National Weather Service observations at LaGuardia Airport, the official Polymarket resolution station for New York City, recorded a daily maximum of 80–81°F on June 9 under partly sunny skies and light southwesterly flow. This aligns precisely with the market’s 100% implied probability for the 80-81°F outcome and sits near the early-June climatological average high of roughly 79°F. Model consensus from NOAA and private forecasters had converged on this narrow range in the final 24–48 hours, with minimal spread across guidance. A realistic challenge would require a post-analysis revision to the official reading or a station-specific discrepancy exceeding the two-degree band, both of which are rare once preliminary data are verified.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in NYC on June 9?
Highest temperature in NYC on June 9?
80-81°F 100.0%
71°F or below <1%
72-73°F <1%
74-75°F <1%
$127,831 KL.
$127,831 KL.
Jun 9, 2026
71°F or below
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
Yes
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90°F or higher
No
80-81°F 100.0%
71°F or below <1%
72-73°F <1%
74-75°F <1%
$127,831 KL.
$127,831 KL.
Jun 9, 2026
71°F or below
$898 KL.
No
72-73°F
$1,461 KL.
No
74-75°F
$3,315 KL.
No
76-77°F
$19,269 KL.
No
78-79°F
$46,340 KL.
No
80-81°F
$21,530 KL.
Yes
82-83°F
$15,571 KL.
No
84-85°F
$12,169 KL.
No
86-87°F
$4,369 KL.
No
88-89°F
$2,026 KL.
No
90°F or higher
$884 KL.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service observations at LaGuardia Airport, the official Polymarket resolution station for New York City, recorded a daily maximum of 80–81°F on June 9 under partly sunny skies and light southwesterly flow. This aligns precisely with the market’s 100% implied probability for the 80-81°F outcome and sits near the early-June climatological average high of roughly 79°F. Model consensus from NOAA and private forecasters had converged on this narrow range in the final 24–48 hours, with minimal spread across guidance. A realistic challenge would require a post-analysis revision to the official reading or a station-specific discrepancy exceeding the two-degree band, both of which are rare once preliminary data are verified.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Jun 7, 2026, 10:03 PM ET
Khối lượng
$127,831Ngày kết thúc
Jun 9, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 7, 2026, 10:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service observations at LaGuardia Airport, the official Polymarket resolution station for New York City, recorded a daily maximum of 80–81°F on June 9 under partly sunny skies and light southwesterly flow. This aligns precisely with the market’s 100% implied probability for the 80-81°F outcome and sits near the early-June climatological average high of roughly 79°F. Model consensus from NOAA and private forecasters had converged on this narrow range in the final 24–48 hours, with minimal spread across guidance. A realistic challenge would require a post-analysis revision to the official reading or a station-specific discrepancy exceeding the two-degree band, both of which are rare once preliminary data are verified.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 9 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$127,831Ngày kết thúc
Jun 9, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 7, 2026, 10:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
National Weather Service observations at LaGuardia Airport, the official Polymarket resolution station for New York City, recorded a daily maximum of 80–81°F on June 9 under partly sunny skies and light southwesterly flow. This aligns precisely with the market’s 100% implied probability for the 80-81°F outcome and sits near the early-June climatological average high of roughly 79°F. Model consensus from NOAA and private forecasters had converged on this narrow range in the final 24–48 hours, with minimal spread across guidance. A realistic challenge would require a post-analysis revision to the official reading or a station-specific discrepancy exceeding the two-degree band, both of which are rare once preliminary data are verified.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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