Moonshot AI continues to drive trader consensus on a Kimi K4 release through its established pattern of rapid iteration on the Kimi series, highlighted by the July 16, 2026 launch of the 2.8-trillion-parameter K3 model with native multimodal capabilities, a 1M-token context window, and open weights under a custom license. Recent reporting indicates Moonshot is actively seeking additional Nvidia Blackwell capacity for a significantly larger successor, positioning the company as the clear frontrunner amid China's competitive AI landscape. Key upcoming catalysts include potential model announcements tied to hardware scaling or developer conferences, while any shift in open-weight licensing or benchmark leadership could influence resolution criteria for markets tracking release attribution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật$17,543 KL.
Oct 31, 2026
October 31, 2026
3%
December 31, 2026
12%
$17,543 KL.
October 31, 2026
$9,489 KL.
3%
December 31, 2026
$8,055 KL.
12%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Moonshot AI’s Kimi K4 model is made available to the general public by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Kimi K4 refers to a product explicitly named Kimi K4 (e.g., Kimi K4.0 would count), or one that is recognized as the new flagship model or a successor to Kimi K3.0, consistent with the progression from Kimi K2 to Kimi K3. The release of any model within the Kimi K4 family will qualify as “Kimi K4”.
Products labeled as Kimi K3.5 or similar incremental versions will not count for this market’s resolution.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Moonshot AI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Moonshot AI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Moonshot AI continues to drive trader consensus on a Kimi K4 release through its established pattern of rapid iteration on the Kimi series, highlighted by the July 16, 2026 launch of the 2.8-trillion-parameter K3 model with native multimodal capabilities, a 1M-token context window, and open weights under a custom license. Recent reporting indicates Moonshot is actively seeking additional Nvidia Blackwell capacity for a significantly larger successor, positioning the company as the clear frontrunner amid China's competitive AI landscape. Key upcoming catalysts include potential model announcements tied to hardware scaling or developer conferences, while any shift in open-weight licensing or benchmark leadership could influence resolution criteria for markets tracking release attribution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Moonshot AI’s Kimi K4 model is made available to the general public by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Kimi K4 refers to a product explicitly named Kimi K4 (e.g., Kimi K4.0 would count), or one that is recognized as the new flagship model or a successor to Kimi K3.0, consistent with the progression from Kimi K2 to Kimi K3. The release of any model within the Kimi K4 family will qualify as “Kimi K4”.
Products labeled as Kimi K3.5 or similar incremental versions will not count for this market’s resolution.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Moonshot AI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Moonshot AI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Kimi K4 refers to a product explicitly named Kimi K4 (e.g., Kimi K4.0 would count), or one that is recognized as the new flagship model or a successor to Kimi K3.0, consistent with the progression from Kimi K2 to Kimi K3. The release of any model within the Kimi K4 family will qualify as “Kimi K4”.
Products labeled as Kimi K3.5 or similar incremental versions will not count for this market’s resolution.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Moonshot AI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Moonshot AI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Thị trường mở: Jul 24, 2026, 6:02 PM ET
Khối lượng
$17,543Ngày kết thúc
Jan 1, 2027Thị trường mở
Jul 24, 2026, 6:02 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Moonshot AI’s Kimi K4 model is made available to the general public by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Kimi K4 refers to a product explicitly named Kimi K4 (e.g., Kimi K4.0 would count), or one that is recognized as the new flagship model or a successor to Kimi K3.0, consistent with the progression from Kimi K2 to Kimi K3. The release of any model within the Kimi K4 family will qualify as “Kimi K4”.
Products labeled as Kimi K3.5 or similar incremental versions will not count for this market’s resolution.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Moonshot AI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Moonshot AI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Moonshot AI continues to drive trader consensus on a Kimi K4 release through its established pattern of rapid iteration on the Kimi series, highlighted by the July 16, 2026 launch of the 2.8-trillion-parameter K3 model with native multimodal capabilities, a 1M-token context window, and open weights under a custom license. Recent reporting indicates Moonshot is actively seeking additional Nvidia Blackwell capacity for a significantly larger successor, positioning the company as the clear frontrunner amid China's competitive AI landscape. Key upcoming catalysts include potential model announcements tied to hardware scaling or developer conferences, while any shift in open-weight licensing or benchmark leadership could influence resolution criteria for markets tracking release attribution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Moonshot AI’s Kimi K4 model is made available to the general public by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Kimi K4 refers to a product explicitly named Kimi K4 (e.g., Kimi K4.0 would count), or one that is recognized as the new flagship model or a successor to Kimi K3.0, consistent with the progression from Kimi K2 to Kimi K3. The release of any model within the Kimi K4 family will qualify as “Kimi K4”.
Products labeled as Kimi K3.5 or similar incremental versions will not count for this market’s resolution.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Moonshot AI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Moonshot AI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Kimi K4 refers to a product explicitly named Kimi K4 (e.g., Kimi K4.0 would count), or one that is recognized as the new flagship model or a successor to Kimi K3.0, consistent with the progression from Kimi K2 to Kimi K3. The release of any model within the Kimi K4 family will qualify as “Kimi K4”.
Products labeled as Kimi K3.5 or similar incremental versions will not count for this market’s resolution.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Moonshot AI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Moonshot AI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Khối lượng
$17,543Ngày kết thúc
Jan 1, 2027Thị trường mở
Jul 24, 2026, 6:02 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x65070BE91...Moonshot AI continues to drive trader consensus on a Kimi K4 release through its established pattern of rapid iteration on the Kimi series, highlighted by the July 16, 2026 launch of the 2.8-trillion-parameter K3 model with native multimodal capabilities, a 1M-token context window, and open weights under a custom license. Recent reporting indicates Moonshot is actively seeking additional Nvidia Blackwell capacity for a significantly larger successor, positioning the company as the clear frontrunner amid China's competitive AI landscape. Key upcoming catalysts include potential model announcements tied to hardware scaling or developer conferences, while any shift in open-weight licensing or benchmark leadership could influence resolution criteria for markets tracking release attribution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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