Recent short-range forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and timeanddate models project Wuhan's July 14 maximum near 36–38°C under partly cloudy to overcast skies with isolated thunderstorms, aligning closely with the tightly bunched market probabilities. In Wuhan's subtropical monsoon climate, peak July insolation typically drives highs around the 34–35°C climatological average, but lingering meiyu moisture can enhance cloud cover and convective cooling that caps temperatures a degree or two below model guidance. Ensemble spreads in humidity, boundary-layer mixing, and exact timing of any showers introduce the primary uncertainty separating the 36°C, 37°C, and 38°C outcomes, with traders weighting official station data and updated model runs expected over the next 48 hours.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Wuhan on July 14?
38°C 43%
37°C 37%
39°C 16.6%
36°C 5%
$13,664 KL.
$13,664 KL.
32°C or below
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
5%
37°C
37%
38°C
43%
39°C
17%
40°C
1%
41°C
1%
42°C or higher
<1%
38°C 43%
37°C 37%
39°C 16.6%
36°C 5%
$13,664 KL.
$13,664 KL.
32°C or below
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
5%
37°C
37%
38°C
43%
39°C
17%
40°C
1%
41°C
1%
42°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Jul 12, 2026, 1:04 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and timeanddate models project Wuhan's July 14 maximum near 36–38°C under partly cloudy to overcast skies with isolated thunderstorms, aligning closely with the tightly bunched market probabilities. In Wuhan's subtropical monsoon climate, peak July insolation typically drives highs around the 34–35°C climatological average, but lingering meiyu moisture can enhance cloud cover and convective cooling that caps temperatures a degree or two below model guidance. Ensemble spreads in humidity, boundary-layer mixing, and exact timing of any showers introduce the primary uncertainty separating the 36°C, 37°C, and 38°C outcomes, with traders weighting official station data and updated model runs expected over the next 48 hours.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp