Recent official forecasts from Singapore's Meteorological Service and NEA point to partly cloudy conditions with afternoon thundery showers on September 22, consistent with prevailing southwest monsoon patterns that promote localized convection and limit peak heating. These showers, typical during the second half of September, have kept recent daily maxima mostly in the 31–34°C range despite above-normal seasonal temperatures across Southeast Asia. Model consensus and historical September climatology around 32°C, combined with expected cloud cover and humidity, explain why traders assign the highest implied probability to 32°C while discounting both cooler outcomes from heavier rain and hotter extremes above 34°C. Updated model runs and the next NEA briefing will likely refine these odds ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Singapore on September 22?
32°C 45%
33°C 26%
31°C 21%
30°C 7%
28°C or below
2%
29°C
1%
30°C
7%
31°C
21%
32°C
45%
33°C
26%
34°C
3%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
32°C 45%
33°C 26%
31°C 21%
30°C 7%
28°C or below
2%
29°C
1%
30°C
7%
31°C
21%
32°C
45%
33°C
26%
34°C
3%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 20, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsssNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsssNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from Singapore's Meteorological Service and NEA point to partly cloudy conditions with afternoon thundery showers on September 22, consistent with prevailing southwest monsoon patterns that promote localized convection and limit peak heating. These showers, typical during the second half of September, have kept recent daily maxima mostly in the 31–34°C range despite above-normal seasonal temperatures across Southeast Asia. Model consensus and historical September climatology around 32°C, combined with expected cloud cover and humidity, explain why traders assign the highest implied probability to 32°C while discounting both cooler outcomes from heavier rain and hotter extremes above 34°C. Updated model runs and the next NEA briefing will likely refine these odds ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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