**Traders have converged on the 92-93°F bin at full implied probability because official observations from Austin Bergstrom International Airport (KAUS) recorded a daily maximum in that exact range on June 11.** National Weather Service data and automated station reports confirm this peak under clear to partly cloudy skies with light southerly flow and dew points in the low-to-mid 70s, consistent with early-June climatology for central Texas where highs typically climb from the upper 80s into the low 90s. Model guidance issued 24–48 hours prior had already narrowed the expected range tightly around 91–94°F, leaving little room for deviation once the 24-hour observational window closed. The only realistic scenarios that could still shift resolution are an unusually large post-event quality-control adjustment by the National Centers for Environmental Information or a rare station instrumentation issue—both historically infrequent and unlikely to move the final value outside the 92–93°F bracket.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Austin on June 11?
92-93°F 100.0%
85°F or below <1%
86-87°F <1%
88-89°F <1%
$28,625 KL.
$28,625 KL.
85°F or below
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90-91°F
No
92-93°F
Yes
94-95°F
No
96-97°F
No
98-99°F
No
100-101°F
No
102-103°F
No
104°F or higher
No
92-93°F 100.0%
85°F or below <1%
86-87°F <1%
88-89°F <1%
$28,625 KL.
$28,625 KL.
85°F or below
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90-91°F
No
92-93°F
Yes
94-95°F
No
96-97°F
No
98-99°F
No
100-101°F
No
102-103°F
No
104°F or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Jun 9, 2026, 9:06 PM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
**Traders have converged on the 92-93°F bin at full implied probability because official observations from Austin Bergstrom International Airport (KAUS) recorded a daily maximum in that exact range on June 11.** National Weather Service data and automated station reports confirm this peak under clear to partly cloudy skies with light southerly flow and dew points in the low-to-mid 70s, consistent with early-June climatology for central Texas where highs typically climb from the upper 80s into the low 90s. Model guidance issued 24–48 hours prior had already narrowed the expected range tightly around 91–94°F, leaving little room for deviation once the 24-hour observational window closed. The only realistic scenarios that could still shift resolution are an unusually large post-event quality-control adjustment by the National Centers for Environmental Information or a rare station instrumentation issue—both historically infrequent and unlikely to move the final value outside the 92–93°F bracket.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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