Global seismicity during the August 10–16 window reflects typical background rates, with USGS data showing roughly 10–20 magnitude 5.5+ events per week on average worldwide. Early detections include a M5.6 in Alaska on August 10 and lingering effects from prior M6.3 events in the Kermadec Islands and Philippines, alongside a M7.4 in Colombia earlier in the month that could generate aftershocks. Trader odds spread across 6–10 events highlight uncertainty from variable aftershock productivity, potential new sequences along subduction zones, and the inherent randomness of tectonic release; no major swarm or forecast anomaly has emerged to shift the distribution decisively. Upcoming USGS catalog updates will clarify the final tally.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHow many 5.5 or above earthquakes August 10 - August 16?
How many 5.5 or above earthquakes August 10 - August 16?
≤6 28.8%
7 15.1%
8 14%
9 12%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 9, 2026
≤6
29%
7
15%
8
14%
9
12%
10
10%
11
9%
12
6%
13
6%
>13
8%
≤6 28.8%
7 15.1%
8 14%
9 12%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 9, 2026
≤6
$3,867 KL.
29%
7
$297 KL.
15%
8
$55 KL.
14%
9
$67 KL.
12%
10
$101 KL.
10%
11
$50 KL.
9%
12
$65 KL.
6%
13
$21 KL.
6%
>13
$3,791 KL.
8%
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between August 10, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and August 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until August 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.Global seismicity during the August 10–16 window reflects typical background rates, with USGS data showing roughly 10–20 magnitude 5.5+ events per week on average worldwide. Early detections include a M5.6 in Alaska on August 10 and lingering effects from prior M6.3 events in the Kermadec Islands and Philippines, alongside a M7.4 in Colombia earlier in the month that could generate aftershocks. Trader odds spread across 6–10 events highlight uncertainty from variable aftershock productivity, potential new sequences along subduction zones, and the inherent randomness of tectonic release; no major swarm or forecast anomaly has emerged to shift the distribution decisively. Upcoming USGS catalog updates will clarify the final tally.
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between August 10, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and August 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until August 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until August 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
Thị trường mở: Aug 7, 2026, 10:55 AM ET
Khối lượng
$8,315Ngày kết thúc
Aug 17, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 7, 2026, 10:55 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between August 10, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and August 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until August 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.Global seismicity during the August 10–16 window reflects typical background rates, with USGS data showing roughly 10–20 magnitude 5.5+ events per week on average worldwide. Early detections include a M5.6 in Alaska on August 10 and lingering effects from prior M6.3 events in the Kermadec Islands and Philippines, alongside a M7.4 in Colombia earlier in the month that could generate aftershocks. Trader odds spread across 6–10 events highlight uncertainty from variable aftershock productivity, potential new sequences along subduction zones, and the inherent randomness of tectonic release; no major swarm or forecast anomaly has emerged to shift the distribution decisively. Upcoming USGS catalog updates will clarify the final tally.
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between August 10, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and August 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until August 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until August 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
Khối lượng
$8,315Ngày kết thúc
Aug 17, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 7, 2026, 10:55 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Global seismicity during the August 10–16 window reflects typical background rates, with USGS data showing roughly 10–20 magnitude 5.5+ events per week on average worldwide. Early detections include a M5.6 in Alaska on August 10 and lingering effects from prior M6.3 events in the Kermadec Islands and Philippines, alongside a M7.4 in Colombia earlier in the month that could generate aftershocks. Trader odds spread across 6–10 events highlight uncertainty from variable aftershock productivity, potential new sequences along subduction zones, and the inherent randomness of tectonic release; no major swarm or forecast anomaly has emerged to shift the distribution decisively. Upcoming USGS catalog updates will clarify the final tally.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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