Strong high-pressure conditions combined with southerly flow and limited cloud cover have driven ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and German Weather Service to converge on a daily maximum near 32°C for Munich on August 16. This atmospheric setup favors enhanced solar insolation and adiabatic warming, pushing surface temperatures to that level under stable subsidence. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 32°C reflects the tight model agreement and absence of significant cooling mechanisms such as frontal passages. Unexpected increases in convective cloud cover or isolated showers could modestly suppress the peak by 1–2°C, though current guidance indicates minimal risk of such disruption before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Munich on August 16?
Highest temperature in Munich on August 16?
32°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$142,858 KL.
$142,858 KL.
Aug 16, 2026
28°C or below
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
Yes
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C or higher
No
32°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$142,858 KL.
$142,858 KL.
Aug 16, 2026
28°C or below
$17,166 KL.
No
29°C
$13,497 KL.
No
30°C
$18,410 KL.
No
31°C
$23,788 KL.
No
32°C
$23,688 KL.
Yes
33°C
$19,051 KL.
No
34°C
$14,592 KL.
No
35°C
$6,577 KL.
No
36°C
$4,186 KL.
No
37°C
$1,665 KL.
No
38°C or higher
$238 KL.
No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Strong high-pressure conditions combined with southerly flow and limited cloud cover have driven ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and German Weather Service to converge on a daily maximum near 32°C for Munich on August 16. This atmospheric setup favors enhanced solar insolation and adiabatic warming, pushing surface temperatures to that level under stable subsidence. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 32°C reflects the tight model agreement and absence of significant cooling mechanisms such as frontal passages. Unexpected increases in convective cloud cover or isolated showers could modestly suppress the peak by 1–2°C, though current guidance indicates minimal risk of such disruption before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Khối lượng
$142,858Ngày kết thúc
Aug 16, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Strong high-pressure conditions combined with southerly flow and limited cloud cover have driven ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and German Weather Service to converge on a daily maximum near 32°C for Munich on August 16. This atmospheric setup favors enhanced solar insolation and adiabatic warming, pushing surface temperatures to that level under stable subsidence. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 32°C reflects the tight model agreement and absence of significant cooling mechanisms such as frontal passages. Unexpected increases in convective cloud cover or isolated showers could modestly suppress the peak by 1–2°C, though current guidance indicates minimal risk of such disruption before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$142,858Ngày kết thúc
Aug 16, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
Strong high-pressure conditions combined with southerly flow and limited cloud cover have driven ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and German Weather Service to converge on a daily maximum near 32°C for Munich on August 16. This atmospheric setup favors enhanced solar insolation and adiabatic warming, pushing surface temperatures to that level under stable subsidence. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 32°C reflects the tight model agreement and absence of significant cooling mechanisms such as frontal passages. Unexpected increases in convective cloud cover or isolated showers could modestly suppress the peak by 1–2°C, though current guidance indicates minimal risk of such disruption before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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