Global seismic activity in early August 2026 has featured moderate levels of magnitude 5.0+ events, including several 5.5–6.3 quakes in the Philippines, New Zealand, and Indonesia, without sustained clusters or major aftershock sequences. Worldwide, roughly 1,900 magnitude 5+ earthquakes occur annually, translating to variable weekly counts of 5.5+ events that follow Poisson-like randomness driven by tectonic plate boundaries, particularly subduction zones in the Pacific Ring of Fire. Trader sentiment reflects this unpredictability, with the broad probability distribution across outcomes from ≤6 to >13 underscoring the influence of short-term factors such as potential new swarms, foreshock activity, or quiet periods ahead of USGS monitoring updates. Historical patterns show no strong weekly seasonality, leaving resolution dependent on real-time observations through the period.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHow many 5.5 or above earthquakes August 10 - August 16?
How many 5.5 or above earthquakes August 10 - August 16?
≤6 25%
8 12%
7 12%
>13 12%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 9, 2026
≤6
25%
7
12%
8
12%
9
11%
10
11%
11
9%
12
8%
13
7%
>13
12%
≤6 25%
8 12%
7 12%
>13 12%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 9, 2026
≤6
$266 KL.
25%
7
$127 KL.
12%
8
$51 KL.
12%
9
$65 KL.
11%
10
$101 KL.
11%
11
$50 KL.
9%
12
$65 KL.
8%
13
$20 KL.
7%
>13
$88 KL.
12%
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between August 10, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and August 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until August 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.Global seismic activity in early August 2026 has featured moderate levels of magnitude 5.0+ events, including several 5.5–6.3 quakes in the Philippines, New Zealand, and Indonesia, without sustained clusters or major aftershock sequences. Worldwide, roughly 1,900 magnitude 5+ earthquakes occur annually, translating to variable weekly counts of 5.5+ events that follow Poisson-like randomness driven by tectonic plate boundaries, particularly subduction zones in the Pacific Ring of Fire. Trader sentiment reflects this unpredictability, with the broad probability distribution across outcomes from ≤6 to >13 underscoring the influence of short-term factors such as potential new swarms, foreshock activity, or quiet periods ahead of USGS monitoring updates. Historical patterns show no strong weekly seasonality, leaving resolution dependent on real-time observations through the period.
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between August 10, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and August 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until August 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until August 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
Thị trường mở: Aug 7, 2026, 10:55 AM ET
Khối lượng
$813Ngày kết thúc
Aug 17, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 7, 2026, 10:55 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between August 10, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and August 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until August 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.Global seismic activity in early August 2026 has featured moderate levels of magnitude 5.0+ events, including several 5.5–6.3 quakes in the Philippines, New Zealand, and Indonesia, without sustained clusters or major aftershock sequences. Worldwide, roughly 1,900 magnitude 5+ earthquakes occur annually, translating to variable weekly counts of 5.5+ events that follow Poisson-like randomness driven by tectonic plate boundaries, particularly subduction zones in the Pacific Ring of Fire. Trader sentiment reflects this unpredictability, with the broad probability distribution across outcomes from ≤6 to >13 underscoring the influence of short-term factors such as potential new swarms, foreshock activity, or quiet periods ahead of USGS monitoring updates. Historical patterns show no strong weekly seasonality, leaving resolution dependent on real-time observations through the period.
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between August 10, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and August 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until August 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until August 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
Khối lượng
$813Ngày kết thúc
Aug 17, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 7, 2026, 10:55 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Global seismic activity in early August 2026 has featured moderate levels of magnitude 5.0+ events, including several 5.5–6.3 quakes in the Philippines, New Zealand, and Indonesia, without sustained clusters or major aftershock sequences. Worldwide, roughly 1,900 magnitude 5+ earthquakes occur annually, translating to variable weekly counts of 5.5+ events that follow Poisson-like randomness driven by tectonic plate boundaries, particularly subduction zones in the Pacific Ring of Fire. Trader sentiment reflects this unpredictability, with the broad probability distribution across outcomes from ≤6 to >13 underscoring the influence of short-term factors such as potential new swarms, foreshock activity, or quiet periods ahead of USGS monitoring updates. Historical patterns show no strong weekly seasonality, leaving resolution dependent on real-time observations through the period.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp