Jerome Powell’s transition from Federal Reserve chair to governor after his May 15 term expiration has become the dominant factor shaping trader views on his full departure from the Board of Governors. Powell announced in late April that he would remain on the board for an undetermined period, citing ongoing legal pressures and the need to safeguard monetary-policy independence amid political scrutiny. His governor term formally runs through January 2028, though he has signaled plans to maintain a low profile following Kevin Warsh’s confirmation as the new chair. Recent FOMC communications and the unchanged 3.50–3.75 percent federal-funds-rate target underscore continuity in policy stance, while market participants monitor any signals on Powell’s exit timeline against historical precedents for governors serving out full terms.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật$323,627 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
May 30
2%
December 31
46%
$323,627 KL.
May 30
$200,831 KL.
2%
December 31
$122,796 KL.
46%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to hold a position on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors for any period of time between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.Jerome Powell’s transition from Federal Reserve chair to governor after his May 15 term expiration has become the dominant factor shaping trader views on his full departure from the Board of Governors. Powell announced in late April that he would remain on the board for an undetermined period, citing ongoing legal pressures and the need to safeguard monetary-policy independence amid political scrutiny. His governor term formally runs through January 2028, though he has signaled plans to maintain a low profile following Kevin Warsh’s confirmation as the new chair. Recent FOMC communications and the unchanged 3.50–3.75 percent federal-funds-rate target underscore continuity in policy stance, while market participants monitor any signals on Powell’s exit timeline against historical precedents for governors serving out full terms.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to hold a position on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors for any period of time between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Thị trường mở: Jan 5, 2026, 4:12 PM ET
Khối lượng
$323,627Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 5, 2026, 4:12 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to hold a position on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors for any period of time between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.Jerome Powell’s transition from Federal Reserve chair to governor after his May 15 term expiration has become the dominant factor shaping trader views on his full departure from the Board of Governors. Powell announced in late April that he would remain on the board for an undetermined period, citing ongoing legal pressures and the need to safeguard monetary-policy independence amid political scrutiny. His governor term formally runs through January 2028, though he has signaled plans to maintain a low profile following Kevin Warsh’s confirmation as the new chair. Recent FOMC communications and the unchanged 3.50–3.75 percent federal-funds-rate target underscore continuity in policy stance, while market participants monitor any signals on Powell’s exit timeline against historical precedents for governors serving out full terms.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to hold a position on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors for any period of time between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Khối lượng
$323,627Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 5, 2026, 4:12 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Jerome Powell’s transition from Federal Reserve chair to governor after his May 15 term expiration has become the dominant factor shaping trader views on his full departure from the Board of Governors. Powell announced in late April that he would remain on the board for an undetermined period, citing ongoing legal pressures and the need to safeguard monetary-policy independence amid political scrutiny. His governor term formally runs through January 2028, though he has signaled plans to maintain a low profile following Kevin Warsh’s confirmation as the new chair. Recent FOMC communications and the unchanged 3.50–3.75 percent federal-funds-rate target underscore continuity in policy stance, while market participants monitor any signals on Powell’s exit timeline against historical precedents for governors serving out full terms.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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