Trader consensus on Polymarket gives Robert Charles a 53% implied probability of winning Maine's June 9 Republican gubernatorial primary under ranked-choice voting, buoyed by his $908,000 fundraising haul through late April and a late-April internal poll showing him at 47%—far ahead of rivals—bolstering his frontrunner status with national experience from Reagan-Bush White House service and Assistant Secretary of State role. His odds have slipped from recent 65% highs after skipping the May 5 debate (six rivals participated) and another last week, allowing attacks on his visibility, while Ben Midgley (24%) and David Jones formed an RCV alliance to consolidate second-choice votes against him. Midgley drew momentum from topping the Maine GOP's April straw poll at 31.9% to Charles' 29.5%; Garrett Mason (10.5%) benefits from prior State Senate leadership. With no public polls, upcoming debates loom as pivotal catalysts in this crowded open-seat race replacing term-limited Gov. Janet Mills.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtMaine Governor Republican Primary Winner
Maine Governor Republican Primary Winner
Robert Charles 53%
Ben Midgley 24%
Garrett Mason 12%
Jonathan Bush 7.3%
$28,149 KL.
$28,149 KL.
Robert Charles
53%
Ben Midgley
24%
Garrett Mason
12%
Jonathan Bush
7%
Ken Capron
3%
Robert Wessels
1%
David Jones
1%
James Libby
1%
Owen McCarthy
1%
Robert Charles 53%
Ben Midgley 24%
Garrett Mason 12%
Jonathan Bush 7.3%
$28,149 KL.
$28,149 KL.
Robert Charles
53%
Ben Midgley
24%
Garrett Mason
12%
Jonathan Bush
7%
Ken Capron
3%
Robert Wessels
1%
David Jones
1%
James Libby
1%
Owen McCarthy
1%
If no 2026 Maine Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Maine Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Thị trường mở: Dec 10, 2025, 7:12 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Maine Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Maine Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket gives Robert Charles a 53% implied probability of winning Maine's June 9 Republican gubernatorial primary under ranked-choice voting, buoyed by his $908,000 fundraising haul through late April and a late-April internal poll showing him at 47%—far ahead of rivals—bolstering his frontrunner status with national experience from Reagan-Bush White House service and Assistant Secretary of State role. His odds have slipped from recent 65% highs after skipping the May 5 debate (six rivals participated) and another last week, allowing attacks on his visibility, while Ben Midgley (24%) and David Jones formed an RCV alliance to consolidate second-choice votes against him. Midgley drew momentum from topping the Maine GOP's April straw poll at 31.9% to Charles' 29.5%; Garrett Mason (10.5%) benefits from prior State Senate leadership. With no public polls, upcoming debates loom as pivotal catalysts in this crowded open-seat race replacing term-limited Gov. Janet Mills.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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