Recent European heatwave conditions, driven by persistent high-pressure systems and clear skies over western France, have elevated overnight minimum temperatures in Paris well above the July climatological average of 15–17°C. Météo-France guidance for July 10 points to morning lows near 20–22°C under light winds and limited nocturnal cooling, consistent with the market’s tight clustering around these values. Urban heat-island effects and measurement protocols at official stations further constrain downside risk, while any increase in cloud cover or a slight shift in steering flow could allow marginally lower readings. Updated model runs and the next official forecast briefings remain the key near-term catalysts for shifts in trader-implied probabilities.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Paris on July 10?
Lowest temperature in Paris on July 10?
21°C 42%
20°C 37%
22°C 20%
19°C 5%
MỚI
$23,681 KL.
MỚI
$23,681 KL.
Jul 10, 2026
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
5%
20°C
37%
21°C
42%
22°C
20%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
<1%
21°C 42%
20°C 37%
22°C 20%
19°C 5%
MỚI
$23,681 KL.
MỚI
$23,681 KL.
Jul 10, 2026
16°C or below
$1,210 KL.
<1%
17°C
$569 KL.
1%
18°C
$586 KL.
1%
19°C
$590 KL.
5%
20°C
$5,403 KL.
37%
21°C
$9,441 KL.
42%
22°C
$912 KL.
20%
23°C
$1,211 KL.
<1%
24°C
$992 KL.
<1%
25°C
$1,287 KL.
<1%
26°C or higher
$1,481 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent European heatwave conditions, driven by persistent high-pressure systems and clear skies over western France, have elevated overnight minimum temperatures in Paris well above the July climatological average of 15–17°C. Météo-France guidance for July 10 points to morning lows near 20–22°C under light winds and limited nocturnal cooling, consistent with the market’s tight clustering around these values. Urban heat-island effects and measurement protocols at official stations further constrain downside risk, while any increase in cloud cover or a slight shift in steering flow could allow marginally lower readings. Updated model runs and the next official forecast briefings remain the key near-term catalysts for shifts in trader-implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Jul 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Khối lượng
$23,681Ngày kết thúc
Jul 10, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent European heatwave conditions, driven by persistent high-pressure systems and clear skies over western France, have elevated overnight minimum temperatures in Paris well above the July climatological average of 15–17°C. Météo-France guidance for July 10 points to morning lows near 20–22°C under light winds and limited nocturnal cooling, consistent with the market’s tight clustering around these values. Urban heat-island effects and measurement protocols at official stations further constrain downside risk, while any increase in cloud cover or a slight shift in steering flow could allow marginally lower readings. Updated model runs and the next official forecast briefings remain the key near-term catalysts for shifts in trader-implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$23,681Ngày kết thúc
Jul 10, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent European heatwave conditions, driven by persistent high-pressure systems and clear skies over western France, have elevated overnight minimum temperatures in Paris well above the July climatological average of 15–17°C. Météo-France guidance for July 10 points to morning lows near 20–22°C under light winds and limited nocturnal cooling, consistent with the market’s tight clustering around these values. Urban heat-island effects and measurement protocols at official stations further constrain downside risk, while any increase in cloud cover or a slight shift in steering flow could allow marginally lower readings. Updated model runs and the next official forecast briefings remain the key near-term catalysts for shifts in trader-implied probabilities.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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