Current forecast models from meteorological agencies indicate Beijing's overnight low on September 21 will likely settle between 15–17°C, with the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around these levels reflecting genuine uncertainty in short-range numerical weather prediction. Key differentiating factors include the strength of nocturnal radiative cooling under clear or partly cloudy skies, local wind speeds that could limit or enhance mixing with warmer air aloft, and subtle variations in the position of a weak frontal boundary or high-pressure ridge influencing the region. Historical September baselines for the capital show similar transitional conditions, where small shifts in humidity or urban heat-island effects can alter minimum readings by 1–2°C. Updated model runs and observational data from the next 24 hours will likely resolve the narrow spread between the leading outcomes.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Beijing on September 21?
Lowest temperature in Beijing on September 21?
15°C 98%
13°C or below 90%
16°C 50%
17°C 50%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 21, 2026
13°C or below
90%
14°C
19%
15°C
98%
16°C
50%
17°C
50%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
15°C 98%
13°C or below 90%
16°C 50%
17°C 50%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 21, 2026
13°C or below
$0 KL.
90%
14°C
$0 KL.
19%
15°C
$0 KL.
98%
16°C
$0 KL.
50%
17°C
$0 KL.
50%
18°C
$41 KL.
<1%
19°C
$31 KL.
<1%
20°C
$36 KL.
<1%
21°C
$37 KL.
<1%
22°C
$31 KL.
<1%
23°C or higher
$31 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from meteorological agencies indicate Beijing's overnight low on September 21 will likely settle between 15–17°C, with the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around these levels reflecting genuine uncertainty in short-range numerical weather prediction. Key differentiating factors include the strength of nocturnal radiative cooling under clear or partly cloudy skies, local wind speeds that could limit or enhance mixing with warmer air aloft, and subtle variations in the position of a weak frontal boundary or high-pressure ridge influencing the region. Historical September baselines for the capital show similar transitional conditions, where small shifts in humidity or urban heat-island effects can alter minimum readings by 1–2°C. Updated model runs and observational data from the next 24 hours will likely resolve the narrow spread between the leading outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Khối lượng
$207Ngày kết thúc
Sep 21, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from meteorological agencies indicate Beijing's overnight low on September 21 will likely settle between 15–17°C, with the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around these levels reflecting genuine uncertainty in short-range numerical weather prediction. Key differentiating factors include the strength of nocturnal radiative cooling under clear or partly cloudy skies, local wind speeds that could limit or enhance mixing with warmer air aloft, and subtle variations in the position of a weak frontal boundary or high-pressure ridge influencing the region. Historical September baselines for the capital show similar transitional conditions, where small shifts in humidity or urban heat-island effects can alter minimum readings by 1–2°C. Updated model runs and observational data from the next 24 hours will likely resolve the narrow spread between the leading outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$207Ngày kết thúc
Sep 21, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from meteorological agencies indicate Beijing's overnight low on September 21 will likely settle between 15–17°C, with the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around these levels reflecting genuine uncertainty in short-range numerical weather prediction. Key differentiating factors include the strength of nocturnal radiative cooling under clear or partly cloudy skies, local wind speeds that could limit or enhance mixing with warmer air aloft, and subtle variations in the position of a weak frontal boundary or high-pressure ridge influencing the region. Historical September baselines for the capital show similar transitional conditions, where small shifts in humidity or urban heat-island effects can alter minimum readings by 1–2°C. Updated model runs and observational data from the next 24 hours will likely resolve the narrow spread between the leading outcomes.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp