Persistent high-pressure subsidence and clear skies over the Po Valley produced strong daytime radiative heating in Milan on August 15, with official meteorological stations recording a daily maximum of 34 °C. Numerical weather models from the Italian Meteorological Service and ECMWF projected surface temperatures near 34–36 °C under light winds and typical summer insolation, aligning closely with the observed value after accounting for urban heat-island effects and exact station siting. Trader consensus at 100 % on 34 °C reflects verified station data rather than forecasts. Minor discrepancies in boundary-layer mixing or sensor calibration could still shift the official maximum by 1 °C, though such revisions are unlikely given multiple confirming reports.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Milan on August 15?
Highest temperature in Milan on August 15?
34°C 100.0%
30°C or below <1%
31°C <1%
32°C <1%
$45,514 KL.
$45,514 KL.
Aug 15, 2026
30°C or below
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
Yes
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C or higher
No
34°C 100.0%
30°C or below <1%
31°C <1%
32°C <1%
$45,514 KL.
$45,514 KL.
Aug 15, 2026
30°C or below
$215 KL.
No
31°C
$332 KL.
No
32°C
$1,729 KL.
No
33°C
$12,472 KL.
No
34°C
$11,068 KL.
Yes
35°C
$8,754 KL.
No
36°C
$6,161 KL.
No
37°C
$2,663 KL.
No
38°C
$1,399 KL.
No
39°C
$578 KL.
No
40°C or higher
$143 KL.
No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent high-pressure subsidence and clear skies over the Po Valley produced strong daytime radiative heating in Milan on August 15, with official meteorological stations recording a daily maximum of 34 °C. Numerical weather models from the Italian Meteorological Service and ECMWF projected surface temperatures near 34–36 °C under light winds and typical summer insolation, aligning closely with the observed value after accounting for urban heat-island effects and exact station siting. Trader consensus at 100 % on 34 °C reflects verified station data rather than forecasts. Minor discrepancies in boundary-layer mixing or sensor calibration could still shift the official maximum by 1 °C, though such revisions are unlikely given multiple confirming reports.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Khối lượng
$45,514Ngày kết thúc
Aug 15, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: Yes
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: Yes
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent high-pressure subsidence and clear skies over the Po Valley produced strong daytime radiative heating in Milan on August 15, with official meteorological stations recording a daily maximum of 34 °C. Numerical weather models from the Italian Meteorological Service and ECMWF projected surface temperatures near 34–36 °C under light winds and typical summer insolation, aligning closely with the observed value after accounting for urban heat-island effects and exact station siting. Trader consensus at 100 % on 34 °C reflects verified station data rather than forecasts. Minor discrepancies in boundary-layer mixing or sensor calibration could still shift the official maximum by 1 °C, though such revisions are unlikely given multiple confirming reports.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$45,514Ngày kết thúc
Aug 15, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: Yes
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: Yes
Persistent high-pressure subsidence and clear skies over the Po Valley produced strong daytime radiative heating in Milan on August 15, with official meteorological stations recording a daily maximum of 34 °C. Numerical weather models from the Italian Meteorological Service and ECMWF projected surface temperatures near 34–36 °C under light winds and typical summer insolation, aligning closely with the observed value after accounting for urban heat-island effects and exact station siting. Trader consensus at 100 % on 34 °C reflects verified station data rather than forecasts. Minor discrepancies in boundary-layer mixing or sensor calibration could still shift the official maximum by 1 °C, though such revisions are unlikely given multiple confirming reports.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp