**Trader consensus on Seoul’s July 14 overnight low centers on uncertainty in nocturnal radiative cooling amid the East Asian monsoon.** Short-range ensemble guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration, ECMWF, and GFS indicates a broad spread of minimum temperatures, with showers and variable cloud cover expected to moderate heat retention while occasional clearer intervals allow greater cooling. Typical July climatology shows morning lows near 21–24 °C; recent model runs highlight sensitivity to precipitation timing and boundary-layer moisture, elevating the probability mass around 20 °C or below relative to warmer buckets. High humidity and the urban heat-island effect limit how far temperatures can fall, yet any organized rain band arriving before dawn could suppress the minimum. Updated KMA forecasts and the next model cycle will be the key catalysts ahead of market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Seoul on July 14?
Lowest temperature in Seoul on July 14?
25°C 80%
24°C 18%
23°C 2.6%
22°C 1.0%
MỚI
$11,353 KL.
MỚI
$11,353 KL.
Jul 14, 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
3%
24°C
18%
25°C
80%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
25°C 80%
24°C 18%
23°C 2.6%
22°C 1.0%
MỚI
$11,353 KL.
MỚI
$11,353 KL.
Jul 14, 2026
20°C or below
$632 KL.
<1%
21°C
$797 KL.
<1%
22°C
$1,180 KL.
1%
23°C
$891 KL.
3%
24°C
$893 KL.
18%
25°C
$1,419 KL.
80%
26°C
$1,110 KL.
<1%
27°C
$1,665 KL.
<1%
28°C
$808 KL.
<1%
29°C
$637 KL.
<1%
30°C or higher
$1,321 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus on Seoul’s July 14 overnight low centers on uncertainty in nocturnal radiative cooling amid the East Asian monsoon.** Short-range ensemble guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration, ECMWF, and GFS indicates a broad spread of minimum temperatures, with showers and variable cloud cover expected to moderate heat retention while occasional clearer intervals allow greater cooling. Typical July climatology shows morning lows near 21–24 °C; recent model runs highlight sensitivity to precipitation timing and boundary-layer moisture, elevating the probability mass around 20 °C or below relative to warmer buckets. High humidity and the urban heat-island effect limit how far temperatures can fall, yet any organized rain band arriving before dawn could suppress the minimum. Updated KMA forecasts and the next model cycle will be the key catalysts ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Jul 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Khối lượng
$11,353Ngày kết thúc
Jul 14, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus on Seoul’s July 14 overnight low centers on uncertainty in nocturnal radiative cooling amid the East Asian monsoon.** Short-range ensemble guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration, ECMWF, and GFS indicates a broad spread of minimum temperatures, with showers and variable cloud cover expected to moderate heat retention while occasional clearer intervals allow greater cooling. Typical July climatology shows morning lows near 21–24 °C; recent model runs highlight sensitivity to precipitation timing and boundary-layer moisture, elevating the probability mass around 20 °C or below relative to warmer buckets. High humidity and the urban heat-island effect limit how far temperatures can fall, yet any organized rain band arriving before dawn could suppress the minimum. Updated KMA forecasts and the next model cycle will be the key catalysts ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$11,353Ngày kết thúc
Jul 14, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus on Seoul’s July 14 overnight low centers on uncertainty in nocturnal radiative cooling amid the East Asian monsoon.** Short-range ensemble guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration, ECMWF, and GFS indicates a broad spread of minimum temperatures, with showers and variable cloud cover expected to moderate heat retention while occasional clearer intervals allow greater cooling. Typical July climatology shows morning lows near 21–24 °C; recent model runs highlight sensitivity to precipitation timing and boundary-layer moisture, elevating the probability mass around 20 °C or below relative to warmer buckets. High humidity and the urban heat-island effect limit how far temperatures can fall, yet any organized rain band arriving before dawn could suppress the minimum. Updated KMA forecasts and the next model cycle will be the key catalysts ahead of market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp