Multiple meteorological models and official agencies, including forecasts from Yr, WeatherBug, and regional Shandong services, indicate a daytime high near 29°C for Jinan on September 21 under mostly sunny to partly cloudy conditions with light winds and minimal precipitation. This consensus arises from current atmospheric patterns favoring warm advection ahead of a weak front, consistent with late-September climatology where highs typically reach 26–30°C. The 96.5% market-implied probability for 26°C or higher reflects traders’ confidence in these stable model runs and historical verification rates. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected cold surge or widespread cloud cover and rain not currently indicated in ensemble guidance, though such shifts remain low-probability given the short lead time and dry air mass in place.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Jinan on September 21?
26°C or higher 97%
24°C 7%
25°C 4%
23°C 3%
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
3%
23°C
3%
24°C
7%
25°C
4%
26°C or higher
97%
26°C or higher 97%
24°C 7%
25°C 4%
23°C 3%
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
3%
23°C
3%
24°C
7%
25°C
4%
26°C or higher
97%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 20, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Multiple meteorological models and official agencies, including forecasts from Yr, WeatherBug, and regional Shandong services, indicate a daytime high near 29°C for Jinan on September 21 under mostly sunny to partly cloudy conditions with light winds and minimal precipitation. This consensus arises from current atmospheric patterns favoring warm advection ahead of a weak front, consistent with late-September climatology where highs typically reach 26–30°C. The 96.5% market-implied probability for 26°C or higher reflects traders’ confidence in these stable model runs and historical verification rates. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected cold surge or widespread cloud cover and rain not currently indicated in ensemble guidance, though such shifts remain low-probability given the short lead time and dry air mass in place.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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