Persistent high humidity and lingering moisture from the East Asian monsoon transition continue to limit radiative cooling across Shanghai, positioning overnight lows near 25–26 °C as the most probable range according to recent model consensus from sources like AccuWeather. Scattered showers and overcast skies expected through July 6 further suppress temperature drops, aligning trader sentiment with the market’s emphasis on 22 °C or below as the leading outcome while keeping 26 °C and 27 °C as secondary possibilities if convection clears briefly. Historical early-July climatology shows average minima of 25–27 °C under similar humid subtropical conditions, with any brief clearing windows offering the main pathway for cooler readings below 24 °C. Updated forecast runs and monitoring agency briefings in the next 48 hours will likely refine these implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Shanghai on July 6?
Lowest temperature in Shanghai on July 6?
26°C 37%
27°C 19%
25°C 18%
28°C 16%
MỚI
MỚI
Jul 6, 2026
22°C or below
1%
23°C
4%
24°C
12%
25°C
18%
26°C
37%
27°C
19%
28°C
16%
29°C
15%
30°C
10%
31°C
9%
32°C or higher
<1%
26°C 37%
27°C 19%
25°C 18%
28°C 16%
MỚI
MỚI
Jul 6, 2026
22°C or below
$54 KL.
1%
23°C
$31 KL.
4%
24°C
$0 KL.
12%
25°C
$0 KL.
18%
26°C
$0 KL.
37%
27°C
$0 KL.
19%
28°C
$0 KL.
16%
29°C
$37 KL.
15%
30°C
$27 KL.
10%
31°C
$27 KL.
9%
32°C or higher
$22 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent high humidity and lingering moisture from the East Asian monsoon transition continue to limit radiative cooling across Shanghai, positioning overnight lows near 25–26 °C as the most probable range according to recent model consensus from sources like AccuWeather. Scattered showers and overcast skies expected through July 6 further suppress temperature drops, aligning trader sentiment with the market’s emphasis on 22 °C or below as the leading outcome while keeping 26 °C and 27 °C as secondary possibilities if convection clears briefly. Historical early-July climatology shows average minima of 25–27 °C under similar humid subtropical conditions, with any brief clearing windows offering the main pathway for cooler readings below 24 °C. Updated forecast runs and monitoring agency briefings in the next 48 hours will likely refine these implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Jul 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Khối lượng
$197Ngày kết thúc
Jul 6, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent high humidity and lingering moisture from the East Asian monsoon transition continue to limit radiative cooling across Shanghai, positioning overnight lows near 25–26 °C as the most probable range according to recent model consensus from sources like AccuWeather. Scattered showers and overcast skies expected through July 6 further suppress temperature drops, aligning trader sentiment with the market’s emphasis on 22 °C or below as the leading outcome while keeping 26 °C and 27 °C as secondary possibilities if convection clears briefly. Historical early-July climatology shows average minima of 25–27 °C under similar humid subtropical conditions, with any brief clearing windows offering the main pathway for cooler readings below 24 °C. Updated forecast runs and monitoring agency briefings in the next 48 hours will likely refine these implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$197Ngày kết thúc
Jul 6, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent high humidity and lingering moisture from the East Asian monsoon transition continue to limit radiative cooling across Shanghai, positioning overnight lows near 25–26 °C as the most probable range according to recent model consensus from sources like AccuWeather. Scattered showers and overcast skies expected through July 6 further suppress temperature drops, aligning trader sentiment with the market’s emphasis on 22 °C or below as the leading outcome while keeping 26 °C and 27 °C as secondary possibilities if convection clears briefly. Historical early-July climatology shows average minima of 25–27 °C under similar humid subtropical conditions, with any brief clearing windows offering the main pathway for cooler readings below 24 °C. Updated forecast runs and monitoring agency briefings in the next 48 hours will likely refine these implied probabilities ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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