Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and observational trends indicate a minimum temperature near 24–25°C for Tokyo on August 19, consistent with typical mid-August climatology where overnight lows average 23–25°C amid humid subtropical conditions. Strong daytime heating to 33–34°C and mostly clear to partly cloudy skies have reinforced trader expectations that the daily low will settle at 25°C rather than dipping lower. This positioning reflects aggregated real-money consensus on stable atmospheric patterns without significant frontal systems or enhanced radiational cooling. A realistic challenge could arise only from an unforecasted surge in onshore flow or late-day precipitation that accelerates heat loss beyond model consensus, though current guidance shows low probability of such shifts before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Tokyo on August 19?
Lowest temperature in Tokyo on August 19?
25°C 98.8%
24°C 2%
23°C <1%
21°C <1%
MỚI
$17,261 KL.
MỚI
$17,261 KL.
Aug 19, 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
2%
25°C
99%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
25°C 98.8%
24°C 2%
23°C <1%
21°C <1%
MỚI
$17,261 KL.
MỚI
$17,261 KL.
Aug 19, 2026
20°C or below
$2,101 KL.
<1%
21°C
$1,612 KL.
<1%
22°C
$1,212 KL.
<1%
23°C
$1,456 KL.
<1%
24°C
$1,484 KL.
2%
25°C
$3,517 KL.
99%
26°C
$1,475 KL.
<1%
27°C
$741 KL.
<1%
28°C
$340 KL.
<1%
29°C
$1,697 KL.
<1%
30°C or higher
$1,625 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and observational trends indicate a minimum temperature near 24–25°C for Tokyo on August 19, consistent with typical mid-August climatology where overnight lows average 23–25°C amid humid subtropical conditions. Strong daytime heating to 33–34°C and mostly clear to partly cloudy skies have reinforced trader expectations that the daily low will settle at 25°C rather than dipping lower. This positioning reflects aggregated real-money consensus on stable atmospheric patterns without significant frontal systems or enhanced radiational cooling. A realistic challenge could arise only from an unforecasted surge in onshore flow or late-day precipitation that accelerates heat loss beyond model consensus, though current guidance shows low probability of such shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 17, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Khối lượng
$17,261Ngày kết thúc
Aug 19, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 17, 2026, 12:28 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and observational trends indicate a minimum temperature near 24–25°C for Tokyo on August 19, consistent with typical mid-August climatology where overnight lows average 23–25°C amid humid subtropical conditions. Strong daytime heating to 33–34°C and mostly clear to partly cloudy skies have reinforced trader expectations that the daily low will settle at 25°C rather than dipping lower. This positioning reflects aggregated real-money consensus on stable atmospheric patterns without significant frontal systems or enhanced radiational cooling. A realistic challenge could arise only from an unforecasted surge in onshore flow or late-day precipitation that accelerates heat loss beyond model consensus, though current guidance shows low probability of such shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$17,261Ngày kết thúc
Aug 19, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 17, 2026, 12:28 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and observational trends indicate a minimum temperature near 24–25°C for Tokyo on August 19, consistent with typical mid-August climatology where overnight lows average 23–25°C amid humid subtropical conditions. Strong daytime heating to 33–34°C and mostly clear to partly cloudy skies have reinforced trader expectations that the daily low will settle at 25°C rather than dipping lower. This positioning reflects aggregated real-money consensus on stable atmospheric patterns without significant frontal systems or enhanced radiational cooling. A realistic challenge could arise only from an unforecasted surge in onshore flow or late-day precipitation that accelerates heat loss beyond model consensus, though current guidance shows low probability of such shifts before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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