing to mostly sunny conditions with light to moderate northeasterly winds, have anchored trader sentiment around a 24–25°C daily maximum for Istanbul on June 11. These conditions favor gradual daytime warming without strong advection or cloud cover to suppress temperatures, though slight model spread in boundary-layer mixing and local sea-breeze effects creates the narrow 35.5%–33% split between those two outcomes. Historical June averages near 26°C provide context, yet current observations of stable high pressure and minimal moisture keep lower brackets (23°C at 17.5%) viable if winds strengthen or timing shifts the peak. Updated short-range runs and any last-minute adjustments from regional services remain the key near-term catalysts that could shift the closely matched probabilities.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Istanbul on June 11?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on June 11?
24°C 36%
25°C 34%
23°C 18%
26°C 9%
MỚI
MỚI
Jun 11, 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
2%
23°C
18%
24°C
36%
25°C
34%
26°C
9%
27°C
2%
28°C or higher
2%
24°C 36%
25°C 34%
23°C 18%
26°C 9%
MỚI
MỚI
Jun 11, 2026
18°C or below
$250 KL.
<1%
19°C
$206 KL.
<1%
20°C
$66 KL.
<1%
21°C
$154 KL.
<1%
22°C
$155 KL.
2%
23°C
$213 KL.
18%
24°C
$214 KL.
36%
25°C
$211 KL.
34%
26°C
$141 KL.
9%
27°C
$193 KL.
2%
28°C or higher
$234 KL.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from meteorological agencies and models, including guidance pointing to mostly sunny conditions with light to moderate northeasterly winds, have anchored trader sentiment around a 24–25°C daily maximum for Istanbul on June 11. These conditions favor gradual daytime warming without strong advection or cloud cover to suppress temperatures, though slight model spread in boundary-layer mixing and local sea-breeze effects creates the narrow 35.5%–33% split between those two outcomes. Historical June averages near 26°C provide context, yet current observations of stable high pressure and minimal moisture keep lower brackets (23°C at 17.5%) viable if winds strengthen or timing shifts the peak. Updated short-range runs and any last-minute adjustments from regional services remain the key near-term catalysts that could shift the closely matched probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Jun 9, 2026, 1:14 AM ET
Khối lượng
$2,035Ngày kết thúc
Jun 11, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 9, 2026, 1:14 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from meteorological agencies and models, including guidance pointing to mostly sunny conditions with light to moderate northeasterly winds, have anchored trader sentiment around a 24–25°C daily maximum for Istanbul on June 11. These conditions favor gradual daytime warming without strong advection or cloud cover to suppress temperatures, though slight model spread in boundary-layer mixing and local sea-breeze effects creates the narrow 35.5%–33% split between those two outcomes. Historical June averages near 26°C provide context, yet current observations of stable high pressure and minimal moisture keep lower brackets (23°C at 17.5%) viable if winds strengthen or timing shifts the peak. Updated short-range runs and any last-minute adjustments from regional services remain the key near-term catalysts that could shift the closely matched probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$2,035Ngày kết thúc
Jun 11, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 9, 2026, 1:14 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from meteorological agencies and models, including guidance pointing to mostly sunny conditions with light to moderate northeasterly winds, have anchored trader sentiment around a 24–25°C daily maximum for Istanbul on June 11. These conditions favor gradual daytime warming without strong advection or cloud cover to suppress temperatures, though slight model spread in boundary-layer mixing and local sea-breeze effects creates the narrow 35.5%–33% split between those two outcomes. Historical June averages near 26°C provide context, yet current observations of stable high pressure and minimal moisture keep lower brackets (23°C at 17.5%) viable if winds strengthen or timing shifts the peak. Updated short-range runs and any last-minute adjustments from regional services remain the key near-term catalysts that could shift the closely matched probabilities.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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