Current ensemble guidance from the Israel Meteorological Service and ECMWF places Tel Aviv’s July 14 maximum near the July climatological average of 29–32 °C under moderate westerly flow and typical Mediterranean sea-breeze circulation. Afternoon onshore winds routinely advect cooler marine air, capping peaks and explaining why 31–32 °C outcomes hold the highest implied probabilities while 33 °C and above remain low. Recent short-range model runs show partly cloudy skies with limited potential for Sharav easterlies or enhanced subsidence that could shift readings higher; the narrow ensemble spread reflects stable sea-surface temperatures near 28 °C and absence of anomalous upper-level ridging. Traders are therefore weighting the 30–32 °C band most heavily, with resolution hinging on the official station maximum and any final forecast adjustments before Tuesday.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on July 14?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on July 14?
32°C 55%
31°C 38%
33°C 9%
30°C 1.1%
MỚI
$14,240 KL.
MỚI
$14,240 KL.
Jul 14, 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
38%
32°C
55%
33°C
9%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
32°C 55%
31°C 38%
33°C 9%
30°C 1.1%
MỚI
$14,240 KL.
MỚI
$14,240 KL.
Jul 14, 2026
28°C or below
$412 KL.
<1%
29°C
$477 KL.
<1%
30°C
$1,927 KL.
1%
31°C
$2,797 KL.
38%
32°C
$3,930 KL.
55%
33°C
$1,746 KL.
9%
34°C
$1,479 KL.
<1%
35°C
$721 KL.
<1%
36°C
$162 KL.
<1%
37°C
$203 KL.
<1%
38°C or higher
$386 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble guidance from the Israel Meteorological Service and ECMWF places Tel Aviv’s July 14 maximum near the July climatological average of 29–32 °C under moderate westerly flow and typical Mediterranean sea-breeze circulation. Afternoon onshore winds routinely advect cooler marine air, capping peaks and explaining why 31–32 °C outcomes hold the highest implied probabilities while 33 °C and above remain low. Recent short-range model runs show partly cloudy skies with limited potential for Sharav easterlies or enhanced subsidence that could shift readings higher; the narrow ensemble spread reflects stable sea-surface temperatures near 28 °C and absence of anomalous upper-level ridging. Traders are therefore weighting the 30–32 °C band most heavily, with resolution hinging on the official station maximum and any final forecast adjustments before Tuesday.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Jul 12, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Khối lượng
$14,240Ngày kết thúc
Jul 14, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 12, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble guidance from the Israel Meteorological Service and ECMWF places Tel Aviv’s July 14 maximum near the July climatological average of 29–32 °C under moderate westerly flow and typical Mediterranean sea-breeze circulation. Afternoon onshore winds routinely advect cooler marine air, capping peaks and explaining why 31–32 °C outcomes hold the highest implied probabilities while 33 °C and above remain low. Recent short-range model runs show partly cloudy skies with limited potential for Sharav easterlies or enhanced subsidence that could shift readings higher; the narrow ensemble spread reflects stable sea-surface temperatures near 28 °C and absence of anomalous upper-level ridging. Traders are therefore weighting the 30–32 °C band most heavily, with resolution hinging on the official station maximum and any final forecast adjustments before Tuesday.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$14,240Ngày kết thúc
Jul 14, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 12, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current ensemble guidance from the Israel Meteorological Service and ECMWF places Tel Aviv’s July 14 maximum near the July climatological average of 29–32 °C under moderate westerly flow and typical Mediterranean sea-breeze circulation. Afternoon onshore winds routinely advect cooler marine air, capping peaks and explaining why 31–32 °C outcomes hold the highest implied probabilities while 33 °C and above remain low. Recent short-range model runs show partly cloudy skies with limited potential for Sharav easterlies or enhanced subsidence that could shift readings higher; the narrow ensemble spread reflects stable sea-surface temperatures near 28 °C and absence of anomalous upper-level ridging. Traders are therefore weighting the 30–32 °C band most heavily, with resolution hinging on the official station maximum and any final forecast adjustments before Tuesday.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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