Current forecasts from Spain’s AEMET and major European models converge on a peak of 35–36 °C at Madrid-Barajas Airport on August 19, supported by a strong high-pressure ridge delivering clear skies, intense solar insolation, and minimal advection of cooler maritime air. These synoptic conditions, combined with typical August climatology for the central Iberian Plateau, concentrate trader consensus on the 36 °C outcome at near-certainty levels. Resolution hinges on the official maximum recorded at the airport station; modest deviations could arise from localized urban-heat-island enhancement, slight changes in boundary-layer wind, or minor model timing errors, though the overall atmospheric setup leaves little room for outcomes outside 35–37 °C.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Madrid on August 19?
Highest temperature in Madrid on August 19?
36°C 100.0%
32°C or below <1%
33°C <1%
34°C <1%
$83,662 KL.
$83,662 KL.
Aug 19, 2026
32°C or below
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
Yes
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C
No
41°C
No
42°C or higher
No
36°C 100.0%
32°C or below <1%
33°C <1%
34°C <1%
$83,662 KL.
$83,662 KL.
Aug 19, 2026
32°C or below
$2,695 KL.
No
33°C
$2,729 KL.
No
34°C
$5,256 KL.
No
35°C
$17,021 KL.
No
36°C
$22,378 KL.
Yes
37°C
$18,190 KL.
No
38°C
$6,421 KL.
No
39°C
$4,835 KL.
No
40°C
$1,751 KL.
No
41°C
$1,200 KL.
No
42°C or higher
$1,187 KL.
No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from Spain’s AEMET and major European models converge on a peak of 35–36 °C at Madrid-Barajas Airport on August 19, supported by a strong high-pressure ridge delivering clear skies, intense solar insolation, and minimal advection of cooler maritime air. These synoptic conditions, combined with typical August climatology for the central Iberian Plateau, concentrate trader consensus on the 36 °C outcome at near-certainty levels. Resolution hinges on the official maximum recorded at the airport station; modest deviations could arise from localized urban-heat-island enhancement, slight changes in boundary-layer wind, or minor model timing errors, though the overall atmospheric setup leaves little room for outcomes outside 35–37 °C.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Khối lượng
$83,662Ngày kết thúc
Aug 19, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from Spain’s AEMET and major European models converge on a peak of 35–36 °C at Madrid-Barajas Airport on August 19, supported by a strong high-pressure ridge delivering clear skies, intense solar insolation, and minimal advection of cooler maritime air. These synoptic conditions, combined with typical August climatology for the central Iberian Plateau, concentrate trader consensus on the 36 °C outcome at near-certainty levels. Resolution hinges on the official maximum recorded at the airport station; modest deviations could arise from localized urban-heat-island enhancement, slight changes in boundary-layer wind, or minor model timing errors, though the overall atmospheric setup leaves little room for outcomes outside 35–37 °C.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$83,662Ngày kết thúc
Aug 19, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
Current forecasts from Spain’s AEMET and major European models converge on a peak of 35–36 °C at Madrid-Barajas Airport on August 19, supported by a strong high-pressure ridge delivering clear skies, intense solar insolation, and minimal advection of cooler maritime air. These synoptic conditions, combined with typical August climatology for the central Iberian Plateau, concentrate trader consensus on the 36 °C outcome at near-certainty levels. Resolution hinges on the official maximum recorded at the airport station; modest deviations could arise from localized urban-heat-island enhancement, slight changes in boundary-layer wind, or minor model timing errors, though the overall atmospheric setup leaves little room for outcomes outside 35–37 °C.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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