Official National Weather Service forecasts for August 15, 2026, anticipated a high near 81–84°F in New York City under mostly sunny skies and light northeast winds of 6–9 mph, consistent with climatological norms for mid-August when average highs reach about 84°F. These conditions, driven by typical summer high-pressure patterns without significant moisture or advection from warmer air masses, produced observed maxima aligning precisely with the 84–85°F range at primary stations such as LaGuardia. Market consensus at 100% reflects this strong model agreement and real-time observations, though minor shifts could arise from station-specific microclimate variations or post-event data revisions by NOAA.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in NYC on August 15?
Highest temperature in NYC on August 15?
84-85°F 100.0%
75°F or below <1%
76-77°F <1%
78-79°F <1%
$92,972 KL.
$92,972 KL.
Aug 15, 2026
75°F or below
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
Yes
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90-91°F
No
92-93°F
No
94°F or higher
No
84-85°F 100.0%
75°F or below <1%
76-77°F <1%
78-79°F <1%
$92,972 KL.
$92,972 KL.
Aug 15, 2026
75°F or below
$575 KL.
No
76-77°F
$31,877 KL.
No
78-79°F
$7,113 KL.
No
80-81°F
$12,414 KL.
No
82-83°F
$15,060 KL.
No
84-85°F
$10,120 KL.
Yes
86-87°F
$6,934 KL.
No
88-89°F
$6,429 KL.
No
90-91°F
$1,602 KL.
No
92-93°F
$301 KL.
No
94°F or higher
$548 KL.
No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service forecasts for August 15, 2026, anticipated a high near 81–84°F in New York City under mostly sunny skies and light northeast winds of 6–9 mph, consistent with climatological norms for mid-August when average highs reach about 84°F. These conditions, driven by typical summer high-pressure patterns without significant moisture or advection from warmer air masses, produced observed maxima aligning precisely with the 84–85°F range at primary stations such as LaGuardia. Market consensus at 100% reflects this strong model agreement and real-time observations, though minor shifts could arise from station-specific microclimate variations or post-event data revisions by NOAA.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 13, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Khối lượng
$92,972Ngày kết thúc
Aug 15, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 13, 2026, 8:56 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service forecasts for August 15, 2026, anticipated a high near 81–84°F in New York City under mostly sunny skies and light northeast winds of 6–9 mph, consistent with climatological norms for mid-August when average highs reach about 84°F. These conditions, driven by typical summer high-pressure patterns without significant moisture or advection from warmer air masses, produced observed maxima aligning precisely with the 84–85°F range at primary stations such as LaGuardia. Market consensus at 100% reflects this strong model agreement and real-time observations, though minor shifts could arise from station-specific microclimate variations or post-event data revisions by NOAA.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$92,972Ngày kết thúc
Aug 15, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 13, 2026, 8:56 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
Official National Weather Service forecasts for August 15, 2026, anticipated a high near 81–84°F in New York City under mostly sunny skies and light northeast winds of 6–9 mph, consistent with climatological norms for mid-August when average highs reach about 84°F. These conditions, driven by typical summer high-pressure patterns without significant moisture or advection from warmer air masses, produced observed maxima aligning precisely with the 84–85°F range at primary stations such as LaGuardia. Market consensus at 100% reflects this strong model agreement and real-time observations, though minor shifts could arise from station-specific microclimate variations or post-event data revisions by NOAA.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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