Southwest monsoon (habagat) activity and associated cloud cover with scattered showers are the dominant drivers keeping Manila’s peak temperature on August 8 anchored near 28–30 °C. PAGASA forecasts for the date show a daytime high around 29 °C under continued moist southwesterly flow, which reduces solar insolation and caps afternoon heating below the month’s climatological average near 31 °C. Model consensus indicates persistent rain chances and limited diurnal warming, mirroring conditions that positioned 29 °C as the modal outcome for the preceding day. With the market-implied probability highest at 29 °C (46 %), traders are pricing in these monsoon-suppressed readings while assigning lower odds to 30 °C or above if clearer breaks develop. Updated PAGASA briefings and next-model runs will be the key near-term catalysts.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Manila on August 8?
Highest temperature in Manila on August 8?
29°C 49%
28°C 29%
30°C 18%
27°C 3%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 8, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
3%
28°C
29%
29°C
49%
30°C
18%
31°C
3%
32°C
1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
29°C 49%
28°C 29%
30°C 18%
27°C 3%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 8, 2026
24°C or below
$500 KL.
<1%
25°C
$466 KL.
<1%
26°C
$521 KL.
1%
27°C
$544 KL.
3%
28°C
$2,052 KL.
29%
29°C
$1,398 KL.
49%
30°C
$1,049 KL.
18%
31°C
$1,174 KL.
3%
32°C
$414 KL.
1%
33°C
$533 KL.
<1%
34°C or higher
$618 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Southwest monsoon (habagat) activity and associated cloud cover with scattered showers are the dominant drivers keeping Manila’s peak temperature on August 8 anchored near 28–30 °C. PAGASA forecasts for the date show a daytime high around 29 °C under continued moist southwesterly flow, which reduces solar insolation and caps afternoon heating below the month’s climatological average near 31 °C. Model consensus indicates persistent rain chances and limited diurnal warming, mirroring conditions that positioned 29 °C as the modal outcome for the preceding day. With the market-implied probability highest at 29 °C (46 %), traders are pricing in these monsoon-suppressed readings while assigning lower odds to 30 °C or above if clearer breaks develop. Updated PAGASA briefings and next-model runs will be the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 6, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Khối lượng
$9,268Ngày kết thúc
Aug 8, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 6, 2026, 12:04 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Southwest monsoon (habagat) activity and associated cloud cover with scattered showers are the dominant drivers keeping Manila’s peak temperature on August 8 anchored near 28–30 °C. PAGASA forecasts for the date show a daytime high around 29 °C under continued moist southwesterly flow, which reduces solar insolation and caps afternoon heating below the month’s climatological average near 31 °C. Model consensus indicates persistent rain chances and limited diurnal warming, mirroring conditions that positioned 29 °C as the modal outcome for the preceding day. With the market-implied probability highest at 29 °C (46 %), traders are pricing in these monsoon-suppressed readings while assigning lower odds to 30 °C or above if clearer breaks develop. Updated PAGASA briefings and next-model runs will be the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$9,268Ngày kết thúc
Aug 8, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 6, 2026, 12:04 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Southwest monsoon (habagat) activity and associated cloud cover with scattered showers are the dominant drivers keeping Manila’s peak temperature on August 8 anchored near 28–30 °C. PAGASA forecasts for the date show a daytime high around 29 °C under continued moist southwesterly flow, which reduces solar insolation and caps afternoon heating below the month’s climatological average near 31 °C. Model consensus indicates persistent rain chances and limited diurnal warming, mirroring conditions that positioned 29 °C as the modal outcome for the preceding day. With the market-implied probability highest at 29 °C (46 %), traders are pricing in these monsoon-suppressed readings while assigning lower odds to 30 °C or above if clearer breaks develop. Updated PAGASA briefings and next-model runs will be the key near-term catalysts.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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