Trader consensus on a 30°C high for Wuhan on June 10 reflects convergent short-range forecast guidance from regional meteorological models under typical early-June subtropical monsoon conditions, with daytime heating expected to peak near that threshold amid moderate humidity and limited afternoon convection. Official observations through mid-morning already align with this trajectory, and historical climatology for the period shows mean daily maxima around 29–31°C with low day-to-day variance absent strong synoptic forcing. The market-implied odds would shift only if updated model runs or real-time station data register a sustained departure—such as enhanced cloud cover suppressing the peak or clearer skies allowing an extra degree of insolation—before the daily maximum is recorded.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Wuhan on June 10?
30°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$58,952 KL.
$58,952 KL.
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
100%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
30°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$58,952 KL.
$58,952 KL.
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
100%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Jun 8, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on a 30°C high for Wuhan on June 10 reflects convergent short-range forecast guidance from regional meteorological models under typical early-June subtropical monsoon conditions, with daytime heating expected to peak near that threshold amid moderate humidity and limited afternoon convection. Official observations through mid-morning already align with this trajectory, and historical climatology for the period shows mean daily maxima around 29–31°C with low day-to-day variance absent strong synoptic forcing. The market-implied odds would shift only if updated model runs or real-time station data register a sustained departure—such as enhanced cloud cover suppressing the peak or clearer skies allowing an extra degree of insolation—before the daily maximum is recorded.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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